Harley-Davidson (HOG) Aperçu de l'action
Harley-Davidson, Inc. fabrique et vend des motos aux États-Unis et dans le monde entier. Plus de détails
| Score flocon de neige | |
|---|---|
| Évaluation | 3/6 |
| Croissance future | 1/6 |
| Performances passées | 1/6 |
| Santé financière | 5/6 |
| Dividendes | 2/6 |
HOG Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Harley-Davidson, Inc. Concurrents
Historique des prix et performances
| Historique des cours de bourse | |
|---|---|
| Prix actuel de l'action | US$25.14 |
| Plus haut sur 52 semaines | US$31.25 |
| Plus bas sur 52 semaines | US$17.09 |
| Bêta | 1.27 |
| Variation sur 1 mois | 2.95% |
| Variation sur 3 mois | 10.31% |
| Variation sur 1 an | 2.11% |
| Variation sur 3 ans | -30.15% |
| Variation sur 5 ans | -41.59% |
| Évolution depuis l'introduction en bourse | 7,213.45% |
Nouvelles et mises à jour récentes
Mise à jour du récit • Jul 07
HOG: Back To The Bricks Execution Risks Will Likely Cap Future Upside
The analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has been raised to $30 per share from $25, as analysts point to the updated Back to the Bricks plan, a sharper dealer-focused model, and more disciplined new bike introductions that they expect to support additional customization and upsell opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst moves around Harley-Davidson highlight a mixed backdrop, with some raising price targets while others stay cautious on execution and growth expectations tied to the Back to the Bricks plan.
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 23
HOG: Turnaround Execution And Reshoring Plans Will Test Dealer And Demand Improvements
The analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has been nudged higher to approximately $25.64 from about $25.45, as analysts factor in recent estimate revisions tied to a Q1 beat, improved competitive positioning, and easing tariff pressures, while still viewing some longer term targets as ambitious. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Harley-Davidson points to a more constructive stance on near term execution, while still flagging meaningful questions around how achievable some of the longer range targets are.Seeking Alpha • Jun 20
Harley-Davidson: The Margin Reset Could Rip The Bear Case Apart
Summary HOG is priced like the margin collapse is permanent, yet Q1 retail sales rose 8% and dealer inventory fell 22%, signaling demand may have stopped bleeding. The 2027 reset is the first catalyst: less discounting, $150M+ cost cuts, U.S.-built Revolution Max, and fuller York production can lift HDMC EBITDA to over $350M. My base case is $32 in 12-18 months and $48 in 2-3 years, with greater upside if Harley turns dealers into rider factories and rebuilds cultural demand. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Mise à jour du récit • Jul 07
HOG: Back To The Bricks Execution Risks Will Likely Cap Future Upside
The analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has been raised to $30 per share from $25, as analysts point to the updated Back to the Bricks plan, a sharper dealer-focused model, and more disciplined new bike introductions that they expect to support additional customization and upsell opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst moves around Harley-Davidson highlight a mixed backdrop, with some raising price targets while others stay cautious on execution and growth expectations tied to the Back to the Bricks plan.Mise à jour du récit • Jun 23
HOG: Turnaround Execution And Reshoring Plans Will Test Dealer And Demand Improvements
The analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has been nudged higher to approximately $25.64 from about $25.45, as analysts factor in recent estimate revisions tied to a Q1 beat, improved competitive positioning, and easing tariff pressures, while still viewing some longer term targets as ambitious. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Harley-Davidson points to a more constructive stance on near term execution, while still flagging meaningful questions around how achievable some of the longer range targets are.Seeking Alpha • Jun 20
Harley-Davidson: The Margin Reset Could Rip The Bear Case Apart
Summary HOG is priced like the margin collapse is permanent, yet Q1 retail sales rose 8% and dealer inventory fell 22%, signaling demand may have stopped bleeding. The 2027 reset is the first catalyst: less discounting, $150M+ cost cuts, U.S.-built Revolution Max, and fuller York production can lift HDMC EBITDA to over $350M. My base case is $32 in 12-18 months and $48 in 2-3 years, with greater upside if Harley turns dealers into rider factories and rebuilds cultural demand. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMise à jour du récit • Jun 05
HOG: Turnaround Plan And Buybacks Will Confront Ongoing Demand And Dealer Risks
Analysts have raised the implied fair value for Harley-Davidson stock from about $22.14 to $25.45, citing higher Street price targets around $15, along with updated assumptions for slower revenue declines, improved profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Harley-Davidson, with several firms lifting price targets while still urging caution on the stock.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 28
HOG: Brand Refresh And Buybacks Will Confront Ongoing Demand And Dealer Concerns
The analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has been trimmed by less than $0.05, as analysts reflect weaker revenue growth assumptions alongside slightly firmer profit margin and lower future P/E expectations, following a series of reduced Street targets and new Underweight ratings that highlight demand concerns and business uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Harley-Davidson clusters around concern for demand, dealer health and the longer term direction of the business, with several firms trimming price targets and leaning cautious on the shares.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 13
HOG: Product Refresh And Buybacks Will Counter Ongoing Demand And Dealer Concerns
Harley-Davidson’s analyst price target has been modestly adjusted to $22.18, as analysts factor in slightly less severe revenue contraction and profit margin pressure, along with a higher assumed future P/E and a wave of recent target cuts and Underweight ratings that highlight concerns around demand, dealer health, and overall business direction. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned cautious, with several firms trimming price targets and initiating with Underweight or Neutral ratings.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 28
HOG: Product Refresh And Buybacks Will Offset Ongoing Demand And Dealer Pressures
Harley-Davidson's analyst price targets have been reset lower, with reductions from firms including UBS, Morgan Stanley, Baird, DA Davidson, and Citi. Wells Fargo also initiated coverage with an Underweight rating and a $15 target, as analysts highlight ongoing demand softness, dealer pressures, and uncertainty around the direction of the business.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 12
HOG: Product Refresh And Buybacks Will Support Future Brand And Margin Resilience
We are trimming our Harley-Davidson fair value estimate to $22.00 from $23.50, reflecting a series of lower Street price targets and analyst concerns about weak demand, dealer health, profit pressure, and higher implied future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Street research has tilted cautious on Harley-Davidson, with several firms reducing price targets and flagging execution and demand risks.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 25
HOG: Product Refresh And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Margin Stability
The updated analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has been revised to $23.50 from $26.50. This change reflects recent cuts across the Street as analysts factor in a choppy consumer backdrop, softer profit expectations, and adjusted powersports estimates following Q4 results and industry events.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 10
HOG: Inventory Actions And Lower Price Models Will Support Future Margin Stability
Narrative Update: Harley-Davidson Analysts have reduced their price targets on Harley-Davidson by up to $5, citing weaker retail conditions, margin pressure from clearing inventory, and an expected shift toward lower price point models. This is reflected in lower EPS estimates for coming periods.Article d’analyse • Feb 09
Is Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Mise à jour du récit • Jan 26
HOG: Inventory Cleanup And Dealer Health Efforts Will Support Future Margin Stability
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Harley-Davidson to $26.50 from $27.50, citing lower price targets and updated earnings expectations that reflect a softer retail backdrop, margin pressure from inventory clearance, and some product mix headwinds, even as recent commentary highlights efforts to improve dealer health and rebuild trust across the network. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Harley-Davidson point to a mixed setup, with price targets moving lower but with some constructive views on execution efforts and dealer health.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 09
HOG: New Leadership Actions Will Drive Inventory Cleanup And Margin Stability
Analysts have trimmed Harley-Davidson's blended price target to a range of about US$21 to US$30, citing concerns about weaker retail demand, inventory-related margin pressure and product mix. These factors are partly offset by confidence in new CEO led inventory actions and efforts to improve dealer health.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 18
HOG: New Leadership Will Drive Inventory Clearance And Future Margin Recovery
The analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has edged down by $0.10 as analysts factor in weaker retail demand, ongoing inventory clearance related margin pressure, and mixed views on the pace of recovery despite recent management actions to improve dealer health. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a divided view on Harley-Davidson's outlook, with some emphasizing operational progress and others highlighting structural headwinds that could weigh on valuation and earnings power.Article d’analyse • Dec 06
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.18
Harley-Davidson, Inc. ( NYSE:HOG ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.18 per share on the 22nd of...Mise à jour du récit • Dec 04
HOG: New Leadership Will Drive Inventory Reset And Future Margin Stability
Harley-Davidson's analyst price target has been trimmed modestly, with fair value estimates easing by about $0.70 per share as analysts factor in weaker retail trends, margin pressure tied to inventory clearance, and a slightly lower future earnings multiple, despite ongoing efforts to improve dealer health and rebuild network trust. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a widening divide between cautious and constructive views on Harley-Davidson, with valuation resets incorporating both near term execution risk and potential upside from operational changes under new leadership.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 20
HOG: New Leadership Will Drive Dealer Health And Inventory Improvement
Harley-Davidson's analyst price target has been revised downward by $1 to $28. Analysts cite ongoing inventory challenges, cautious retail trends, and mixed outlooks on recent management changes as key factors influencing the adjustment.Article d’analyse • Aug 29
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) 26% Share Price Climb
Harley-Davidson, Inc. ( NYSE:HOG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...Article d’analyse • Jul 18
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Article d’analyse • Jun 16
Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.3x Harley-Davidson, Inc. ( NYSE:HOG ) may be sending very bullish...Article d’analyse • May 20
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Article d’analyse • Apr 22
Why Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Could Be Worth Watching
While Harley-Davidson, Inc. ( NYSE:HOG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price...Article d’analyse • Mar 18
There's No Escaping Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Muted Earnings
Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s ( NYSE:HOG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7x might make it look like a strong buy...Seeking Alpha • Mar 04
Harley-Davidson: Secular Decline And Market Share Deterioration Weaken Outlook
Summary Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s sales have declined over the long term. On top of a secular decline in the US, the brand's market share has deteriorated in both the US and Europe. The company's LiveWire brand isn't gaining customers, generating significant losses and showing little promise for a turnaround. Dealers' overstocked inventories are exacerbating Harley-Davidson's weak short-term financial performance. Despite a P/E below 8, I don't believe HOG stock to be attractive. The company ultimately needs to stabilize its sales, which seems unlikely for now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRendement pour les actionnaires
| HOG | US Auto | US Marché | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| 1Y | 2.1% | 27.3% | 19.5% |
Rendement vs Industrie: HOG a sous-performé le secteur US Auto qui a rapporté 27.3 % au cours de l'année écoulée.
Rendement vs marché: HOG a sous-performé le marché US qui a rapporté 19.5 % au cours de l'année écoulée.
Volatilité des prix
| HOG volatility | |
|---|---|
| HOG Average Weekly Movement | 6.2% |
| Auto Industry Average Movement | 8.9% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Cours de l'action stable: HOG n'a pas connu de volatilité de prix significative au cours des 3 derniers mois par rapport au marché US.
Volatilité au fil du temps: La volatilité hebdomadaire de HOG ( 6% ) est restée stable au cours de l'année écoulée.
À propos de l'entreprise
| Fondée | Salariés | PDG | Site web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1903 | 5,500 | Artie Starrs | www.harley-davidson.com |
Harley-Davidson, Inc. fabrique et vend des motos aux États-Unis et dans le monde entier. L'entreprise opère dans trois secteurs : Harley-Davidson Motor Company, LiveWire et Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Le segment Harley-Davidson Motor Company conçoit, fabrique et vend des motos, notamment des cruisers, des trikes, des Grand American touring, des motos standard, des motos de sport, des motos d'aventure et des motos bi-sport, ainsi que des pièces détachées, des accessoires et des vêtements pour motos.
Harley-Davidson, Inc. Résumé des fondamentaux
| HOG statistiques fondamentales | |
|---|---|
| Capitalisation boursière | US$2.62b |
| Bénéfices(TTM) | US$230.41m |
| Recettes(TTM) | US$4.32b |
11.5x
Ratio P/E0.6x
Ratio P/SLe site HOG est-il surévalué ?
Voir Juste valeur et analyse de l'évaluationBénéfices et recettes
| HOG compte de résultat (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Recettes | US$4.32b |
| Coût des recettes | US$2.77b |
| Marge brute | US$1.25b |
| Autres dépenses | US$1.02b |
| Les revenus | US$230.41m |
Derniers bénéfices déclarés
Mar 31, 2026
Prochaine date de publication des résultats
Jul 23, 2026
| Résultat par action (EPS) | 2.19 |
| Marge brute | 28.90% |
| Marge bénéficiaire nette | 5.34% |
| Ratio dettes/capitaux propres | 69.2% |
Quelles ont été les performances à long terme de HOG?
Voir les performances historiques et les comparaisonsDividendes
3.0%
Rendement actuel des dividendes37%
Ratio de distributionAnalyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/07/10 00:01 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d'analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github, nous proposons également des guides pour apprendre à utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Harley-Davidson, Inc. est couverte par 28 analystes. 12 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Coleman | Argus Research Company |
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| Felicia Kantor Hendrix | Barclays |