Mercari, Inc.

TSE:4385 Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : JP¥621.6b

Mercari Résultats passés

Passé contrôle des critères 4/6

Mercari a connu une croissance annuelle moyenne de ses bénéfices de 52.3%, tandis que le secteur Multiline Retail a vu ses bénéfices augmenter de en hausse à 10.8% par an. Les revenus ont augmenté de en hausse à un taux moyen de 12.2% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres de Mercari est 28.1% et ses marges nettes sont de 15.7%.

Informations clés

52.26%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

51.81%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Multiline Retail Croissance de l'industrie9.72%
Taux de croissance des recettes12.22%
Rendement des fonds propres28.11%
Marge nette15.66%
Prochaine mise à jour des résultats05 Aug 2026

Mises à jour récentes des performances passées

Article d’analyse May 19

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis...
Article d’analyse Oct 04

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Mercari (TSE:4385)

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might...

Recent updates

Mise à jour du récit Jun 18

4385: Revised Guidance And User Trends Will Support Steady Cash Flows

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥4,176.92 from ¥3,848.46, citing updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, modestly higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mercari Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million, compared with its previous range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million.
Mise à jour du récit Jun 03

4385: Raised Revenue Guidance Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Higher Discount Rate

Analysts have raised Mercari's fair value estimate from ¥2,700 to about ¥2,812, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue, profit margins, and future P/E multiples that refine their overall outlook on the stock. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million, compared with its previous range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million.
Mise à jour du récit May 19

4385: Revised Guidance And User Retention Will Support Steady Cash Flows

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari from about ¥3,303 to roughly ¥3,848, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E ratios. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥220,000 million compared with the prior range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million (company guidance).
Article d’analyse May 19

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis...
Article d’analyse May 14

Earnings Beat: Mercari, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of market...
Mise à jour du récit May 03

4385: Raised Guidance Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk Despite Stable Profitability Assumptions

Analysts have reaffirmed Mercari's price target at ¥2,700, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that are broadly consistent with prior views. What's in the News Mercari raised consolidated revenue guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026 to ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million, compared with the previous range of ¥200,000 million to ¥210,000 million (company guidance).
Mise à jour du récit Apr 18

4385: Raised Guidance And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have lifted their price target on Mercari from ¥2,500 to ¥2,700, citing adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple in their updated models. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, providing updated revenue and core operating profit ranges.
Article d’analyse Apr 07

At JP¥3,930, Is Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Worth Looking At Closely?

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the TSE gainers with a relatively large...
Mise à jour du récit Apr 04

4385: Raised Guidance And Rich Margin Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have kept Mercari's price target at ¥2,500.00. They point to slightly different assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that still support the same overall valuation view.
Mise à jour du récit Mar 21

4385: Rich Profit Assumptions And Lower Future P/E Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Mercari's analyst price target is held at ¥2,500, as analysts balance a slightly higher discount rate with updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mercari raised its consolidated revenue guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026 to a range of ¥210,000 million to ¥220,000 million, compared with the previous range of ¥200,000 million to ¥210,000 million (Key Developments).
Mise à jour du récit Mar 06

4385: Earnings Guidance Updates Will Gradually Support Stable Cash Flows And Margins

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥3,303 from ¥3,288, reflecting slightly adjusted views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, updating both its revenue and core operating profit ranges.
Mise à jour du récit Feb 20

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Mercari from about ¥3,097 to roughly ¥3,288, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that slightly adjust the discount rate used in their models. What's in the News Mercari revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, providing updated ranges for revenue and core operating profit.
Article d’analyse Feb 11

Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets

Shareholders of Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to JP¥3,567...
Mise à jour du récit Feb 06

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercari higher from ¥2,938 to ¥3,097 as they factor in slightly lower discount rates, moderately stronger revenue growth assumptions, a firmer profit margin outlook, and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was raised from ¥2,938 to ¥3,097, reflecting a modest upward adjustment to the intrinsic value per share.
Article d’analyse Feb 01

Here's Why We Think Mercari (TSE:4385) Is Well Worth Watching

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Mise à jour du récit Jan 23

4385: Lower Forward P/E And Rich Profit Assumptions Will Sustain Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target setup for Mercari, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth of 5.02%, a profit margin of 11.90% and a future P/E of 19.03x, while keeping fair value at ¥2,500. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at ¥2,500, indicating the updated assumptions did not alter the overall valuation anchor.
Mise à jour du récit Jan 08

4385: Higher Future P/E Will Eventually Expose Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Mercari to ¥2,500 from ¥1,984, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was raised from ¥1,984 to ¥2,500, reflecting the updated model assumptions.
Article d’analyse Dec 23

Investors Will Want Mercari's (TSE:4385) Growth In ROCE To Persist

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Mise à jour du récit Dec 18

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Will Gradually Stabilize With Modest Risk Reduction

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Mercari from ¥2,773.85 to ¥2,938.33, citing slightly lower perceived risk, firmer expectations for mid single digit revenue growth, a gradual improvement in profit margins, and a marginally higher future earnings multiple. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from ¥2,773.85 to ¥2,938.33, reflecting a modestly higher intrinsic valuation.
Mise à jour du récit Dec 04

4385: Future Cash Flows And Margins Are Expected To Gradually Stabilize

Analysts modestly raised their price target on Mercari, with fair value estimates increasing from approximately ¥2,713 to ¥2,774, as they refine discount rate and valuation assumptions despite slightly softer long term growth and margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on Mercari remain generally constructive, with the modest price target increase reflecting confidence in the platform’s ability to sustain cash flow generation while navigating a more normalized growth environment.
Article d’analyse Nov 27

Is It Time To Consider Buying Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385)?

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the TSE gainers with a relatively large...
Article d’analyse Nov 13

Mercari, Inc.'s (TSE:4385) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...
Article d’analyse Nov 11

Mercari, Inc. Just Recorded A 10% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. It was overall a...
Article d’analyse Nov 02

Do Mercari's (TSE:4385) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Article d’analyse Oct 04

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Mercari (TSE:4385)

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might...
Mise à jour du récit Sep 13

Advanced AI And International Expansion Will Drive Future Success

Mercari's consensus price target saw a slight decrease to ¥2713, as modestly improved revenue growth forecasts were offset by an essentially unchanged net profit margin. What's in the News Mercari provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending June 30, 2026, expecting revenue of JPY 200,000 million to JPY 210,000 million and core operating profit of JPY 28,000 million to JPY 32,000 million.
Article d’analyse Aug 08

Mercari, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 46%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Last week, you might have seen that Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) released its yearly result to the market. The early...
Article d’analyse Aug 06

Here's Why Mercari (TSE:4385) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSE:4385 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Mercari's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Warren...
Article d’analyse Jul 21

The Price Is Right For Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385)

When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider...
Article d’analyse Jul 07

Is There An Opportunity With Mercari, Inc.'s (TSE:4385) 33% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Mercari's estimated fair value is JP¥3,842 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...
Article d’analyse May 10

Mercari, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Investors in Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 5.3% to close at JP¥2,386 following the...
Article d’analyse Apr 30

Here's Why Mercari (TSE:4385) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Article d’analyse Apr 16

Is There Now An Opportunity In Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385)?

While Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the TSE gainers with a...
Article d’analyse Apr 03

Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Shares Could Be 30% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights Mercari's estimated fair value is JP¥3,289 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Mercari's JP¥2,305...
Article d’analyse Mar 07

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Mercari's (TSE:4385) Returns On Capital

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things...
Article d’analyse Feb 21

Concerns Surrounding Mercari's (TSE:4385) Performance

The market for Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week...
User avatar
Nouveau récit Feb 09

Transitioning Hallo To Paid Service Will Generate New Revenue Streams

Enhancing user experience and implementing user safety measures may boost engagement, trust, and retention, positively impacting revenue and margins.
Article d’analyse Feb 09

Mercari, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) defied analyst predictions to release its interim results, which were ahead of market...
Article d’analyse Feb 07

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Mercari, Inc.'s (TSE:4385) 36% Share Price Surge

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...
Article d’analyse Jan 07

Here's Why Mercari (TSE:4385) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
Article d’analyse Dec 24

An Intrinsic Calculation For Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385) Suggests It's 39% Undervalued

Key Insights The projected fair value for Mercari is JP¥2,938 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Mercari's...
Article d’analyse Nov 08

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Mercari, Inc.'s (TSE:4385) 27% Share Price Plunge

Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand...
Article d’analyse Oct 24

Mercari (TSE:4385) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common...
Article d’analyse Aug 20

Mercari (TSE:4385) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to...
Article d’analyse Aug 16

Mercari, Inc. Just Recorded A 16% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

As you might know, Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) recently reported its annual numbers. It looks like a credible result...
Article d’analyse Aug 06

Is There Now An Opportunity In Mercari, Inc. (TSE:4385)?

While Mercari, Inc. ( TSE:4385 ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement...
Article d’analyse Jul 23

Mercari, Inc.'s (TSE:4385) P/E Is On The Mark

Mercari, Inc.'s ( TSE:4385 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.1x might make it look like a strong sell right...
Article d’analyse Apr 16

Is Mercari (TSE:4385) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Article d’analyse Feb 26

Mercari's (TSE:4385) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...

Ventilation des recettes et des dépenses

Comment Mercari gagne et dépense de l'argent. Sur la base des derniers bénéfices déclarés, sur une base LTM.


Historique des gains et des recettes

TSE:4385 Recettes, dépenses et bénéfices (JPY Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusDépenses G+ADépenses de R&D
31 Mar 26215,85733,813115,9790
31 Dec 25204,72729,316111,8110
30 Sep 25197,14928,168110,0700
30 Jun 25192,63326,114109,6540
31 Mar 25190,59616,439109,7360
31 Dec 24189,18216,295110,8780
30 Sep 24188,06013,583112,4940
30 Jun 24187,40713,461110,8610
31 Mar 24185,02916,768108,7040
31 Dec 23180,16516,418103,2400
30 Sep 23176,30615,46999,4900
30 Jun 23172,06413,07096,3650
31 Mar 23165,2615,19594,1910
31 Dec 22160,143-3,63998,9250
30 Sep 22153,444-7,03899,8760
30 Jun 22147,049-7,56998,5000
31 Mar 22138,915-5,56494,7660
31 Dec 21129,093-1,11989,1170
30 Sep 21117,5931,32080,9520
30 Jun 21106,1155,72075,8150
31 Mar 2199,8263,01673,1770
31 Dec 2091,495-4,55871,7590
30 Sep 2083,883-11,37872,9120
30 Jun 2076,275-22,77274,3990
31 Mar 2067,655-28,63574,3820
31 Dec 1960,888-23,39265,1420
30 Sep 1955,679-17,99056,7590
30 Jun 1951,683-13,76450,0990
31 Mar 1946,996-10,94844,2640
30 Jun 1835,765-7,04133,3810
30 Jun 1722,071-4,20722,1260
30 Jun 1612,256-34811,5130

Des revenus de qualité: 4385 a un niveau élevé de bénéfices non monétaires.

Augmentation de la marge bénéficiaire: Les marges bénéficiaires nettes actuelles de 4385 sont plus élevées que l'année dernière 4385. (15.7%) sont plus élevées que l'année dernière (8.6%).


Analyse des flux de trésorerie disponibles par rapport aux bénéfices


Analyse de la croissance passée des bénéfices

Tendance des revenus: Les bénéfices de 4385 ont augmenté de manière significative de 52.3% par an au cours des 5 dernières années.

Accélération de la croissance: La croissance des bénéfices de 4385 au cours de l'année écoulée ( 105.7% ) dépasse sa moyenne sur 5 ans ( 52.3% par an).

Bénéfices par rapport au secteur d'activité: La croissance des bénéfices 4385 au cours de l'année écoulée ( 105.7% ) a dépassé celle du secteur Multiline Retail 12.9%.


Rendement des fonds propres

ROE élevé: Bien que le retour sur capitaux propres ( 28.11% ) de 4385 soit élevé, cette mesure est faussée en raison de son niveau d'endettement élevé.


Rendement des actifs


Rendement des capitaux employés


Découvrir des entreprises performantes dans le passé

Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/06/26 20:17
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/06/26 00:00
Les revenus2026/03/31
Revenus annuels2025/06/30

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d'analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github, nous proposons également des guides pour apprendre à utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Mercari, Inc. est couverte par 21 analystes. 13 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
Yoshitaka NagaoBofA Global Research
Junko YamamuraCitigroup Inc
Keiichi YoneshimaCitigroup Inc