New Risk • Apr 19
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended June 2025. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (8.4% operating cash flow to total debt). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported June 2025 fiscal period end). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.2% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€12.3m market cap, or US$14.5m). New Risk • Feb 27
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 5.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (8.4% operating cash flow to total debt). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.6% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€16.0m market cap, or US$18.9m). New Risk • Jan 19
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Italian stocks, typically moving 6.7% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (8.4% operating cash flow to total debt). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (6.7% average weekly change). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€17.6m market cap, or US$20.4m). Major Estimate Revision • Oct 30
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 59% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €58.8m to €54.9m. Losses expected to increase from €0.56 per share to €0.88. Auto Components industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 8.8% next year. Consensus price target down from €6.55 to €5.80. Share price rose 2.1% to €3.87 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Oct 29
Price target decreased by 15% to €5.80 Down from €6.80, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 50% above last closing price of €3.87. Stock is down 26% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.88 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.87 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 28
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 16% to €3.79. The fair value is estimated to be €4.80, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to grow by 14% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 99% in the next year. Major Estimate Revision • May 20
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 605%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from €59.6m to €61.4m. Forecast EPS reduced from -€0.076 to -€0.536 per share. Auto Components industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 25% next year. Consensus price target down from €7.40 to €6.80. Share price was steady at €2.54 over the past week. Price Target Changed • May 19
Price target decreased by 11% to €6.80 Down from €7.68, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 168% above last closing price of €2.54. Stock is down 57% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.54 next year compared to a net loss per share of €0.87 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 30
Now 20% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 23% to €2.80. The fair value is estimated to be €2.33, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.1% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Revenue is forecast to decline by 1.7% in a year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 91% in the next year. Major Estimate Revision • Apr 16
Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded. The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €60.3m to €59.6m. Now expected to report a loss of €0.076 per share instead of €0.03 per share profit previously forecast. Auto Components industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 45% next year. Consensus price target down from €7.68 to €7.40. Share price fell 12% to €2.50 over the past week. Annonce • Apr 16
Cofle S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2025 Cofle S.p.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2025, at 15:00 W. Europe Standard Time. New Risk • Apr 02
New major risk - Financial position The company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Currently running at an operating cash loss. This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (currently running at an operating cash loss). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.0% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€21.1m market cap, or US$22.9m). Reported Earnings • Apr 02
Full year 2024 earnings released Full year 2024 results: Revenue: €60.6m (down 2.7% from FY 2023). Net loss: €5.30m (down €5.66m from profit in FY 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 5.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.4% growth forecast for the Auto Components industry in Italy. New Risk • Feb 21
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Italian stocks, typically moving 7.6% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.6% average weekly change). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€22.4m market cap, or US$23.5m). New Risk • Dec 18
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Italian stocks, typically moving 7.8% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.8% average weekly change). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 291% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€26.1m market cap, or US$27.3m). Major Estimate Revision • Sep 30
Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded. The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from €64.4m to €58.1m. Now expected to report a loss of €0.26 per share instead of €0.23 per share profit previously forecast. Auto Components industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 53% next year. Consensus price target down from €8.40 to €7.30. Share price fell 6.5% to €4.30 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Sep 26
First half 2024 earnings released First half 2024 results: Revenue: €31.5m (up 3.7% from 1H 2023). Net loss: €1.99m (down 408% from profit in 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 2.9% growth forecast for the Auto Components industry in Italy. Annonce • Aug 28
Cofle S.p.A. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Sep 26, 2024 Cofle S.p.A. announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Sep 26, 2024 Upcoming Dividend • May 13
Upcoming dividend of €0.17 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 20 May 2024. Payment date: 22 May 2024. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits and is cash flow negative. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of Italian dividend payers (5.4%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.4%). New Risk • Apr 10
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 7.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.4% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (0.6% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€42.8m market cap, or US$46.4m). Reported Earnings • Mar 31
Full year 2023 earnings released Full year 2023 results: Revenue: €62.3m (up 9.9% from FY 2022). Net income: €359.7k (down 84% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 0.6% (down from 4.0% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.7% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 2.9% growth forecast for the Auto Components industry in Italy. Annonce • Mar 31
Cofle S.p.A. to Report Results on Apr 29, 2024 Cofle S.p.A. to report results on Apr 29, 2024. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 29
Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 21% to €6.45. The fair value is estimated to be €8.47, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last year. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 08
Now 22% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 2.0% to €7.65. The fair value is estimated to be €9.79, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last year. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buying Opportunity • Dec 01
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 42%. The fair value is estimated to be €8.98, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last year. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buying Opportunity • Nov 14
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 40%. The fair value is estimated to be €9.13, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last year. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. New Risk • Oct 28
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 5.2% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.2% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€46.2m market cap, or US$48.8m). Buying Opportunity • Oct 16
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 29%. The fair value is estimated to be €10.80, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last year. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Reported Earnings • Oct 01
First half 2023 earnings released First half 2023 results: Revenue: €30.4m (up 8.3% from 1H 2022). Net income: €645.5k (down 79% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 2.1% (down from 11% in 1H 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.7% growth forecast for the Auto Components industry in Italy. Major Estimate Revision • Sep 28
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 41% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from €1.52 to €0.89. Revenue forecast unchanged from €63.5m at last update. Net income forecast to grow 105% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Auto Components industry in Italy. Consensus price target down from €15.60 to €13.20. Share price fell 2.5% to €11.60 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Sep 27
Price target decreased by 16% to €13.20 Down from €15.70, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 12% above last closing price of €11.80. Stock is down 16% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.89 for next year compared to €0.37 last year. Annonce • Aug 29
Cofle S.p.A. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Sep 28, 2023 Cofle S.p.A. announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results on Sep 28, 2023 Major Estimate Revision • Jul 12
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 revenue forecast increased from €59.8m to €63.6m. EPS estimate fell from €1.72 to €1.52 per share. Net income forecast to grow 210% next year vs 16% growth forecast for Auto Components industry in Italy. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at €15.60. Share price was steady at €12.30 over the past week. New Risk • Jun 22
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Italian stocks, typically moving 5.1% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk No financial data reported. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (5.1% average weekly change). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (14% increase in shares outstanding). Market cap is less than US$100m (€75.1m market cap, or US$82.3m).