AIA Group Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 2/6
AIA Group devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 12.9% et de 3.7% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 14.3% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 17.3% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
12.9%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
14.30%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Insurance croissance des bénéfices | 5.6% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 3.7% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 17.32% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 04 Aug 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 22
1299: Dividend Lift And New Bylaws Will Support Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have inched their consolidated price target for AIA Group lower to about HK$104.36 from around HK$104.43, reflecting slightly updated assumptions on long term revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E multiples. What's in the News AIA Group approved the adoption of new articles of association at its Annual General Meeting held on 22 May 2026, formalizing updated company bylaws.Mise à jour du récit • Jun 02
1299: Dividend Hike And Buyback Plan Will Drive Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have made a marginal upward adjustment to the HK$104.43 price target for AIA Group. This reflects fine tuning of fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions, without a change in the overall thesis.Mise à jour du récit • May 16
1299: Dividend And Buyback Program Will Support Stronger Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have nudged their AIA Group price target slightly lower to about HK$104.43, reflecting modest revisions to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News AIA Group plans to propose the adoption of new articles of association at the Annual General Meeting scheduled for 22 May 2026, which would update the company’s governing rules and structure (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • May 02
1299: Dividend Hike And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns
Analysts have modestly raised their HK$ price target on AIA Group to reflect a fair value estimate of HK$104.46, supported by updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a forward P/E of 18.14x. What's in the News AIA Group plans to present new articles of association for shareholder approval at the Annual General Meeting scheduled for 22 May 2026, signalling upcoming changes to the company’s governing documents (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Apr 17
1299: Dividend Hike And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their HK$ price target for AIA Group, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that remain broadly consistent with prior expectations. What's in the News AIA Group Limited Board has recommended a 10% increase in the final dividend to HK$1.4408 per share for the year ended 31 December 2025, subject to shareholder approval at the AGM on 22 May 2026, with payment expected on 12 June 2026 to shareholders on the register as of 29 May 2026 and an ex dividend date of 28 May 2026 (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Apr 01
1299: Share Buybacks And Higher Dividend Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on AIA Group from about HK$100.40 to roughly HK$103.42, citing updated assumptions that now factor in revenue growth of 3.45%, a profit margin of 32.14% and a forward P/E of 17.80x. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan on March 19, 2026, as part of AIA Group Limited's capital management approach (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Mar 18
1299: Stable Margins And Slightly Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have made a slight adjustment to their HK$ price target on AIA Group, reflecting updated views on future P/E assumptions, while keeping fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin estimates effectively unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: HK$100.40 remains unchanged, with no adjustment to the intrinsic value estimate used in the model.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 03
1299: Higher Profit Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on AIA Group slightly higher to HK$100.40 from HK$100.20, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: HK$100.20 has been adjusted slightly higher to HK$100.40.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 16
1299: Higher Future P/E Multiple Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for AIA Group from HK$99.80 to HK$100.20, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue trends, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: HK$99.80 to HK$100.20, a very small upward adjustment in the modelled estimate.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 02
1299: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Multiple Will Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for AIA Group higher to US$99.80 from about US$96.78, citing updated fair value estimates along with adjusted assumptions for revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E levels. Valuation Changes Fair Value: nudged higher from US$96.78 to US$99.80, reflecting slightly revised model assumptions.Article d’analyse • Jan 30
AIA Group Limited (HKG:1299) Not Flying Under The Radar
When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider...Mise à jour du récit • Jan 19
1299: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Multiple Will Support Upside
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for AIA Group to align with a fair value estimate of about $96.78, up from roughly $96.13, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E levels. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from HK$96.13 to about HK$96.78.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 05
1299: Stable Margins And Higher P/E Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for AIA Group up from HK$95.32 to HK$96.13, citing updated assumptions on long term profitability and P/E multiples, while keeping revenue growth and the discount rate broadly unchanged. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate is now set at HK$96.13, compared with the earlier HK$95.32, reflecting a small upward adjustment in the model output.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 18
1299: Stable Margins And Discount Rate Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on AIA Group slightly higher to reflect a modest increase in fair value to approximately $95.32, supported by stable discount rate assumptions and unchanged expectations for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly, increasing from HK$95.14 to approximately HK$95.32 per share.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 04
1299: Share Buyback And Firm Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on AIA Group, citing a slightly higher fair value estimate of about $95.14, up from roughly $94.44. This change is supported by marginal improvements in projected profit margins and valuation multiples.Article d’analyse • Nov 25
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, AIA Group (HKG:1299) Presents An Opportunity
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Mise à jour du récit • Nov 20
1299: Share Buyback and Steady Margins Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for AIA Group slightly, increasing the fair value estimate by approximately $0.70 to reflect modest improvements in revenue growth expectations and a stable profit margin outlook. What's in the News Between May 23, 2025 and June 30, 2025, AIA Group completed the repurchase of 87,235,600 shares, representing 0.83% of its shares.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 03
1299: Share Buyback Momentum And Dividend Actions Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for AIA Group, increasing the fair value estimate from $91.70 to $93.74. This adjustment is based on improved revenue growth projections and a slightly higher anticipated forward price-to-earnings ratio.Article d’analyse • Aug 25
AIA Group (HKG:1299) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.49
AIA Group Limited's ( HKG:1299 ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.49 per share on 23rd of September. Even...Article d’analyse • Aug 11
Pinning Down AIA Group Limited's (HKG:1299) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
SEHK:1299 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore AIA Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours When...
Nouveau récit • Mar 16
Expansion Into Mainland China Will Increase Customer Base And Strengthen Long-Term Prospects
Strategic expansion and partnerships in China and Hong Kong diversify channels and enhance high-margin revenue growth.Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 28,803 | 9,334 | N/A | 3,530 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 26,437 | 8,313 | N/A | 3,490 | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 23,915 | 7,520 | N/A | 6,200 | 12 |
| 12/31/2025 | 26,215 | 6,234 | 6,714 | 6,970 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 25,853 | 6,145 | 6,542 | 6,799 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 25,490 | 6,056 | 6,369 | 6,628 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 23,979 | 6,446 | 4,698 | 4,946 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 22,467 | 6,836 | 3,026 | 3,263 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 21,730 | 5,832 | 6,080 | 6,359 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 20,992 | 4,828 | 9,133 | 9,455 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 20,375 | 4,296 | 9,863 | 10,187 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 19,757 | 3,764 | 10,593 | 10,919 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 19,454 | 3,901 | 9,501 | 9,717 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 19,151 | 4,038 | 8,409 | 8,514 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 18,458 | 3,685 | 8,945 | 9,191 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 17,764 | 3,331 | 9,481 | 9,867 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 24,079 | 4,528 | 7,259 | 7,910 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 30,393 | 5,725 | 5,037 | 5,953 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 38,375 | 6,576 | 4,153 | 4,931 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 46,357 | 7,427 | 3,269 | 3,909 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 50,633 | 7,127 | 2,581 | 3,047 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 54,909 | 6,827 | 1,892 | 2,185 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 52,880 | 6,303 | 1,998 | 2,271 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 50,851 | 5,779 | 2,103 | 2,357 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 46,970 | 5,298 | 3,647 | 3,863 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 43,089 | 4,817 | 5,191 | 5,368 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 45,517 | 5,398 | 4,180 | 4,353 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 47,945 | 5,979 | 3,168 | 3,337 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 38,528 | 4,051 | N/A | 2,294 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 33,025 | 2,920 | N/A | 1,865 | N/A |
| 11/30/2017 | 38,761 | 6,120 | N/A | 1,451 | N/A |
| 8/31/2017 | 36,151 | 5,572 | N/A | 1,231 | N/A |
| 5/31/2017 | 33,540 | 5,024 | N/A | 1,011 | N/A |
| 2/28/2017 | 30,669 | 4,594 | N/A | 1,188 | N/A |
| 11/30/2016 | 27,797 | 4,164 | N/A | 1,364 | N/A |
| 8/31/2016 | 24,643 | 3,395 | N/A | 1,501 | N/A |
| 5/31/2016 | 21,489 | 2,626 | N/A | 1,638 | N/A |
| 2/29/2016 | 21,988 | 2,696 | N/A | 1,438 | N/A |
| 11/30/2015 | 22,486 | 2,765 | N/A | 1,237 | N/A |
| 8/31/2015 | 24,941 | 3,437 | N/A | 956 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de 1299 ( 12.9% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.1% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de 1299 ( 12.9% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché Hong Kong ( 12.3% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de 1299 devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de 1299 ( 3.7% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de Hong Kong ( 8.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de 1299 ( 3.7% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de 1299 devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 17.3 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/08/07 10:29 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/08/07 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2025/12/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github ; nous proposons également des guides sur la façon d’utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
AIA Group Limited est couverte par 40 analystes. 14 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark William Kellock | Barclays |
| Tianjiao Yu | Bernstein |
| Michael Li | BofA Global Research |