Dunelm Group Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 2/6
Dunelm Group devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 3.6% et de 3.7% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 3.5% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 75.6% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
3.6%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
3.48%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Specialty Retail croissance des bénéfices | 12.6% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 3.7% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 75.56% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 10 Sep 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • Sep 03
DNLM: Reassuring Q4 Trading Update Will Underpin Future Earnings Support
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Dunelm Group to £12.50 from £13.32, reflecting slightly higher assumed risk and a modestly lower future P/E multiple, while still citing recent price target moves such as £1,030 at Jefferies and £820 at Panmure Liberum as support for a more measured outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Dunelm Group points to a more constructive tone among bullish analysts, even where headline price targets have been nudged lower.Mise à jour du récit • Jul 23
DNLM: Reassuring Q4 Trading Update Will Support Earnings Resilience
The analyst price target for Dunelm Group has been trimmed by £0.93 to reflect a slightly lower fair value estimate of £13.32. Analysts are factoring in softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook and a marginally higher future P/E expectation, while recent Street research has shifted towards more cautious but still generally constructive views on the stock.
Mise à jour du récit • Jul 09
DNLM: Softer Consumer Backdrop Will Shape A More Measured Outlook
The latest Narrative Update on Dunelm Group reflects a reduced analyst price target to £850 from £1,200, as analysts incorporate softer UK consumer confidence and slower recent retail spending into lower fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary around Dunelm Group points to a more cautious tone, with price targets reset and ratings trimmed as weaker UK consumer confidence and slower retail spending are factored into valuation models.
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 25
DNLM: Softer UK Confidence Is Expected To Offer Longer Term Upside
The analyst price target for Dunelm Group has been revised lower to £850 from £1,200, as analysts point to softer UK consumer confidence and slower recent retail spending when reassessing the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Dunelm Group reflect a mixed tone, with some analysts trimming price targets while still seeing upside, and others turning more cautious as UK consumer confidence and retail spending soften.Mise à jour du récit • Jun 10
DNLM: Softer Consumer Data Is Expected To Support Future Re Rating
Narrative Update: Dunelm Group Analyst Price Target Shift The analyst price target for Dunelm Group has been reduced, reflecting a slightly lower fair value estimate of £11.04 from £11.31, as analysts factor in softer UK consumer confidence and slower recent retail spending, along with modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dunelm Group highlights a mix of cautious and constructive views as analysts reassess valuation in light of softer UK consumer confidence and slower retail spending data.Mise à jour du récit • May 27
DNLM: Refined Discount Rate And Margins Are Expected To Support Re Rating
Narrative Update Dunelm Group's analyst price target has been trimmed by £18 to £1,332, as analysts factor in slightly lower fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a modest trimming of Dunelm Group's assessed fair value, reflected in a series of price target adjustments from £1,350 to £1,332 per share.Mise à jour du récit • May 01
DNLM: Share Repurchases And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Multiple Re Rating
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Dunelm Group by about £0.60 per share, reflecting slightly more cautious assumptions on growth, margins and P/E, even as recent research includes both a reduced target from Berenberg and upgrades from JPMorgan and Jefferies. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dunelm Group presents a mix of optimism and caution, with some price targets trimmed and others upgraded, all contributing to a more balanced view of valuation and execution risk.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 12
DNLM: Share Repurchases And Recent Upgrades Will Support Future Multiple Re Rating
Analysts have lifted their price target on Dunelm Group to £11.93, reflecting a slightly higher assumed discount rate and P/E multiple, with recent upgrades from several firms outweighing a more cautious stance from Panmure Liberum. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the raised P/E multiple as support for a higher fair value, suggesting the market may be willing to pay more for Dunelm Group's earnings stream if current execution is maintained.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 29
DNLM: Share Buybacks And Recent Upgrades Will Support Future Multiple Re Rating
Analysts have lifted their price target on Dunelm Group to £11.93. This is a modest adjustment supported by updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations following mixed recent research views from major brokers.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 14
DNLM: Share Buybacks And Recent Upgrades Will Support Multiple Re Rating
Analysts have nudged their price target for Dunelm Group higher to £11.93. This reflects updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a slightly adjusted future P/E multiple informed by recent mixed broker calls.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 28
DNLM: Share Buybacks And Steady Margins Will Support Multiple Re Rating
Analysts have inched their average Dunelm Group price target slightly lower to about £11.93, reflecting minor tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, margin profile and future P/E after a mix of recent upgrades and a downgrade in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dunelm Group has been mixed, with two upgrades offset by a downgrade, which helps explain why the average price target has shifted only slightly.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 14
DNLM: Firmer Margins And Reaffirmed FY26 Guidance Will Support Multiple Re Rating
Narrative Update Dunelm Group's analyst price target has edged up to £11.95, with analysts citing slightly firmer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, alongside a modestly lower discount rate and a marginally reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research has produced a mix of optimistic and cautious views on Dunelm Group, with upgrades from JPMorgan and another major broker, alongside a downgrade from a more cautious house.Nouveau récit • Feb 01
Multichannel Expansion And Product Elevation Will Shape A Stronger Long Term Outcome
Catalysts About Dunelm Group Dunelm Group is a U.K. based homewares and furniture retailer with both physical stores and a growing digital offering. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Mise à jour du récit • Jan 30
DNLM: Reaffirmed FY26 Profit Guidance Will Support Multiple Re Rating Potential
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Dunelm Group from £12.21 to £11.94 per share, reflecting slightly softer assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, even as recent research points to improved margin outlook, solid trading, and the potential for faster growth ahead. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the reaffirmed FY26 profit before tax guidance as a sign that management execution is broadly tracking internal plans, which can support confidence in the current valuation framework.Article d’analyse • Jan 30
Dunelm Group plc's (LON:DNLM) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 45% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Dunelm Group fair value estimate is UK£13.42 Current share...Mise à jour du récit • Jan 16
DNLM: Margin Outlook And FY26 Guidance Will Support Re Rating Potential
Our updated analyst price target for Dunelm Group moves slightly lower to £12.21 from £12.87 per share, reflecting analysts' more cautious assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth and profit margins, even as recent Street research highlights mixed sentiment with both target raises and a downgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dunelm Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target changes and at least one rating downgrade.Article d’analyse • Jan 08
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Dunelm Group plc's (LON:DNLM) P/E Ratio
There wouldn't be many who think Dunelm Group plc's ( LON:DNLM ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.9x is worth a...Article d’analyse • Nov 18
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Dunelm Group plc (LON:DNLM)?
Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during...Article d’analyse • Oct 18
Dunelm Group's (LON:DNLM) Earnings Offer More Than Meets The Eye
Dunelm Group plc's ( LON:DNLM ) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the...Article d’analyse • Oct 10
Dunelm Group (LON:DNLM) Has Announced A Dividend Of £0.28
Dunelm Group plc's ( LON:DNLM ) investors are due to receive a payment of £0.28 per share on 25th of November. This...Article d’analyse • Oct 06
We Think Dunelm Group (LON:DNLM) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Article d’analyse • Sep 12
Dunelm Group (LON:DNLM) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.28
Dunelm Group plc's ( LON:DNLM ) investors are due to receive a payment of £0.28 per share on 25th of November. This...Article d’analyse • Sep 11
Estimating The Fair Value Of Dunelm Group plc (LON:DNLM)
Key Insights Dunelm Group's estimated fair value is UK£13.33 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With UK£10.81...Article d’analyse • Jun 17
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Dunelm Group plc (LON:DNLM)?
While Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a significant share price...Article d’analyse • May 02
What Dunelm Group plc's (LON:DNLM) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand...Article d’analyse • Feb 28
Dunelm Group's (LON:DNLM) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's
Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ) will increase its dividend on the 8th of April to £0.515, which is 1.0% higher than last...
Nouveau récit • Feb 17
Investments In Automation And Store Expansion Will Strengthen Market Position In Homewares And Furniture
Dunelm's strategic expansion and product innovation are poised to boost market share and revenue in the homewares sector.Article d’analyse • Feb 14
Dunelm Group (LON:DNLM) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At £0.515
The board of Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 1.0% on the 8th of...Article d’analyse • Jan 19
Dunelm Group plc's (LON:DNLM) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
When close to half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 16x, you may...Article d’analyse • Dec 14
Is There An Opportunity With Dunelm Group plc's (LON:DNLM) 28% Undervaluation?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Dunelm Group is UK£15.49 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Dunelm...Article d’analyse • Nov 15
Shareholders May Be A Bit More Conservative With Dunelm Group plc's (LON:DNLM) CEO Compensation For Now
Key Insights Dunelm Group's Annual General Meeting to take place on 21st of November CEO Nick Wilkinson's total...Article d’analyse • Oct 11
Dunelm Group (LON:DNLM) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.275
The board of Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of £0.275 per share on the 26th of...Article d’analyse • Sep 20
Dunelm Group's (LON:DNLM) Earnings Offer More Than Meets The Eye
The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ) despite the...Article d’analyse • Sep 14
Dunelm Group (LON:DNLM) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.275
Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ) will pay a dividend of £0.275 on the 26th of November. This takes the dividend yield to...Article d’analyse • Aug 13
At UK£11.78, Is Dunelm Group plc (LON:DNLM) Worth Looking At Closely?
Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 17% on the LSE...Article d’analyse • Jun 08
Is There An Opportunity With Dunelm Group plc's (LON:DNLM) 24% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Dunelm Group fair value estimate is UK£14.20 Dunelm Group's...Article d’analyse • Apr 19
Investors Should Be Encouraged By Dunelm Group's (LON:DNLM) Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...Article d’analyse • Mar 29
We Think Dunelm Group (LON:DNLM) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Article d’analyse • Feb 22
We Like Dunelm Group's (LON:DNLM) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit
Dunelm Group plc's ( LON:DNLM ) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the...Article d’analyse • Jan 29
Is It Time To Consider Buying Dunelm Group plc (LON:DNLM)?
While Dunelm Group plc ( LON:DNLM ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price...Article d’analyse • Jan 07
A Look At The Fair Value Of Dunelm Group plc (LON:DNLM)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Dunelm Group is UK£11.68 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Article d’analyse • Nov 28
We Like Dunelm Group's (LON:DNLM) Returns And Here's How They're Trending
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2029 | 2,065 | 173 | 133 | 303 | 9 |
| 6/30/2028 | 1,967 | 159 | 118 | 260 | 10 |
| 6/30/2027 | 1,890 | 153 | 113 | 235 | 12 |
| 6/27/2026 | 1,826 | 156 | 228 | 270 | N/A |
| 3/27/2026 | 1,815 | 153 | 210 | 257 | N/A |
| 12/27/2025 | 1,804 | 150 | 192 | 244 | N/A |
| 9/27/2025 | 1,787 | 153 | 202 | 250 | N/A |
| 6/28/2025 | 1,771 | 156 | 211 | 256 | N/A |
| 3/28/2025 | 1,749 | 154 | 256 | 293 | N/A |
| 12/28/2024 | 1,728 | 152 | 300 | 329 | N/A |
| 9/28/2024 | 1,717 | 152 | 250 | 281 | N/A |
| 6/29/2024 | 1,707 | 151 | 200 | 232 | N/A |
| 3/29/2024 | 1,691 | 150 | 205 | 236 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 1,676 | 150 | 211 | 240 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,658 | 151 | 215 | 240 | N/A |
| 7/1/2023 | 1,639 | 152 | 219 | 241 | N/A |
| 4/1/2023 | 1,630 | 151 | 222 | 244 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,621 | 151 | 224 | 247 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,601 | 161 | 226 | 249 | N/A |
| 7/2/2022 | 1,581 | 171 | 228 | 252 | N/A |
| 4/2/2022 | 1,497 | 162 | 200 | 223 | N/A |
| 12/25/2021 | 1,412 | 152 | 171 | 195 | N/A |
| 9/25/2021 | 1,374 | 141 | 170 | 189 | N/A |
| 6/26/2021 | 1,336 | 129 | 169 | 184 | N/A |
| 3/26/2021 | 1,264 | 120 | 214 | 229 | N/A |
| 12/26/2020 | 1,192 | 110 | 259 | 274 | N/A |
| 9/26/2020 | 1,125 | 99 | 239 | 259 | N/A |
| 6/27/2020 | 1,058 | 88 | 219 | 244 | N/A |
| 3/27/2020 | 1,096 | 100 | N/A | 210 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 1,134 | 113 | N/A | 175 | N/A |
| 9/28/2019 | 1,117 | 107 | N/A | 175 | N/A |
| 6/29/2019 | 1,100 | 101 | N/A | 174 | N/A |
| 3/29/2019 | 1,078 | 93 | N/A | 160 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 1,057 | 84 | N/A | 146 | N/A |
| 9/29/2018 | 1,053 | 79 | N/A | 122 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,050 | 73 | N/A | 99 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,045 | 74 | N/A | 92 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 1,041 | 74 | N/A | 86 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 998 | 74 | N/A | 83 | N/A |
| 7/1/2017 | 956 | 73 | N/A | 80 | N/A |
| 4/1/2017 | 924 | 80 | N/A | 92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 893 | 87 | N/A | 104 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 887 | 95 | N/A | 126 | N/A |
| 7/2/2016 | 881 | 102 | N/A | 148 | N/A |
| 4/2/2016 | 879 | 102 | N/A | 152 | N/A |
| 1/2/2016 | 878 | 102 | N/A | 156 | N/A |
| 10/2/2015 | 857 | 99 | N/A | 137 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de DNLM ( 3.6% par an) est inférieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.6% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de DNLM ( 3.6% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché UK ( 11.2% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de DNLM devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de DNLM ( 3.7% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché UK ( 3.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de DNLM ( 3.7% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de DNLM devrait être très élevé dans 3 ans ( 75.6 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/09/14 00:13 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/09/14 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/06/27 |
| Revenus annuels | 2026/06/27 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github ; nous proposons également des guides sur la façon d’utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.
Découvrez l' qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Dunelm Group plc est couverte par 24 analystes. 12 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christodoulos Chaviaras | Barclays |
| Richard Taylor | Barclays |
| Anne Critchlow | Berenberg |