Sandfire Resources Limited

ASX:SFR Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : AU$8.5b

Sandfire Resources Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 4/6

Sandfire Resources devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 24% et de 6.9% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 25.1% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 16.5% dans 3 ans.

Informations clés

24.0%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

25.06%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Metals and Mining croissance des bénéfices15.1%
Taux de croissance des recettes6.9%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres16.51%
Couverture par les analystes

Good

Dernière mise à jour08 May 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Mise à jour de l'analyse • Apr 24

SFR: Free Cash Flow And Commodity Assumptions Will Guide Fair Outcome

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources by A$0.17 to A$18.81, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E, following recent research that includes higher Street price targets in the A$18 to A$21 range and continued focus on free cash flow and revised commodity price decks. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to strong free cash flow as a key support for the current valuation, arguing that consistent cash generation offers flexibility for funding projects or strengthening the balance sheet.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Apr 09

SFR: Free Cash Flow Strength And 2026 Guidance Will Shape Fair Outcome

Analysts have trimmed the blended fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources by about A$0.10 to A$18.98. Recent Street research price target moves to A$18 and A$21 highlight a mix of updated commodity assumptions and views on cash flow strength.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Mar 25

SFR: Free Cash Flow And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources slightly to A$19.08 from A$18.99, citing updated commodity price assumptions and recent price target moves around A$18 to A$21, which are supported by free cash flow and valuation views. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates offer a mixed but constructive view on Sandfire Resources, with most commentary focused on refreshed commodity price assumptions, free cash flow support and where the shares sit relative to updated price targets.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Mar 10

SFR: Free Cash Flow And 2026 Guidance Will Support Upside Repricing

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources slightly higher to about A$19.00 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as well as recent price target increases to A$18 and A$21 that highlight ongoing focus on free cash flow and revised commodity price forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are pointing to strong free cash flow as a key support for their higher fair value assumptions, suggesting the current P/E they are using in models is underpinned by cash generation rather than just sentiment.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Feb 24

SFR: Free Cash Flow And 2026 Output Guidance Will Support Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources higher to A$18.99 from A$18.53. This reflects updated views on free cash flow strength and revised commodity price assumptions feeding into revenue growth, margin, discount rate and future P/E inputs.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Feb 09

SFR: Updated Production Outlook And Margins Will Likely Support Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have nudged their price target for Sandfire Resources higher to A$18.53 from A$18.26, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue, profit margins and a slightly lower expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Sandfire issued new production guidance for fiscal 2026, with Group copper equivalent (CuEq) output expected in a range of 149 kt to 165 kt.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Jan 26

SFR: Updated Margin And Production Assumptions Will Likely Sustain Balanced Risk Profile

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price target for Sandfire Resources from A$15.65 to A$18.26, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly revised discount rate and P/E expectations. What's in the News Sandfire Resources issued new production guidance for fiscal 2026, outlining expected Group CuEq production in a range of 149 kt to 165 kt.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Jan 11

SFR: Higher Margin Assumptions Will Likely Sustain Material Downside Risk

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Sandfire Resources to A$15.65 from A$15.30, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from A$15.30 to A$15.65.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Dec 15

SFR: Future Profitability Assumptions Will Likely Expose Downside Risk

Analysts have raised their price target for Sandfire Resources by approximately A$0.64 to A$15.30, citing slightly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from A$14.66 to A$15.30 per share, reflecting a modest uplift in intrinsic valuation.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Dec 01

SFR: Fair Value Will Remain Balanced Despite Marginal Profit Pressure

Analysts have raised their price target for Sandfire Resources slightly, from $14.59 to $14.66, citing modest improvements in projected revenue growth and fair value estimates. Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen slightly from A$14.59 to A$14.66.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Nov 16

SFR: Profit Margin Outlook Will Not Offset Overvaluation Risk

Narrative Update on Sandfire Resources: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have increased their price target for Sandfire Resources slightly, raising it from $14.53 to $14.59. The change is attributed to improved profit margin forecasts and a modest uptick in fair value, even though revenue growth expectations have been tempered.
Article d'analyse • Nov 01

An Intrinsic Calculation For Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) Suggests It's 38% Undervalued

Key Insights Sandfire Resources' estimated fair value is AU$26.11 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Nov 01

SFR: Rising Discount Rate May Pressure Price Performance

Analysts have raised Sandfire Resources’ fair value estimate from $13.51 to $14.53 per share, citing improvements in revenue growth and profit margin forecasts as key drivers for the upward revision. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has increased from A$13.51 to A$14.53 per share.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Oct 18

Motheo Copper Mine And MATSA Will Secure Future Supply

Analysts have raised their price target for Sandfire Resources from $12.26 to $13.51. They highlighted improved profit margins and a more favorable long-term outlook as key drivers for the update.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Oct 03

Motheo Copper Mine And MATSA Will Secure Future Supply

Analysts have raised their price target for Sandfire Resources from $11.87 to $12.26 per share. They cite improved revenue growth projections and a higher forecasted fair value for the company.
Mise à jour de l'analyse • Sep 04

Motheo Copper Mine And MATSA Will Secure Future Supply

Sandfire Resources’ future P/E has risen sharply while revenue growth forecasts have weakened, suggesting a less favorable earnings outlook, though the consensus price target has only edged up slightly to A$11.87. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Sandfire Resources The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from A$11.69 to A$11.87.
Article d'analyse • Aug 28

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Revenues Yet

Sandfire Resources Limited's ( ASX:SFR ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x might make it look like a strong buy...
Article d'analyse • May 18

Is Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
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Nouvelle analyse • May 11

MATSA And Motheo Production Will Advance Operational Efficiency

Projected production increases and successful cost management at MATSA and Motheo could boost revenue and enhance financial stability.

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

ASX:SFR - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (USD Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
6/30/20281,75646757580212
6/30/20271,81647355180613
6/30/20261,58330546069013
12/31/20251,289139339551N/A
9/30/20251,239116330537N/A
6/30/20251,18993322524N/A
3/31/20251,13990289499N/A
12/31/20241,08687256474N/A
9/30/20241,01135189410N/A
6/30/2024935-17123345N/A
3/31/2024864-4744289N/A
12/31/2023794-78-35233N/A
9/30/2023801-65-123175N/A
6/30/2023808-52-210117N/A
3/31/2023929-11-110200N/A
12/31/20221,05129-10283N/A
9/30/20229907088337N/A
6/30/2022929111185391N/A
3/31/2022798125207375N/A
12/31/2021667139229359N/A
9/30/2021637134244353N/A
6/30/2021608129259348N/A
3/31/2021573103206294N/A
12/31/202052175136216N/A
9/30/202048663122202N/A
6/30/202045351110189N/A
3/31/20203965190152N/A
12/31/20194436493156N/A
9/30/201941367N/A146N/A
6/30/201941675N/A148N/A
3/31/201941178N/A159N/A
12/31/201839879N/A166N/A
9/30/201841085N/A174N/A
6/30/201842291N/A181N/A
3/31/201842786N/A181N/A
12/31/201742378N/A176N/A
9/30/201741470N/A173N/A
6/30/201739460N/A166N/A
3/31/201739356N/A152N/A
12/31/201637350N/A132N/A
9/30/201638845N/A121N/A
6/30/201637036N/A100N/A
3/31/201638939N/A117N/A
12/31/201537540N/A125N/A
9/30/201537443N/A139N/A
6/30/201542253N/A172N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de SFR ( 24% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.6% ).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de SFR ( 24% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché Australian ( 12% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de SFR devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de SFR ( 6.9% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché Australian ( 6.4% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de SFR ( 6.9% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.

Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action

Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de SFR devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 16.5 %).

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Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/05/09 19:46
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/05/08 00:00
Les revenus2025/12/31
Revenus annuels2025/06/30

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Sandfire Resources Limited est couverte par 29 analystes. 13 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
April LowisBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Glyn LawcockBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited