Santos Limited

ASX:STO Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : AU$23.8b

Santos Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 3/6

Santos devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 12.6% et de 6.8% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 12.9% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 9.3% dans 3 ans.

Informations clés

12.6%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

12.94%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Oil and Gas croissance des bénéfices11.6%
Taux de croissance des recettes6.8%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres9.33%
Couverture par les analystes

Good

Dernière mise à jour18 Jun 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Article d’analyse Jun 16

Santos (ASX:STO) Shares Could Be 16.2% Undervalued After Pikka First Oil

Santos (ASX:STO) is back in focus after reaching first oil at the Alaska Pikka project, a milestone that puts the upcoming third quarter production ramp and the company’s debt reduction plans under closer investor scrutiny. See our latest analysis for Santos. Despite the Pikka milestone and focus on higher production, Santos shares have eased in recent weeks, with a 30 day share price return of 5.46% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 0.62%. This suggests momentum has cooled after a...
Mise à jour du récit Jun 06

STO: Future Returns Will Depend On Papua LNG Sanction And Cash Flow

Analysts have adjusted their A$ fair value estimate for Santos to A$8.81, a move supported by updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and the stock's forward P/E profile. What's in the News Santos has reaffirmed its full year 2026 guidance, with recent updates pointing to higher quarterly production and stable free cash flow generation.
Mise à jour du récit May 01

STO: Future Returns Will Depend On Low Costs And Papua LNG Execution

Analysts have nudged their price target on Santos higher to A$8.59 from A$8.56, citing updated fair value work that reflects its low cost operating model and planned production growth, supported by expectations around Papua LNG reaching final investment decision by mid 2026. Analyst Commentary Analysts reacting to the recent update on Santos are highlighting both supports and pressure points for the equity story, with views clustering around execution on growth projects, cash generation and how much of the medium term outlook is already reflected in the share price.
Mise à jour du récit Apr 16

STO: Future Upside Will Rely On Low Costs And Papua LNG Progress

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Santos higher, with fair value moving from A$8.49 to A$8.56. This reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins and production outlook tied to recent research that highlights Santos' low cost model and planned production expansion supported by progress at Papua LNG.
Mise à jour du récit Apr 02

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Low Costs And Papua LNG Execution Risk

The analyst fair value estimate for Santos has shifted from A$7.95 to A$8.49. The change is linked to recent upgrades that highlight the company's low cost model and planned production growth as key supports for higher price targets around A$7.30 to A$7.50.
Mise à jour du récit Mar 11

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Low Costs And Asset Review Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their average price target for Santos to about A$7.95, up from roughly A$7.55, citing a solid in line result, expectations for more than 25% production growth by 2027 and a supportive low cost operating model, along with updated Street views that factor in more moderate assumptions for future commodity prices. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to Santos' low cost operating model as a key support for margins and cash generation potential, which they see as helping to underpin the higher A$7.30 to A$7.50 price targets.
Nouveau récit Mar 06

Santos: Undervalued After Takeover Fallout

Santos (ASX: STO) experienced a sharp share price drop after the failed A$36 billion takeover by a consortium led by ADNOC. While the deal’s withdrawal removed a near-term premium, it highlighted the strategic value of Santos’ LNG and gas assets.
Mise à jour du récit Feb 25

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Low Costs And Papua LNG Execution Risk

The analyst price target for Santos has moved from A$6.75 to A$7.50, with analysts pointing to a solid in line result, a low cost operating model, and expectations for production growth and Papua LNG progress as key supports for the higher fair value and slightly adjusted discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the move in price targets to A$7.30 to A$7.50 as better aligning the stock with their updated fair value assumptions after a solid in line result and a reaffirmed low cost operating model.
Mise à jour du récit Feb 10

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Less Bearish 2026 Commodity Assumptions

Narrative Update on Santos Analysts have trimmed their Santos price target slightly to A$7.29 from A$7.38, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate and future P/E as they factor in expectations for 2026 oil and gas prices that are less bearish than broader consensus. Analyst Commentary Recent research has seen a shift in tone around Santos, with bullish analysts lifting their stance even while building in lower oil and gas price assumptions for 2026.
Mise à jour du récit Jan 26

STO: Future Share Momentum Will Reflect Less Bearish 2026 Commodity Assumptions

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Santos to about A$7.38 from roughly A$7.56, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly softer revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher expected future P/E. They still view the shares more positively relative to consensus expectations for oil and gas prices into 2026.
Mise à jour du récit Jan 12

STO: Future Share Momentum Will Reflect Firmer 2026 Pricing Expectations

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Santos to A$7.56 from A$7.53, reflecting slightly higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as some now expect oil and gas prices in 2026 to be less weak than broader forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the upgrade alongside a A$7.30 price target as support for the revised fair value, suggesting current assumptions on revenue growth, margins and P/E are within a range some investors may find reasonable.
Mise à jour du récit Dec 14

STO: Future Share Momentum Will Reflect Takeover Clarity And Rising Free Cash Flows

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Santos by A$0.29 to A$7.53, reflecting a slightly lower fair value and profit margin outlook, while also highlighting improving long term free cash flow prospects and a supportive valuation following the withdrawal of the XRG takeover proposal. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the withdrawal of the XRG takeover proposal as removing a key overhang, allowing the market to refocus on Santos fundamentals and intrinsic valuation support.
Mise à jour du récit Nov 28

STO: Share Momentum Expected As Takeover Uncertainty Ends And Cash Flows Improve

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Santos from A$7.77 to A$7.82. They highlight an improved outlook following the withdrawal of the XRG consortium’s takeover bid and expectations for increased free cash flow as major projects advance.
Mise à jour du récit Nov 14

STO: Free Cash Flow Growth Expected As Key Projects Reach Completion

The analyst price target for Santos has increased slightly from A$7.76 to A$7.77. This reflects analysts' view that the withdrawal of a takeover proposal and expectations for improved cash flow from major projects support a higher valuation.
Mise à jour du récit Oct 31

STO: Focus Will Shift To Project Delivery Following Takeover Withdrawal

The analyst price target for Santos has been modestly reduced from A$7.88 to A$7.76. Analysts are factoring in adjusted expectations for revenue growth and profit margins following the withdrawal of the XRG takeover proposal and continued focus on future project execution.
Mise à jour du récit Oct 17

Barossa LNG And CCS Initiatives Will Drive Future Energy Transition

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Santos from A$8.10 to A$7.88. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins.
Mise à jour du récit Oct 03

Barossa LNG And CCS Initiatives Will Drive Future Energy Transition

Analysts have revised Santos' fair value estimate downward from A$8.37 to A$8.10. This change reflects updated expectations for stronger revenue growth and profit margins, along with sector valuation considerations after the XRG takeover proposal was withdrawn.
Mise à jour du récit Sep 16

Barossa LNG And CCS Initiatives Will Drive Future Energy Transition

Analysts have lowered Santos’s price target from A$8.51 to A$8.37 primarily due to concerns over risks to the completion of XRG's acquisition proposal. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cite potential risks to the completion of XRG's acquisition proposal as a reason for the downgrade and reduced price target.
Mise à jour du récit Aug 27

Securing Long-Term LNG Agreements Will Sustain Cash Flows Beyond 2029

Analysts have revised Santos’ price target upward to A$8.58, primarily reflecting concerns over risks to the XRG acquisition proposal, which has prompted a more cautious outlook. Analyst Commentary Concern over potential risks to XRG's acquisition proposal completing, leading to a more cautious outlook and lower price target.
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Nouveau récit Feb 23

Securing Long-Term LNG Agreements Will Sustain Cash Flows Beyond 2029

Santos's production is set to increase significantly with new projects, boosting revenue and lowering costs.

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

ASX:STO - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (USD Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
12/31/20287,1201,8472,5034,22111
12/31/20277,3972,0042,5904,36911
12/31/20267,1901,9812,0343,72511
12/31/20254,9398187572,813N/A
9/30/20255,0949237262,888N/A
6/30/20255,2491,0276942,962N/A
3/31/20255,3151,1265722,906N/A
12/31/20245,3811,2244492,850N/A
9/30/20245,5071,2435252,960N/A
6/30/20245,6331,2626013,070N/A
3/31/20245,7611,3397453,164N/A
12/31/20235,8891,4168893,258N/A
9/30/20236,4401,5761,4683,654N/A
6/30/20236,9911,7352,0474,049N/A
3/31/20237,3911,9242,4494,304N/A
12/31/20227,7902,1122,8514,558N/A
9/30/20227,1151,7922,4654,013N/A
6/30/20226,4391,4712,0783,467N/A
3/31/20225,5761,0651,6242,870N/A
12/31/20214,7136581,1692,272N/A
9/30/20214,2364729461,926N/A
6/30/20213,7592867231,580N/A
3/31/20213,573-357151,528N/A
12/31/20203,387-3577061,476N/A
9/30/20203,557-1808221,655N/A
6/30/20203,727-39381,833N/A
3/31/20203,8803361,0541,940N/A
12/31/20194,0336741,1692,046N/A
9/30/20193,994794N/A2,016N/A
6/30/20193,954914N/A1,985N/A
3/31/20193,807772N/A1,782N/A
12/31/20183,660630N/A1,578N/A
9/30/20183,496440N/A1,415N/A
6/30/20183,331250N/A1,252N/A
3/31/20183,216-55N/A1,250N/A
12/31/20173,100-360N/A1,248N/A
9/30/20172,976-404N/A1,219N/A
6/30/20172,852-449N/A1,189N/A
3/31/20172,723-748N/A1,015N/A
12/31/20162,594-1,047N/A840N/A
9/30/20162,483-2,067N/A763N/A
6/30/20162,372-3,087N/A686N/A
3/31/20162,407-2,520N/A749N/A
12/31/20152,442-1,953N/A811N/A
9/30/20152,607-1,363N/A1,000N/A
6/30/20152,916-848N/A1,262N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de STO ( 12.6% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.6% ).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de STO ( 12.6% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché Australian ( 12.1% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de STO devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de STO ( 6.8% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché Australian ( 6.2% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de STO ( 6.8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.


Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action


Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de STO devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 9.3 %).


Découvrir les entreprises en croissance

Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/06/19 11:51
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/06/19 00:00
Les revenus2025/12/31
Revenus annuels2025/12/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d'analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github, nous proposons également des guides pour apprendre à utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Santos Limited est couverte par 19 analystes. 11 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
NEIL BEVERIDGEBernstein
Matt ChalmersBofA Global Research