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Update shared on27 Aug 2025

Fair value Increased 3.01%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
AU$8.58
6.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
28 Aug
AU$8.00
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1Y
11.7%
7D
3.9%

Analysts have revised Santos’ price target upward to A$8.58, primarily reflecting concerns over risks to the XRG acquisition proposal, which has prompted a more cautious outlook.


Analyst Commentary


  • Concern over potential risks to XRG's acquisition proposal completing, leading to a more cautious outlook and lower price target.

What's in the News


  • Santos announced an ordinary fully paid dividend of USD 0.1340 per security for the six months ended June 30, 2025.
  • XRG P.J.S.C, Abu Dhabi Developmental Holding Company PJSC, and The Carlyle Group proposed to acquire Santos for AUD 28.8 billion (AUD 8.89 per share) via a scheme of arrangement; the Board intends to unanimously recommend the deal, subject to a binding SIA and independent expert approval.
  • The consortium has entered into an exclusivity deed, with six weeks of exclusive due diligence access, and the transaction is subject to regulatory approvals in Australia, Papua New Guinea, and the United States.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Santos

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from A$8.33 to A$8.58.
  • The Future P/E for Santos has significantly risen from 13.78x to 20.83x.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Santos has significantly risen from 7.4% per annum to 10.3% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.