Challenger Limited

ASX:CGF Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : AU$6.6b

Challenger Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 1/6

Le chiffre d'affaires de Challenger devrait diminuer de 24.9% par an tandis que ses bénéfices annuels devraient croître de 4.6% par an. Le BPA devrait croître de de 6.5% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 13.2% dans 3 ans.

Informations clés

4.6%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

6.46%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Diversified Financial croissance des bénéfices-19.8%
Taux de croissance des recettes-24.9%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres13.19%
Couverture par les analystes

Good

Dernière mise à jour03 Sep 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Mise à jour du récit • Aug 19

CGF: Higher Multiple And Dividend Payout Will Face Execution Test

Analysts have lifted their Challenger price targets by A$0.40 to A$0.43, citing updated assumptions that include a higher fair value estimate, a revised discount rate, steeper revenue declines, stronger profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on asset managers offers some useful context for Challenger investors who are weighing the updated price targets.
Nouveau récit • Jul 28

Aging Population And APRA Reforms Will Support Long-Term Retirement Income Upside

Catalysts About Challenger Challenger focuses on guaranteed retirement income products and related investment and reinsurance solutions. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Mise à jour du récit • Jul 17

CGF: Retirement Tailwinds And Breakout Pattern Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their price target for Challenger to A$10.32 from A$9.75, citing slightly lower required returns, a modestly improved profit margin outlook and updated assumptions for long term P/E multiples across asset managers. Analyst Commentary Recent valuation work on Challenger is being shaped by broader views on listed asset managers, where research on peers highlights both supportive and challenging factors for the sector.
Nouveau récit • Jul 14

Offshore Reinsurance And Private Credit Dependence Will Strain Future Retirement Income Margins

Catalysts About Challenger Challenger focuses on retirement income products, annuities and funds management, with a core presence in the Australian market and an expanding offshore reinsurance business. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Mise à jour du récit • Jul 03

CGF: Retirement Tailwinds And Chart Breakout Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Challenger up from A$9.43 to A$9.75. This reflects slightly lower discount rate assumptions, a marginally weaker revenue outlook, and a modestly higher projected profit margin and future P/E multiple.
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 18

CGF: Retirement Tailwinds And Risk Recalibration Will Guide Future Share Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their Challenger price target to A$9.43. This reflects slightly lower assumed risk in the discount rate while keeping fair value and earnings expectations broadly unchanged.
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 03

CGF: Earnings Delivery And P E Calibration Will Shape Future Repricing Path

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Challenger slightly higher to A$9.43 from A$9.38, reflecting small adjustments to discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations and projected profit margins, while keeping future P/E assumptions broadly in line with recent sector research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research around global alternative asset managers, including several price target cuts for Carlyle from large brokers such as JPMorgan and others, highlights how quickly sentiment can swing when earnings quality is under scrutiny.
Mise à jour du récit • May 14

CGF: Capital Returns And P E Calibration Will Shape Future Repricing Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger by A$0.09 to reflect slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value estimates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research on alternative asset managers has focused on resetting valuation assumptions, adjusting earnings expectations for fee based businesses and reassessing how much multiple investors may be willing to pay for forward earnings.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 27

CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger to A$9.38 from A$9.50, citing slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the discount rate broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research across the broader asset management sector shows a mix of optimism and caution on valuation, execution and growth, which offers useful context for Challenger investors assessing the latest price target trim.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 09

CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target for Challenger slightly higher to A$9.50 from A$9.44, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate and future P/E that are broadly consistent with recent adjustments seen across alternative asset managers. Analyst Commentary The recent tweak to Challenger's A$9.50 price target fits into a broader pattern that research desks have been applying across global alternative asset managers, including the Carlyle updates referenced here.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 25

CGF: Capital Returns And Fee Margins Will Drive Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have adjusted Challenger's price target slightly lower to A$9.44, citing updated sector-wide assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and future P/E multiples, while still reflecting the same fair value estimate in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent changes to Challenger's valuation echo broader adjustments seen across the alternative asset manager space, where analysts have been fine tuning targets in response to updated assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and P/E multiples.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 11

CGF: Capital Returns And Fee Margins Will Drive Forward Market Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their A$ price target on Challenger, citing slightly more cautious assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends and margins, while still applying a modestly higher future P/E multiple in line with recent sector research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on global alternative asset managers provides some context for how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth and execution risks that can be relevant when assessing Challenger.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 23

CGF: Capital Returns And Margin Execution Will Shape Forward Market Sentiment

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger to A$9.44 from A$9.63. This reflects slightly softer revenue growth expectations, a modestly lower discount rate, improved profit margin assumptions and a lower future P/E multiple.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 09

CGF: Sector Sentiment And Fee-Based Opportunities Will Shape Forward Returns

Analysts have nudged up their price target on Challenger, citing slightly higher fair value estimates, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to future P/E assumptions as the key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts around the sector are using higher price targets and slightly richer P/E assumptions to signal confidence in execution and earnings quality for similar asset managers, and that tone is feeding into how some investors read the recent Challenger target move.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 24

CGF: Sector Sentiment Swings And Credit Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Narrative Update on Challenger Analysts have nudged their price targets on Challenger slightly higher, reflecting a modest uplift in their fair value estimate to 9.58, a small change in the discount rate, and only marginal adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around comparable alternative asset managers gives some useful context for how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth, and execution risk for names like Challenger.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 06

CGF: Capital Markets Recovery And Credit Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have made a modest trim to their price target on Challenger to about A$9.47 from roughly A$9.47. This reflects slight adjustments to fair value, discount rate assumptions and expected P/E, while still seeing support from a recovering capital markets backdrop cited in recent research on alternative asset managers.
Mise à jour du récit • Dec 15

CGF: Capital Markets Rebound And Credit Concerns Will Shape Returns Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target on Challenger modestly higher to reflect a slightly lower perceived risk profile and stable long term earnings multiples, even as they continue to factor in cautious assumptions around capital markets activity and muted near term returns across alternative asset managers. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research on alternative asset managers highlights a mixed but generally constructive backdrop that informs views on Challenger.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 28

CGF: Capital Markets Activity And Credit Conditions Will Drive Sentiment This Year

Challenger's analyst price target has increased slightly, rising from $9.38 to $9.47. Analysts cite broader market stabilization and modest improvements in sector valuation expectations.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 13

CGF: Capital Market Activity And Discount Rates Will Influence Market Sentiment This Year

Challenger's analyst price target has increased modestly, rising by $0.18 to $9.38. Analysts are factoring in stable revenue growth, a slightly improved discount rate, and supportive updates from recent sector research, despite ongoing concerns over valuations and expected returns.
Mise à jour du récit • Oct 30

CGF: Future Market Conditions Will Guide Earnings Momentum And Balance Near-Term Risks

Analysts have increased their price target for Challenger from $9.03 to $9.19 per share, citing expectations for improved capital markets conditions and positive momentum in fundamentals. This comes despite modest adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin forecasts.
Mise à jour du récit • Oct 16

APRA Reforms And Digital Integration Will Uplift Retirement Income Sectors

Challenger's analyst price target has been modestly increased to $9.03 from $8.83, as analysts cite improving fundamentals and expectations of stronger future performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a range of perspectives on Challenger's outlook, shedding light on both optimism and reservations among analysts.
Mise à jour du récit • Sep 04

APRA Reforms And Digital Integration Will Uplift Retirement Income Sectors

Despite improved business momentum, sector tailwinds, and greater earnings diversification supporting a positive outlook, the Challenger consensus Analyst Price Target remained unchanged at A$8.83. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong Q2 results and accelerating business momentum as key drivers for upward price target revisions.
Article d’analyse • Jul 24

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Price

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider...
Article d’analyse • Mar 28

Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Price In Tune With Earnings

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider...
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Nouveau récit • Feb 23

Focus On Longer-Duration Annuities And Technology Will Improve Future Efficiency

Strategic sales shift to longer-duration annuities boosts book quality, earnings, and ROE, with a focus on lifetime and Japanese annuities.
Article d’analyse • Dec 10

Earnings Tell The Story For Challenger Limited (ASX:CGF)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.9x Challenger Limited ( ASX:CGF ) may be sending bearish signals at the...
Article d’analyse • Aug 16

Challenger's (ASX:CGF) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Challenger Limited's ( ASX:CGF ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to A$0.135 on...
Article d’analyse • Aug 14

Challenger Limited (ASX:CGF) Not Flying Under The Radar

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.7x Challenger Limited ( ASX:CGF ) may be sending very bearish signals...
Article d’analyse • Dec 19

Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider...
Article d’analyse • Aug 19

Challenger's (ASX:CGF) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Challenger Limited's ( ASX:CGF ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 20th of September to A$0.12, with...

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

ASX:CGF - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (AUD Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
6/30/20291,0265125344978
6/30/20289694805094529
6/30/20279364934698249
6/30/20262,8694691,8891,889N/A
12/31/20252,8004591,8841,884N/A
9/30/20252,9453261,1421,142N/A
6/30/20252,853168399400N/A
3/31/20253,017170370371N/A
12/31/20243,003147341342N/A
9/30/20242,896141695697N/A
6/30/20242,7891351,0501,051N/A
3/31/20242,993168789793N/A
12/31/20233,196202529535N/A
9/30/20232,886191906913N/A
6/30/20232,5751791,2831,291N/A
3/31/20234181091,7111,717N/A
12/31/2022-917152,1572,161N/A
9/30/2022-6241402,3212,324N/A
6/30/2022-3302642,4842,487N/A
3/31/20221,5924602,7772,784N/A
12/31/20213,5156563,0693,081N/A
9/30/20213,4216242,8172,829N/A
6/30/20213,3265922,5642,577N/A
3/31/20212,604891,4761,486N/A
12/31/20201,883-414388394N/A
9/30/20201,848-415432440N/A
6/30/20201,814-416476485N/A
3/31/20202,69453N/A712N/A
12/31/20193,575522N/A939N/A
9/30/20193,428415N/A796N/A
6/30/20193,280308N/A652N/A
3/31/20192,968221N/A1,159N/A
12/31/20182,655133N/A1,665N/A
9/30/20182,760228N/A1,821N/A
6/30/20182,865323N/A1,977N/A
3/31/20182,997357N/A1,801N/A
12/31/20173,128392N/A1,624N/A
9/30/20173,035395N/A1,611N/A
6/30/20172,941398N/A1,597N/A
3/31/20172,490346N/A1,676N/A
12/31/20162,040295N/A1,755N/A
9/30/20162,039311N/A1,519N/A
6/30/20162,038328N/A1,282N/A
3/31/20162,017365N/A1,049N/A
12/31/20151,996403N/A815N/A
9/30/20151,950351N/A815N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de CGF ( 4.6% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.8% ).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de CGF ( 4.6% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché Australian ( 11.2% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de CGF devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Les revenus de CGF devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -24.9% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Les revenus de CGF devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -24.9% par an).

Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action

Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de CGF devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 13.2 %).

Découvrir les entreprises en croissance

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Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/09/09 07:36
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/09/09 00:00
Les revenus2026/06/30
Revenus annuels2026/06/30

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github ; nous proposons également des guides sur la façon d’utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.

Découvrez l' qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Challenger Limited est couverte par 17 analystes. 9 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
Andrew AdamsBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Marcus BarnardBell Potter
Freya KongBofA Global Research