CarMax Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 3/6
Se prevé que los ingresos de CarMax disminuyan en un 0.7% al año, mientras que se espera que sus beneficios anuales crezcan en un 23.3% al año. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 23.5% anual. Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 7.4% en 3 años.
Información clave
23.3%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
23.50%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Specialty Retail | 9.6% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | -0.7% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 7.40% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 01 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And New Leadership Will Drive Re Rating Potential
The updated analyst price target on CarMax reflects a modest reset, with a roughly $2 swing in recent targets as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple based on the latest research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while others stay more cautious on the shares.KMX: Starboard Turnaround Push And AI Rollout Will Drive Re Rating Potential
Analysts have adjusted the CarMax fair value estimate upward by about $1.73 to $77.89, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E expectations following a mix of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on CarMax shows a mix of views, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets upward while a few take a more cautious stance.CarMax: Patience Can Be Rewarded After Cautious 2027 Guidance
Apr 14
KMX: Activist Demands And Execution Risks Will Limit Future Share Returns
Analysts have lifted their price targets on CarMax by mid single digit dollar amounts, citing refreshed models following the recent investor meeting and updated views on the company's earnings power, as reflected in slightly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CarMax has centered on refreshed models following the investor meeting, with several firms revising their price targets by mid single digit dollar amounts.KMX: Activist Pressure And Execution Risks Will Restrain Future Share Returns
Analysts have nudged CarMax price targets higher, with recent moves such as Evercore ISI raising its target to $39 from $37 and Baird moving to $48 from $44, reflecting updated views on the company following its investor meeting and other research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on CarMax show a mix of support and caution.KMX: Refreshed Investor Day Plan And AI Initiatives Will Drive Re Rating Potential
Narrative Update on CarMax Analysts have lifted their price target for CarMax by $4 to $48, citing refreshed models after the recent investor meeting, improved revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower expected future P/E multiple in their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more constructive tone on CarMax, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets after reviewing the latest investor meeting materials and updating their models.KMX: Refreshed Investor Day Framework Will Drive Re Rating Potential
Analysts have raised their CarMax price targets, with recent updates moving one estimate to $48 from $44 and others higher by $2 to $4. They cited refreshed models following the company’s investor meeting and modestly adjusted expectations for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E.KMX: Mixed Sector Backdrop And Weaker Margins Will Pressure Future Returns
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on CarMax by a few dollars, citing mixed sector fundamentals, questions around the company’s direction, and lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E, which together support a more conservative but still constructive outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research around CarMax has centered on how the business fits into a mixed auto retail sector, with some firms taking a cautious stance even as they fine tune price targets.KMX: Digital Auction Execution Will Drive Re Rating Potential Despite Sector Caution
The analyst price target for CarMax has been cut from about US$114 to roughly US$75, with analysts citing a reduced revenue growth outlook, a lower assumed future P/E multiple, and ongoing uncertainty around the company’s strategy. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage highlights that views on CarMax are cautious overall, but there are still a few angles that more optimistic investors might focus on.CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
Jan 18
KMX: Future Returns Will Hinge On Credit Risk And Execution Clarity
Narrative Update: CarMax Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have reduced their average CarMax price target by $32, from $78 to $46. This reflects fresh concerns around the company's strategy and credit risk, even as they point to mixed but resilient sector fundamentals and updated earnings guidance.KMX: Future Returns Will Depend On Credit Normalization Amid Execution Concerns
Analysts have trimmed their CarMax fair value estimate by about $1.50 per share to roughly $38, reflecting a series of reduced Street price targets in the $40s and $50s as concerns mount over slowing unit growth, weaker margins, and uncertainty around the company’s strategic execution. Analyst Commentary Street research on CarMax has shifted decisively toward caution, but views are not uniformly negative.KMX: Future Recovery Will Hinge On Loan Loss And Credit Normalization
Analysts have trimmed their CarMax price target slightly, reflecting a modest reset in fair value to about $40 per share as they factor in weaker unit trends, persistent credit headwinds, and increased uncertainty around the company’s strategic execution. Analyst Commentary Research coverage around CarMax has tilted more cautious in recent weeks, with multiple firms cutting price targets and downgrading ratings as they recalibrate expectations for growth, margins, and credit performance.KMX: Recovery Will Depend On Resolution Of Loan Loss Headwinds
CarMax's analyst price target has been reduced significantly from approximately $55 to $40 per share, as analysts cite weaker revenue growth, margin compression, and persistent headwinds in retail trends and credit quality. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage on CarMax reflects a divided outlook in the wake of disappointing financial results and evolving market dynamics.Not Many Are Piling Into CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%
Nov 18KMX: Future Recovery Will Rely on Easing Loan Loss Pressures
CarMax's analyst price target has been lowered significantly, with the consensus now reflecting a cut of more than $20 per share. Analysts cite continued earnings misses, weaker retail sales, and growing uncertainty around the company’s recovery outlook.Auto Credit Trends And Digital Expansion Will Shape Dealer Reach Ahead
CarMax’s analyst fair value target has been lowered from $57.79 to $55.50. Analysts cite continued softness in earnings, elevated loan losses, and weaker retail sales forecasts following recent quarterly results.Auto Finance And Digital Sales Will Expand Dealer Reach
CarMax's fair value estimate has been revised sharply lower, dropping from $76.93 to $57.79. Analysts point to mounting sales uncertainty, downward earnings revisions, and lack of visible turnaround strategies following weaker-than-expected Q2 results and multiple price target cuts across the Street.CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%
Sep 27Auto Finance And Digital Sales Will Expand Dealer Reach
CarMax’s consensus price target has been reduced from $81.44 to $76.93 as weaker-than-expected Q2 results, increased uncertainty around future strategy, and ongoing operating headwinds overshadow cautious optimism regarding operational improvements and growth initiatives. Analyst Commentary Weak Q2 results, including a broad earnings miss and underperformance across key metrics, have raised doubts about CarMax's ability to sustain market leadership and deliver additional growth.A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX)
Sep 10Investors Could Be Concerned With CarMax's (NYSE:KMX) Returns On Capital
Aug 09Earnings Tell The Story For CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX)
Jun 15Why CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Could Be Worth Watching
May 25CarMax: Tariff Benefits Appear Priced In
Mar 28CarMax: Near-Term Growth Outlook Is Not Great
Jan 22CarMax Delivers Despite Lower Car Prices, Lock In Gains
Dec 19
Revamping Retail Experience And Finance Innovation Fuels Company's Growth Path
The new order processing system and omnichannel retail strategy emphasize operational efficiency and digital sales growth, aiming for increased margins and sales.CarMax: Still Overvalued Relative To Peers
Sep 27CarMax: Mixed Signs Of Stabilization
Sep 05CarMax: Continued Share Loss Should Drive De-Rating
Jun 19CarMax: Buy The Q4 Earnings Dip, Here's Why
Apr 11Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/28/2029 | 26,726 | 495 | 517 | N/A | 3 |
| 2/29/2028 | 26,576 | 413 | 536 | 644 | 15 |
| 2/28/2027 | 25,980 | 323 | 578 | 449 | 17 |
| 2/28/2026 | 27,755 | 247 | 1,243 | 1,784 | N/A |
| 11/30/2025 | 27,834 | 458 | 1,949 | 2,484 | N/A |
| 8/31/2025 | 28,280 | 521 | 685 | 1,208 | N/A |
| 5/31/2025 | 28,673 | 558 | 541 | 1,042 | N/A |
| 2/28/2025 | 28,207 | 501 | 157 | 624 | N/A |
| 11/30/2024 | 27,796 | 461 | 338 | 788 | N/A |
| 8/31/2024 | 27,679 | 418 | 553 | 1,021 | N/A |
| 5/31/2024 | 27,692 | 403 | 94 | 526 | N/A |
| 2/29/2024 | 28,213 | 479 | -7 | 459 | N/A |
| 11/30/2023 | 28,248 | 498 | -688 | -230 | N/A |
| 8/31/2023 | 28,544 | 454 | 314 | 743 | N/A |
| 5/31/2023 | 29,556 | 461 | 102 | 567 | N/A |
| 2/28/2023 | 31,126 | 485 | 861 | 1,283 | N/A |
| 11/30/2022 | 33,051 | 576 | 794 | 1,195 | N/A |
| 8/31/2022 | 35,037 | 807 | -1,060 | -685 | N/A |
| 5/31/2022 | 34,848 | 967 | -2,251 | -1,907 | N/A |
| 2/28/2022 | 33,197 | 1,151 | -2,858 | -2,549 | N/A |
| 11/30/2021 | 30,633 | 1,201 | -2,551 | -2,283 | N/A |
| 8/31/2021 | 27,249 | 1,167 | -1,818 | -1,607 | N/A |
| 5/31/2021 | 24,589 | 1,179 | -854 | -694 | N/A |
| 2/28/2021 | 20,092 | 747 | 503 | 668 | N/A |
| 11/30/2020 | 19,883 | 752 | 543 | 750 | N/A |
| 8/31/2020 | 19,478 | 690 | 526 | 779 | N/A |
| 5/31/2020 | 19,303 | 627 | 654 | 970 | N/A |
| 2/29/2020 | 21,424 | 888 | -569 | -237 | N/A |
| 11/30/2019 | 20,747 | 866 | N/A | -70 | N/A |
| 8/31/2019 | 20,222 | 883 | N/A | -73 | N/A |
| 5/31/2019 | 19,754 | 871 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 2/28/2019 | 19,146 | 842 | N/A | 163 | N/A |
| 11/30/2018 | 18,880 | 772 | N/A | 227 | N/A |
| 8/31/2018 | 18,661 | 731 | N/A | -51 | N/A |
| 5/31/2018 | 18,253 | 691 | N/A | -41 | N/A |
| 2/28/2018 | 17,977 | 664 | N/A | -81 | N/A |
| 11/30/2017 | 17,918 | 695 | N/A | -312 | N/A |
| 8/31/2017 | 17,488 | 682 | N/A | -341 | N/A |
| 5/31/2017 | 17,076 | 663 | N/A | -351 | N/A |
| 2/28/2017 | 16,637 | 627 | N/A | -455 | N/A |
| 11/30/2016 | 16,274 | 615 | N/A | -103 | N/A |
| 8/31/2016 | 16,096 | 607 | N/A | -97 | N/A |
| 5/31/2016 | 15,963 | 617 | N/A | -179 | N/A |
| 2/29/2016 | 15,833 | 623 | N/A | -117 | N/A |
| 11/30/2015 | 15,619 | 626 | N/A | -565 | N/A |
| 8/31/2015 | 15,461 | 627 | N/A | -616 | N/A |
| 5/31/2015 | 15,156 | 610 | N/A | -641 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (23.3% al año) de KMX es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (23.3% al año) de KMX crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado US (16.1% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que los beneficios de KMX crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos de KMX disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-0.7% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos de KMX disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-0.7% al año).
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de KMX sea baja dentro de 3 años (7.4%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/05 08:28 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/05 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/02/28 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2026/02/28 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
CarMax, Inc. está cubierta por 35 analistas. 17 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| John Babcock | Barclays |