Lemonade Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 5/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Lemonade de 59.3% y 24.4% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 65.1% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de -8% en 3 años.
Información clave
59.3%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
65.10%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Insurance | 1.8% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 24.4% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | -8.05% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 08 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • May 02
LMND: Extended Profitability Timeline Will Constrain Benefits From Autonomous Data Partnership
Narrative Update on Lemonade Analysts have reduced their average price targets on Lemonade by a wide range, from $3 to $28, citing tempered expectations for revenue growth, a lower assumed future P/E multiple around 64, and ongoing questions about the costs needed to support partnerships and customer acquisition, even as some see potential for long term margin improvement. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Lemonade reflect a split view, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and flagging execution and growth risks, even as a few larger firms highlight long term potential tied to partnerships and product expansion.Seeking Alpha • Apr 27
Lemonade: From Growth Story To Margin Expansion Machine
Summary Lemonade is rated a Strong Buy with a 12-month price target of $89.77, reflecting software-like economics and a visible path to profitability. LMND's AI-driven platform has delivered structural operating leverage, doubling in-force premiums to $1.24B while keeping operating expenses nearly flat. Pet and autonomous vehicle insurance drive high-margin growth, with pet premiums up 55% YoY and AV insurance providing a first-mover advantage. Gross loss ratio improvements (down to 52% in Q4 2025) and strong liquidity ($1.12B) support the investment thesis, though execution and catastrophe risk remain key. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 18
LMND: Tesla Partnership And Automation Push Will Shape Balanced Profit Outlook
Analysts have nudged Lemonade's fair value estimate lower by about $2 to $65.11, reflecting updated views on its long term earnings potential and evolving expectations around growth, profitability and future P/E multiples, following recent research on the Tesla partnership and the cost of pushing further into automation and bundled offerings. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Lemonade centers on how the Tesla partnership, automation push and bundling efforts could reshape the business over time, with valuation targets moving in both directions as analysts weigh execution risk against long term potential.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 04
LMND: Extended Profitability Timeline Will Limit Benefits From Tesla Data Partnership
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Lemonade higher in recent weeks, including moves such as Morgan Stanley's shift to $85 and other target increases of $4 to $7. These changes reflect growing focus on the Tesla partnership, expected benefits from autonomous exposure, and ongoing debate around the cost and payoff of Lemonade's automation and bundling efforts.
Actualización de narrativa • Mar 21
LMND: Tesla Partnership Will Support Higher Earnings Power And Market Share
The analyst fair value estimate for Lemonade has increased from $85.00 to $98.00 as analysts factor in higher long term earnings potential tied to the Tesla partnership, ongoing auto insurance data advantages, and updated views on growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Lemonade highlights a split in opinion, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who see the Tesla partnership, data advantages in auto, and broader automation efforts as key drivers for long term earnings potential.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 07
LMND: Extended Profitability Timeline Will Restrain Benefits From Automation And Tesla Partnership
Narrative Update: Lemonade Analyst Price Target Shift The Street price target framework for Lemonade has moved within a wide range, with individual firms adjusting their targets between $40 and $85. Analysts are weighing tougher assumptions around achieving 30%+ growth alongside improved underwriting, automation, and the potential impact of the Tesla partnership on the long-term earnings and P/E outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 21
LMND: Extended Profitability Timeline Will Undermine Automation And Partnership Upside
The Street's view on Lemonade has reset, with recent analyst updates pulling some price targets down to around $65, while others have lifted targets by $5 to $7 and up to $80. This reflects mixed reactions to near term profitability timing and growing interest in its automation driven insurance model and Tesla partnership.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 06
LMND: Tesla Partnership And Sector Softness Will Likely Balance Profit Recovery Hopes
Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Shift for Lemonade Analysts have nudged their price targets on Lemonade higher by up to US$7 in recent research, reflecting updated models around its Tesla partnership, evolving views on the auto insurance opportunity, and revised long term assumptions that keep fair value estimates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture of Lemonade, with several firms lifting price targets on the back of updated assumptions around its auto offering and the Tesla partnership, while others keep more cautious ratings in place.Artículo de análisis • Jan 29
After Leaping 29% Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE:LMND) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Lemonade, Inc. ( NYSE:LMND ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The...Actualización de narrativa • Jan 23
LMND: Future Sector Softness Will Likely Undermine Optimism Around Profit Recovery
The analyst price target for Lemonade has moved higher to reflect a fair value estimate of about $67.11 per share, with analysts pointing to updated profit margin assumptions, a lower implied future P/E multiple, and a series of recent price target increases across the Street as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Lemonade focuses on how the company is progressing against long term execution goals, how quickly it can scale to justify current valuation, and how its business model might hold up through the insurance cycle.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 08
LMND: Softening Property And Casualty Cycle Will Pressure Long Term Profitability
Narrative Update Our fair value estimate for Lemonade has moved from US$31.00 to US$33.00, reflecting analysts' higher price targets, including recent increases to US$80 and US$53 that are tied to updated insurance models and confidence in the company’s long term market share ambitions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Lemonade highlights a split view.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 23
LMND Will Balance Rising Market Share Expectations With Moderate Profit Improvement
We raise our fair value estimate for Lemonade to $85 from $60 per share, reflecting analysts' higher price targets and confidence that the company can sustain growth above the broader market and achieve modestly better long term profitability, despite slightly higher risk assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have steadily raised their price targets on Lemonade in recent months, signaling growing confidence in the company’s ability to execute on its long term roadmap.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 09
LMND: Future Industry Softness Will Likely Restrain Profit Recovery Despite Raised Expectations
Lemonade's analyst price target has been nudged higher, from about $57.00 to roughly $57.63, as analysts highlight the company’s still-early growth phase, its growing market share ambitions, and incremental model updates that modestly improve long term growth and margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a widening range of views on Lemonade, with some bullish analysts citing a long runway for growth and market share gains, while more cautious voices point to industry cyclicality and profitability risks.Artículo de análisis • Dec 05
Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE:LMND) Looks Just Right With A 31% Price Jump
Lemonade, Inc. ( NYSE:LMND ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone...Actualización de narrativa • Nov 25
LMND: Weaker Industry Pricing Will Limit Near-Term Profit Recovery Prospects
The analyst price target for Lemonade has increased notably, rising from $49.63 to $57.00. Analysts cite the company's continued progress in building market share and adapting to evolving industry conditions.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 07
LMND: Increased Competition Will Weigh On Profitability Amid Sector Transitions
Analysts have raised Lemonade's fair value estimate from $46.50 to $49.63, reflecting updated sector research that points to ongoing industry pricing shifts and renewed optimism for select personal lines insurers. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from leading brokerages indicate shifting views on Lemonade's prospects, as analysts respond to changing trends within the property and casualty insurance sector.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 08
AI Driven Efficiency Will Offset Insurance Risks In Expansion
Analysts have increased Lemonade's price target from $45.13 to $46.50, citing continued growth momentum and improving profitability metrics. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a mix of optimism and caution surrounding Lemonade's future.Actualización de narrativa • Aug 23
AI Driven Efficiency Will Offset Insurance Risks In Expansion
Lemonade’s analyst price target has been raised from $39.86 to $45.12, as improving growth in key segments and progress toward profitability are partially offset by competitive pressures and softening market conditions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight continued strong growth in Lemonade's car insurance and European segments, as well as ongoing progress toward profitability and improving loss ratios.Actualización de narrativa • Aug 08
AI Driven Efficiency Will Offset Insurance Risks In Expansion
The upward revision in Lemonade’s consensus price target primarily reflects an increase in its forward P/E multiple, while net profit margin remained steady, raising fair value from $33.00 to $35.33. What's in the News Lemonade launched Lemonade Car in Indiana, expanding its U.S. presence and now covering approximately 42% of the U.S. car insurance market.Artículo de análisis • May 09
Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Lemonade, Inc.'s (NYSE:LMND) First-Quarter Report
As you might know, Lemonade, Inc. ( NYSE:LMND ) just kicked off its latest first-quarter results with some very strong...Seeking Alpha • Apr 07
Lemonade: An Incredible Small Cap At A Great Valuation
Summary Lemonade leverages AI and technology to disrupt traditional insurers, offering streamlined services and superior data collection, targeting a younger demographic under 35. LMND's cross-selling strategy boosts customer lifetime value and reduces acquisition costs, with significant potential in the car insurance market. Profitability inflection point expected by 2026, with strong metrics like premium per employee and customer per employee outpacing traditional competitors. Despite risks, including unprofitability and geographic concentration, LMND's valuation is attractive relative to incumbents, with substantial growth potential in international markets. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Apr 03
Lemonade, Inc.'s (NYSE:LMND) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
When close to half the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S...
Nueva narrativa • Mar 22
Investments In AI And Car Insurance Expansion Will Pressure Margins Before Future Gains Emerge
Investment in growth and car insurance expansion may pressure net margins short-term but aims for long-term revenue and profitability gains.Seeking Alpha • Feb 26
Lemonade: With Premium Growth Accelerating, It's Time To Buy The Dip
Summary Lemonade, Inc.'s Q4 results show strong growth in in force premium (IFP) and revenue, despite a challenging macro environment, signaling a buying opportunity amid the stock's recent dip. The company believes it has contained exposure to the LA wildfires, indicating a relatively digestible $20 million adjusted EBITDA loss in Q1. The company expects IFP to continue accelerating in FY25 to 28% y/y growth, while reiterating its goal of adjusted EBITDA profitability in FY26. Gross loss ratios also continue to trend downward for LMND, a signal of the company's diversified portfolio (including pet insurance, which is growing faster in the portfolio and produces less loss). Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 02
Lemonade: Great Small-Cap To Bet On In 2025 And Beyond
Summary Lemonade leverages AI to disrupt the insurance industry, achieving impressive growth and customer satisfaction, particularly among younger demographics. Despite being unprofitable, Lemonade's AI-driven efficiencies and expanding market opportunities, especially in car insurance, present significant long-term growth potential. Founder-led with substantial insider ownership, Lemonade's management team is committed to scaling the business and achieving profitability by 2027. Competitive risks and current unprofitability are concerns, but the company's innovative approach and market position justify a bullish outlook for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Dec 09
After Leaping 65% Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE:LMND) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Lemonade, Inc. ( NYSE:LMND ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 65% gain in the last month alone. The...Seeking Alpha • Nov 24
Lemonade: The Rising Stock For Aggressive Growth Investors
Summary Lemonade's downside risks are diminishing, and the potential for the company to thrive is increasing, as evidenced by its impressive third quarter 2024 results. LMND stock has surged around 168% since the end of October 2024, driven by accelerating top-line growth, increased profitability, and positive net cash flow. Short interest metrics have declined since late September, indicating that bearish arguments are losing traction as the market recognizes Lemonade's improving fundamentals. Despite lingering risks, Lemonade's valuation and growth prospects make it a compelling buy for risk-tolerant aggressive growth investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 07
Lemonade: Driving Lower Costs Through AI While Pursuing Thoughtful Expansion
Summary Lemonade has continued to soar with excellent Q3 results, featuring an acceleration in in-force premium growth rates. The company’s diversification into pet and car insurance, plus European expansion, enhances its resilience and growth potential. Gross loss ratios continue to trend downward, and we note as well that the company has no exposure to Florida. Cash flow has just begun to tilt positive, another positive catalyst for the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Nov 03
Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE:LMND) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$20.00
As you might know, Lemonade, Inc. ( NYSE:LMND ) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong...Seeking Alpha • Sep 26
Lemonade: Applying AI To Manage Risks, Raise Sales And Reduce Costs
Summary Lemonade's 25% stock drop after Q2 2024 results presents an opportunity, leveraging AI to innovate and monetize risk management in the insurance industry. AI-driven cost optimization and rapid customer growth position LMND favorably against established competitors, enhancing its revenue potential and market resilience. Improved loss ratios and diversified revenue streams, including international markets, indicate strong risk management and profitability prospects ahead of FY-2026 targets. Despite potential volatility from catastrophic events, Lemonade's AI-driven strategy and consistent performance suggest it can surpass growth expectations and achieve profitability earlier. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 03
Lemonade: A Clear Sell On Stretched Valuation
Summary Lemonade showed revenue growth, but rising expenses created a wider loss this quarter. A 48.3% increase in marketing expenses vs the 16% top line increase shows how hard the company has to work to increase sales. Analysts have lowered estimates, projecting continued losses through 2026. The equity erosion and potential interest rate cuts pose significant risks, making the current stock price unsustainable and justifying a Sell recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Aug 16
Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE:LMND) Shares Slammed 27% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
Lemonade, Inc. ( NYSE:LMND ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand...Seeking Alpha • Jul 31
Lemonade: Focus On Long-Term Metrics, Ignore Short-Term Volatility
Summary Shares of Lemonade have tanked ~15% after reporting Q2 results, owing mostly to a softer revenue guidance for Q3. For Lemonade, however, the core metric to watch is in force premium growth, for which the company is not expecting any deceleration in Q3. Loss ratios are continuing to improve, helped in part by increased automation of underwriting. The company notes that the insurance industry was hit by several catastrophic events in Q2, but Lemonade managed to keep a stable loss ratio. Reiterating my buy rating on Lemonade, as the post-earnings dip represents a great chance to jump into a long-term structural winner. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 2,103 | 41 | 327 | N/A | 5 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,613 | -65 | 102 | 245 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,206 | -133 | 49 | 9 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 845 | -139 | 20 | 30 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 738 | -165 | -26 | -16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 659 | -174 | -33 | -23 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 601 | -204 | -21 | -12 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 559 | -217 | -38 | -29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 527 | -202 | -21 | -11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 493 | -215 | -50 | -41 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 471 | -208 | -72 | -64 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 454 | -218 | -111 | -102 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 430 | -237 | -128 | -119 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 403 | -258 | -141 | -132 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 362 | -288 | -190 | -180 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 308 | -289 | -180 | -170 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 257 | -298 | -173 | -163 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 209 | -304 | -194 | -184 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 171 | -279 | -177 | -168 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 149 | -267 | -154 | -144 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 128 | -241 | -154 | -145 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 108 | -205 | -124 | -115 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 90 | -169 | -120 | -113 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 92 | -135 | -118 | -113 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 94 | -122 | -96 | -92 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 97 | -121 | -92 | -89 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 99 | -121 | -79 | -76 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 83 | -123 | -80 | -77 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 67 | -108 | N/A | -78 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 52 | -90 | N/A | -71 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 41 | -74 | N/A | -59 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 30 | -63 | N/A | -52 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 23 | -53 | N/A | -41 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2 | -28 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que LMND sea rentable en los próximos 3 años, lo que se considera un crecimiento más rápido que la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que LMND sea rentable en los próximos 3 años, lo que se considera un crecimiento del mercado superior a la media.
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que LMND sea rentable en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (24.4% al año) de LMND crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado US (11.7% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos (24.4% al año) de LMND crezcan más rápidamente que un 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: LMND se prevé que no sea rentable en 3 años.
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/15 17:31 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Lemonade, Inc. está cubierta por 23 analistas. 11 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Ross Sandler | Barclays |
| Tracy Dolin-Benguigui | Barclays |
| Tracy Dolin-Benguigui | Barclays |