Castle Biosciences, Inc.

NasdaqGM:CSTL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$572.6m

Castle Biosciences Valuation

Is CSTL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Por debajo del valor justo

  • Muy por debajo del valor justo

  • Price-To-Sales vs. similares

  • Price-To-Sales vs. Industria

  • PM vs. Ratio Justo

  • Pronóstico de los analistas

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CSTL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Por debajo del valor justo: CSTL ($24.69) cotiza por debajo de nuestra estimación de valor razonable ($92.86)

Muy por debajo del valor justo: CSTL cotiza por debajo de su valor razonable en más de un 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSTL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CSTL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-6.2x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CSTL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CSTL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
CCRN Cross Country Healthcare
0.3x-10.5%US$630.1m
DCGO DocGo
0.6x10.8%US$393.8m
ACCD Accolade
1.9x16.6%US$719.1m
TALK Talkspace
4.3x17.0%US$630.0m
CSTL Castle Biosciences
2.7x9.3%US$572.6m

Price-To-Sales vs. similares: CSTL es caro según su Ratio Price-To-Sales (3.5x) en comparación con la media de sus homólogos (1.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CSTL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs. Industria: CSTL es caro en función de su Ratio Price-To-Sales (3.5x) en comparación con la media del sector US Healthcare (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CSTL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CSTL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.7x
Fair PS Ratio2.9x

PM vs. Ratio Justo: CSTL es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Sales (3.4x) comparado con el Ratio estimado Fair Price-To-Sales (3.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CSTL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$21.54
US$33.11
+53.7%
9.2%US$37.00US$28.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$22.25
US$33.11
+48.8%
9.2%US$37.00US$28.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$19.94
US$32.63
+63.6%
8.8%US$37.00US$28.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$23.68
US$31.67
+33.7%
12.5%US$37.00US$25.00n/a9
Jan ’25US$21.58
US$31.56
+46.2%
12.7%US$37.00US$25.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$19.97
US$33.00
+65.2%
12.9%US$40.00US$25.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$15.70
US$33.00
+110.2%
12.9%US$40.00US$25.00n/a8
Oct ’24US$16.89
US$33.00
+95.4%
12.9%US$40.00US$25.00n/a8
Sep ’24US$19.66
US$33.00
+67.9%
12.9%US$40.00US$25.00n/a8
Aug ’24US$16.72
US$33.63
+101.1%
13.1%US$40.00US$25.00n/a8
Jul ’24US$13.72
US$33.63
+145.1%
13.1%US$40.00US$25.00n/a8
Jun ’24US$21.05
US$44.50
+111.4%
19.0%US$60.00US$35.00n/a8
May ’24US$22.75
US$44.63
+96.2%
16.6%US$60.00US$38.00n/a8
Apr ’24US$22.72
US$45.88
+101.9%
16.1%US$60.00US$38.00US$22.258
Mar ’24US$22.86
US$46.38
+102.9%
15.7%US$60.00US$38.00US$19.948
Feb ’24US$27.52
US$49.63
+80.3%
16.5%US$63.00US$40.00US$23.688
Jan ’24US$23.54
US$48.86
+107.5%
17.8%US$63.00US$40.00US$21.587
Dec ’23US$24.05
US$48.86
+103.1%
17.8%US$63.00US$40.00US$19.977
Nov ’23US$25.82
US$49.86
+93.1%
16.3%US$63.00US$40.00US$15.707
Oct ’23US$26.08
US$50.57
+93.9%
18.1%US$65.00US$40.00US$16.897
Sep ’23US$28.42
US$50.57
+77.9%
18.1%US$65.00US$40.00US$19.667
Aug ’23US$27.21
US$48.29
+77.5%
21.5%US$65.00US$36.00US$16.727
Jul ’23US$22.51
US$48.29
+114.5%
21.5%US$65.00US$36.00US$13.727
Jun ’23US$21.11
US$48.29
+128.7%
21.5%US$65.00US$36.00US$21.057
May ’23US$22.34
US$63.33
+183.5%
19.7%US$80.00US$50.00US$22.753
Apr ’23US$45.98
US$74.71
+62.5%
19.4%US$94.00US$60.00US$22.727

Pronóstico de los analistas: El precio objetivo es más de un 20% superior al precio actual de la acción y los analistas están dentro de un rango de acuerdo estadísticamente seguro.


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