Vail Resorts Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 4/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Vail Resorts de 24.7% y 4.3% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 25.3% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 86.6% en 3 años.
Información clave
24.7%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
25.26%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Hospitality | 18.6% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 4.3% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 86.65% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 18 Jun 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 18
MTN: Weather Volatility And Reinvestment Plans Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vail Resorts from $135 to $119, citing updated assumptions that combine slightly higher projected revenue growth with a lower estimated profit margin, along with a higher future P/E multiple and discount rate. What’s in the News for Vail Resorts Vail Resorts reported weak Q3 2026 results, with resort revenue down 7%, EBITDA down 14%, and skier visits down 17%, as record low snowfall in the Rockies and adverse weather across the Western U.S. weighed on performance.Seeking Alpha • Jun 12
Vail Resorts: Still Need More Proof That Demand Is Not Impaired
Summary I maintain a hold rating on Vail Resorts as proof of demand recovery remains insufficient. MTN's Q3 results were weak, with resort revenue down 7% and early pass units for next season down 10%. Weather was the primary headwind, but the pass model, cost actions, and potential normalization still offer a credible recovery path. Valuation is undemanding at 9.5x forward EBITDA, but I need clearer evidence of pass sales inflection before upgrading. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 04
MTN: Rental Expansion And Oasis Support Will Shape Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their Vail Resorts price target slightly to about $155.17 from $155.42, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, modest revenue growth and profit margin, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Oasis Management Co. Ltd.Actualización de narrativa • May 15
MTN: Rental Expansion And Bundling Risks Will Shape Long Term Upside
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts at approximately $155.42. They have fine tuned assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a more updated view of the stock's risk and earnings profile.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 29
MTN: Rental Expansion And Gear Rollout Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts now see fair value for Vail Resorts at about $155 per share, down from roughly $164, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News A federal antitrust class action was filed against Vail Resorts and Alterra Mountain Company, alleging that ski pass bundling practices and single-day lift-ticket pricing have inflated costs and restricted competition for skiers and snowboarders across North America (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).Actualización de narrativa • Apr 15
MTN: Rental Expansion And Gear Program Rollout Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vail Resorts to $163.92 from $174.18, reflecting updated views on the balance between slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a small shift in the future P/E multiple. What's in the News A federal antitrust class action has been filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Colorado, alleging that Vail Resorts and Alterra Mountain Company used ski pass bundling and high single-day lift-ticket prices to restrain competition and inflate costs for skiers and snowboarders across North America (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 01
MTN: Legal Overhang And Premium Experiences Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Vail Resorts to $210 from about $223, citing updated fair value estimates that reflect revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News A federal antitrust class action has been filed against Vail Resorts and Alterra Mountain Company, alleging inflated prices and suppressed competition tied to Epic Pass and Ikon Pass products, as well as high single-day lift-ticket pricing (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).Actualización de narrativa • Mar 18
MTN: Rental Rollout And Reinvestment Plans Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Vail Resorts from $146.00 to $135.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, expected revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Vail Resorts plans a multi year rollout that brings key features from its My Epic Gear program into traditional rental outlets, including the ability to choose specific gear models online or in app and access premium technologies such as BOA ski boots and Step On snowboard boots and bindings (Client Announcements).Actualización de narrativa • Mar 04
MTN: Share Buybacks And Expanded Mountain Dining Experiences Will Support Future Upside
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts steady at about $174.18 while slightly adjusting the discount rate and future P/E inputs. This signals a refined rather than directional shift in their price target framework.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 17
MTN: Share Buybacks And New Guest Experiences Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have made a small trim to their price target for Vail Resorts to $174.18 from $174.64. This reflects slightly adjusted views on fair value, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 03
MTN: Share Repurchases And New Experiences Will Support Future Value Creation
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts by about $0.64 to $174.64. This adjustment reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a minor change to expected revenue growth, and a small increase in projected profit margins and future P/E levels.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 20
MTN: Buybacks And Premium On Mountain Experiences Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Vail Resorts slightly to about US$223 from roughly US$224, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the overall outlook broadly consistent. What's in the News Vail Resorts is rolling out new food and beverage concepts across its Colorado resorts this winter, including Breckenridge, Vail Mountain, Beaver Creek, Keystone and Crested Butte, with a focus on higher end offerings and social media friendly experiences (Product-Related Announcement).Actualización de narrativa • Jan 06
MTN: Expanded Buybacks And New On Mountain Experiences Will Support Value Creation
Analysts have nudged their price target on Vail Resorts higher to about US$175 from roughly US$174, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Vail Resorts is rolling out new food and beverage concepts across its Colorado resorts this winter, including Breckenridge, Vail Mountain, Beaver Creek, Keystone and Crested Butte, with a focus on themed dining experiences and social media friendly offerings (Product-Related Announcements).Actualización de narrativa • Dec 15
MTN Will Benefit From Robust Buybacks And Confident Earnings Outlook
Narrative Update on Vail Resorts Analysts have reduced their price target for Vail Resorts by approximately $11 to around $224. This reflects slightly lower expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples, while only modestly adjusting the discount rate.Artículo de análisis • Dec 14
Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Will Pay A Dividend Of $2.22
The board of Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $2.22 per share on the 12th...Artículo de análisis • Dec 13
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Shareholders of Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to...Actualización de narrativa • Dec 01
MTN: Expanded Share Repurchase Will Support Long-Term Value Creation
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Vail Resorts, maintaining the fair value estimate at $173.73 per share after reviewing minor shifts in the discount rate and projected valuation metrics. What's in the News Vail Resorts remains focused on disciplined capital allocation, planning to spend $198 million to $203 million in core capital and an additional $51 million in European and real estate-related investments in 2025.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 17
MTN: Share Buyback Momentum Will Drive Future Gains
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Vail Resorts to $173.73. This reflects nuanced changes in discount rate, expected revenue growth, and profit margin projections.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 31
MTN: Share Repurchases And Focus On Experiences Will Drive Future Upside
Vail Resorts Price Target Raised Slightly as Analysts Reaffirm Growth Outlook Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Vail Resorts from $173.09 to $173.73 per share, citing stable revenue growth and profit margin projections as underlying support for the new valuation. What's in the News Vail Resorts provided earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2026, with expected net income between $201 million and $276 million.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 17
Epic Day Pass Programs And Guest Experience Investments Will Attract More Visitors
Narrative Update on Vail Resorts: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Vail Resorts at $173.09. They cite consistent profit margins and revenue growth despite a slight uptick in the discount rate and future price-to-earnings expectations.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 03
Epic Day Pass Programs And Guest Experience Investments Will Attract More Visitors
Vail Resorts’ analyst price target has been revised downward from $181.09 to $173.09, as analysts cite incremental changes to revenue growth outlook and updated discount rates as the primary reasons for the adjustment. What's in the News Vail Resorts completed a share repurchase of 1,286,620 shares for $200.01 million, totaling 28.96% of shares repurchased under the buyback program begun in 2006 (Key Developments) The company signaled a continued focus on acquisitions and investments, aiming to spend $198 to $203 million on core capital and an additional $51 million on European and real estate projects in 2025 (Key Developments) Vail Resorts projects net income of $201 to $276 million for fiscal year 2026 (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased, moving from $181.09 to $173.09.Artículo de análisis • Oct 02
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Investors in Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.5% to close at US$154 following the...Artículo de análisis • Sep 08
Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Artículo de análisis • Jul 30
Is It Time To Consider Buying Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN)?
While Vail Resorts, Inc. ( NYSE:MTN ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price...Seeking Alpha • Mar 11
Vail Resorts: Q2 Results Better Than Feared
Summary Vail Resorts' stock has dropped 30% over the past year, but Q2 results showed a 4% after-hours increase due to solid earnings. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Vail's focus on annual passes provides stable revenue; Q2 saw a 6% revenue rise and 8% EBITDA growth. Vail cut earnings guidance slightly due to FX headwinds but maintains a healthy balance sheet with $488 million cash and a 5.6% dividend yield. With a 7% free cash flow yield and expected 3-5% growth, Vail shares are attractive for income investors, poised to reach $170-175. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 07
Vail Resorts: Bull Outlooks Premature, Post Strike-Related Headwinds Far From Resolved
Summary The new Vail Resorts, Inc. CEO is untested, raising concerns about leadership effectiveness. Early snow arrival is positive, but social media backlash over service and prices persists. Waiting times have surged to up to three hours, indicating severe operational issues. Ski resorts' global duopoly risks self-destruction if service bottlenecks continue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 10
Vail Resorts: Shares Are Worth Considering On Better Results, Higher Guidance
Summary Vail Resorts, Inc.'s Q1 2025 results exceeded analyst expectations, prompting management to raise full-year guidance, signaling a positive outlook despite mixed financial performance. The Mountain segment saw revenue growth despite declines in lift, ski school, and retail/rental revenues, offset by increased dining and 'other' revenues. The Lodging segment experienced the strongest growth, driven by higher demand for summer lodging, while the Real Estate segment remained volatile and non-core. Despite seasonal losses, Vail Resorts' improved cash flow and raised guidance justify a soft 'buy' rating, with MTN shares appearing attractively valued on cash flow multiples. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 27
Vail Resorts: Bet On This Turnaround Plan And Collect A 5%+ Yield While Waiting
Summary Vail Resorts is undervalued after a 20% YTD drop, despite maintaining dividends and a new plan to grow adjusted EBITDA. The company recently unveiled a two-year transformation plan aiming for $100M in annual savings by FY26, with significant corporate job cuts to boost efficiency. Vail is also enjoying an increase in season pass sales in dollar terms, despite a sharp price increase. The stock is trading at a reasonable ~10x adjusted EBITDA valuation, and sports a generous 5% dividend ($2.22 quarterly) while we wait for a rebound. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/31/2028 | 3,095 | 256 | 521 | 632 | 7 |
| 7/31/2027 | 2,993 | 228 | 448 | 567 | 11 |
| 7/31/2026 | 2,837 | 157 | 376 | 583 | 11 |
| 4/30/2026 | 2,831 | 157 | 175 | 413 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 2,922 | 232 | 286 | 522 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 2,975 | 267 | 352 | 588 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 2,964 | 280 | 320 | 555 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 2,958 | 286 | 397 | 633 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 2,946 | 258 | 400 | 627 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 2,887 | 233 | 314 | 543 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 2,885 | 231 | 378 | 589 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 2,890 | 277 | 385 | 594 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 2,845 | 240 | 367 | 605 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 2,868 | 230 | 391 | 635 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 2,889 | 266 | 323 | 638 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 2,887 | 288 | 372 | 664 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 2,825 | 336 | 434 | 705 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 2,630 | 350 | 428 | 694 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 2,526 | 348 | 518 | 710 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 2,463 | 316 | 556 | 747 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 2,175 | 218 | 501 | 678 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 1,954 | 142 | 627 | 762 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 1,910 | 128 | 410 | 525 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 1,783 | 115 | 367 | 479 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 1,588 | -7 | 198 | 316 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 1,828 | 52 | 148 | 298 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 1,964 | 99 | 223 | 395 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 2,131 | 163 | 245 | 436 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 2,394 | 303 | N/A | 666 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 2,319 | 302 | N/A | 666 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 2,272 | 301 | N/A | 634 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 2,239 | 307 | N/A | 633 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 2,126 | 271 | N/A | 621 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 2,011 | 300 | N/A | 570 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 2,012 | 380 | N/A | 548 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 2,009 | 406 | N/A | 560 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 1,959 | 331 | N/A | 577 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 1,950 | 245 | N/A | 572 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 1,907 | 211 | N/A | 471 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 1,878 | 202 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 1,731 | 179 | N/A | 447 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 1,605 | 147 | N/A | 409 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 1,601 | 150 | N/A | 437 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 1,583 | 145 | N/A | 365 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 1,515 | 121 | N/A | 339 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 1,446 | 119 | N/A | 354 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 1,400 | 115 | N/A | 304 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (24.7% al año) de MTN es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (24.7% al año) de MTN crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado US (18.8% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que los beneficios de MTN crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (4.3% al año) de MTN crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (12.9% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 4.3% al año) de MTN crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de MTN sea muy elevada dentro de 3 años (86.6%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/07/01 18:02 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/07/01 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/04/30 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/07/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también contamos con guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Vail Resorts, Inc. está cubierta por 26 analistas. 11 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Felicia Kantor Hendrix | Barclays |
| Brandt Montour | Barclays |
| Brennan Matthews | Berenberg |