First Watch Restaurant Group (FWRG) Resumen de Acciones
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. a través de sus filiales, explota y franquicia restaurantes bajo el nombre comercial First Watch en Estados Unidos. Saber más
| Puntuación del snowflake | |
|---|---|
| Valoración | 1/6 |
| Crecimiento futuro | 1/6 |
| Rendimiento pasado | 4/6 |
| Salud financiera | 3/6 |
| Dividendos | 0/6 |
Recompensas
Análisis de riesgos
FWRG Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Competidores de First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
Historial de precios y rendimiento
| Precios históricos de las acciones | |
|---|---|
| Precio actual de la acción | US$11.34 |
| Máximo en las últimas 52 semanas | US$19.53 |
| Mínimo de 52 semanas | US$10.09 |
| Beta | 1.12 |
| Cambio en 1 mes | -10.43% |
| Variación en 3 meses | -28.77% |
| Cambio de 1 año | -28.72% |
| Variación en 3 años | -36.65% |
| Variación en 5 años | n/a |
| Variación desde la OPV | -48.76% |
Noticias y actualizaciones recientes
Artículo de análisis • May 12
First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its...
Actualización de narrativa • May 10
FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Support Long Term Upside
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been reduced by roughly $1. Analysts attribute this change to slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to the projected future P/E multiple, while profit margin expectations remain broadly unchanged.Seeking Alpha • May 09
First Watch Restaurant: Eggs Got Cheaper, The Stock Didn't
Summary First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. delivered positive same-store sales and margin expansion, but growth is increasingly reliant on new restaurant openings rather than organic traffic. FWRG's premium positioning is a double-edged sword amid macro headwinds, with average check growth offsetting declining traffic and mix; comps rose 2.8% despite traffic falling ~2%. Restaurant-level margins benefited from egg price deflation, but normalized margins (18–19%) are expected until organic top-line growth improves; FCF was modestly positive, with net debt at ~$229M. I maintain a Hold rating on FWRG stock, with a medium-term price target of $14–$17, as current valuation offers limited upside and macro risks could erode returns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaActualización de narrativa • Apr 25
FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for First Watch Restaurant Group by about $0.17 to $19.33 as they factor in slower same-restaurant sales growth and softer recent EBITDA results, while still highlighting long term plans for unit expansion and brand awareness initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates paint a mixed picture, with most firms trimming price targets while still highlighting First Watch Restaurant Group's long term expansion plans and brand building efforts.Recent updates
Artículo de análisis • May 12
First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its...Actualización de narrativa • May 10
FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Support Long Term Upside
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been reduced by roughly $1. Analysts attribute this change to slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to the projected future P/E multiple, while profit margin expectations remain broadly unchanged.Seeking Alpha • May 09
First Watch Restaurant: Eggs Got Cheaper, The Stock Didn't
Summary First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. delivered positive same-store sales and margin expansion, but growth is increasingly reliant on new restaurant openings rather than organic traffic. FWRG's premium positioning is a double-edged sword amid macro headwinds, with average check growth offsetting declining traffic and mix; comps rose 2.8% despite traffic falling ~2%. Restaurant-level margins benefited from egg price deflation, but normalized margins (18–19%) are expected until organic top-line growth improves; FCF was modestly positive, with net debt at ~$229M. I maintain a Hold rating on FWRG stock, with a medium-term price target of $14–$17, as current valuation offers limited upside and macro risks could erode returns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaActualización de narrativa • Apr 25
FWRG: Unit Expansion And Marketing Investments Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for First Watch Restaurant Group by about $0.17 to $19.33 as they factor in slower same-restaurant sales growth and softer recent EBITDA results, while still highlighting long term plans for unit expansion and brand awareness initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates paint a mixed picture, with most firms trimming price targets while still highlighting First Watch Restaurant Group's long term expansion plans and brand building efforts.
Nueva narrativa • Apr 18
Traffic Pressures And Menu Changes Will Test Expansion Plans Yet Support Long Term Potential
Catalysts About First Watch Restaurant Group First Watch Restaurant Group operates a daytime-focused full service restaurant concept across the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Actualización de narrativa • Apr 10
FWRG: Ongoing Unit Expansion And Marketing Initiatives Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group is now set at $19.50, reflecting a modest recalibration as analysts balance reduced same-store sales and EBITDA expectations with continued unit growth, geographic expansion, and ongoing marketing and menu initiatives that they see as supportive for the brand. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture, with many firms trimming price targets while still expressing confidence in First Watch Restaurant Group's long term growth potential and unit expansion.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 27
FWRG: Ongoing Unit Expansion And New Store Economics Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been revised to $19.50. Analysts cite recent same-store sales and EBITDA estimate adjustments, along with ongoing unit growth, digital and paid marketing efforts, and new store economics as key factors in their updated views.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 12
FWRG: Unit Expansion And New Store Openings Will Drive Future Upside
Our updated narrative price target for First Watch Restaurant Group edges down from about $19.91 to $19.50 per share, as analysts generally trim targets across the sector on softer recent EBITDA and same-store sales expectations. They still point to unit growth, menu and marketing initiatives, and what they view as mispricing as key supports for the long term story.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 26
FWRG: Long Term Unit Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for First Watch Restaurant Group has been revised lower to about $19.91 from $22, as analysts factor in slower expected same-restaurant sales growth, softer recent EBITDA results, and more conservative assumptions for margins and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of lower price targets for First Watch Restaurant Group, with most analysts pointing to softer adjusted EBITDA, more modest same restaurant sales expectations, and reduced pricing assumptions.
Nueva narrativa • Feb 25
Expanding Daytime Dining Footprint Will Unlock Long Runway For Breakfast And Brunch
Catalysts About First Watch Restaurant Group First Watch Restaurant Group operates a growing, full service daytime dining concept focused on breakfast, brunch and lunch across the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Artículo de análisis • Nov 08
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 25%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a good week for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders, because the company has just...Artículo de análisis • Jul 31
First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...Artículo de análisis • Jul 04
Here's Why First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Artículo de análisis • Jun 13
Market Cool On First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Revenues
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a...Artículo de análisis • May 09
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
There's been a notable change in appetite for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shares in the week...Artículo de análisis • May 07
Calculating The Fair Value Of First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)
Key Insights First Watch Restaurant Group's estimated fair value is US$14.81 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Artículo de análisis • Apr 19
First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Artículo de análisis • Apr 03
Is First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Mar 16
First Watch Restaurant: Why Daytime Meals Aren't My Bet For Q1
Summary First Watch's traffic and same-store sales are declining, with breakfast seeing the steepest drop, raising concerns about its premium positioning and value-per-dollar equation. Despite revenue growth driven by new openings, First Watch faces negative free cash flow and increasing debt, complicating its financial stability and ability to return capital to shareholders. FWRG stock is not cheap, trading at high multiples with a PEG ratio that doesn't justify its growth prospects, making it a hold rather than a buy. Economic uncertainties, including fears of stagflation and tariffs, further cloud the outlook for consumer discretionary stocks like First Watch, suggesting caution before investing. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Mar 12
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?
While First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...Artículo de análisis • Feb 19
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) 25% Share Price Surge
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price...Seeking Alpha • Jan 21
First Watch Restaurant: A Dull Morning In Q4 Overshadowed By Other Family Dining Competitors
Summary First Watch is a unique, fast-growing family dining chain with a focus on breakfast, brunch, and lunch, avoiding discounts and maintaining high unit-level margins. Despite industry recovery, First Watch's same-store sales fell 0.3% in Q4 FY 2024, with traffic declining 3% year-over-year, raising concerns about future growth. The chain's valuation appears stretched, trading at a P/E of 41.67, significantly above the industry median, making it potentially overvalued compared to peers. I recommend waiting for a better entry point around $15-$14, considering ongoing traffic declines and competitive pressures in the family dining sector. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Dec 11
When Should You Buy First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share...Seeking Alpha • Nov 18
First Watch Restaurant: Between Hurricanes And Acquisitions, The Sun Shines
Summary First Watch Restaurant Group maintains its stance against value promotions, focusing on targeted advertising, resulting in a 1.9% year-over-year decline in comparable sales due to lower traffic. The company is aggressively expanding by acquiring franchises and opening new restaurants, aiming for 10% net year-over-year growth and a long-term goal of 2,200 locations. Hurricanes in key operating areas significantly impacted Q4 traffic, but recovery is expected as headwinds subside, with a focus on improving on-premise sales. Despite high-growth potential, First Watch's valuation appears inflated; a more appropriate price target is $16, leading to a 'Hold' rating amid current macroeconomic pressures. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Nov 12
Market Participants Recognise First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings Pushing Shares 53% Higher
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a...Artículo de análisis • Oct 18
Investors Will Want First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Growth In ROCE To Persist
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...
Nueva narrativa • Sep 16
Tech-Driven Efficiency And Expansion Fuel Restaurant Chain's Robust Growth Outlook
Implementation of technology and analytics is poised to enhance operational efficiency and improve customer engagement, impacting revenue growth positively.Seeking Alpha • Sep 14
First Watch Restaurant: A Non-Traditional Recipe For Dealing With Traffic
Summary First Watch's strategy of avoiding value promotions in a price-sensitive market is risky, potentially leading to negative comparable sales in Q3 and Q4. The company’s focus on menu innovations and premium pricing has helped maintain resilience, but hasn't fully offset declining traffic and average check growth. Recent acquisitions and debt levels are manageable, but continued high capital expenditures and economic risks could increase financial risk in the medium term. Despite strong growth and operational improvements, First Watch's current stock price appears overvalued, leading to a 'Hold' recommendation with a target price of $13.50 to $14.50. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Sep 04
Why We're Not Concerned About First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.2x First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ) may be sending...Artículo de análisis • Aug 09
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FWRG)?
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share...Seeking Alpha • Jul 03
First Watch Restaurant: The Price For Maintaining Pricing
Summary Some restaurants refuse to enter promotional environments, maintaining profitability through differentiation strategies and menu rotations. First Watch, a daytime concept restaurant, faces a drop in traffic due to not entering promotional environments, focusing on perceived value and menu items to attract guests. Valuation of First Watch using multiples and DCF models suggests a target price lower than the current stock price, recommending a "Hold" for the company. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Jul 02
First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to...Artículo de análisis • May 21
First Watch Restaurant Group's (NASDAQ:FWRG) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point
Investors were underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:FWRG...Artículo de análisis • May 10
These 4 Measures Indicate That First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Seeking Alpha • May 09
First Watch Restaurant: Traffic Slowdown Doesn't Disturb The Growth Story
Summary First Watch Restaurant reported healthy revenue growth in Q1, but weaker year-over-year profitability as restaurant traffic slowed down in the industry in the quarter. The company slightly lowered the 2024 outlook in anticipation of a continuation in weaker-than-anticipated restaurant traffic. The long-term growth story still stands, and First Watch continues to heavily invest into new restaurants in 2024 with 44 to 48 new company-owned restaurants. The valuation now reflects First Watch's prospects fairly with my financial estimates. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRentabilidad de los accionistas
| FWRG | US Hospitality | Mercado US | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 5.4% | 0.6% | -0.8% |
| 1Y | -28.7% | -3.5% | 27.1% |
Rentabilidad vs. Industria: Los resultados de FWRG fueron inferiores a los de la industria US Hospitality, que obtuvo un rendimiento del -3.5% el año pasado.
Rentabilidad vs. Mercado: FWRG obtuvo unos resultados inferiores a los del mercado US, que fueron del 27.1% el año pasado.
Volatilidad de los precios
| FWRG volatility | |
|---|---|
| FWRG Average Weekly Movement | 9.5% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Precio estable de las acciones: FWRG no ha tenido una volatilidad de precios significativa en los últimos 3 meses en comparación con el mercado US.
Volatilidad a lo largo del tiempo: La volatilidad semanal de FWRG (10%) se ha mantenido estable durante el año pasado.
Acerca de la empresa
| Fundada | Empleados | CEO | Página web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1983 | 17,500 | Chris Tomasso | www.firstwatch.com |
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. a través de sus subsidiarias, opera y franquicia restaurantes bajo el nombre comercial First Watch en los Estados Unidos. La compañía era conocida anteriormente como AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. y cambió su nombre a First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. en diciembre de 2019. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. fue fundada en 1983 y tiene su sede en Bradenton, Florida.
Resumen de fundamentos de First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
| Estadísticas fundamentales de FWRG | |
|---|---|
| Capitalización bursátil | US$676.24m |
| Beneficios(TTM) | US$17.58m |
| Ingresos (TTM) | US$1.27b |
39.8x
Ratio precio-beneficio (PE)0.5x
Ratio precio-ventas (PS)¿Está FWRG sobrevalorada?
Ver valor justo y análisis de valoraciónBeneficios e Ingresos
| Cuenta de resultados (TTM) de FWRG | |
|---|---|
| Ingresos | US$1.27b |
| Coste de los ingresos | US$1.01b |
| Beneficio bruto | US$262.68m |
| Otros gastos | US$245.11m |
| Beneficios | US$17.58m |
Últimos beneficios comunicados
Mar 29, 2026
Próxima fecha de beneficios
n/a
| Beneficios por acción (BPA) | 0.29 |
| Margen bruto | 20.66% |
| Margen de beneficio neto | 1.38% |
| Ratio deuda/patrimonio | 42.2% |
¿Cómo se ha desempeñado FWRG a largo plazo?
Ver rendimiento histórico y comparativaAnálisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/21 04:34 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/29 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/28 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. está cubierta por 14 analistas. 11 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Todd Brooks | Benchmark Company |