Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Resumen de Acciones
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated explota y concede licencias de restaurantes en Estados Unidos y Canadá. Saber más
| Puntuación del snowflake | |
|---|---|
| Valoración | 1/6 |
| Crecimiento futuro | 2/6 |
| Rendimiento pasado | 3/6 |
| Salud financiera | 2/6 |
| Dividendos | 4/6 |
CAKE Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$73.83
FV
8.9% sobrevalorado descuento intrínseco14.51%
Revenue growth p.a.
4.6k
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33users have followed this narrative
Competidores de The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
Historial de precios y rendimiento
| Precios históricos de las acciones | |
|---|---|
| Precio actual de la acción | US$80.38 |
| Máximo en las últimas 52 semanas | US$80.89 |
| Mínimo de 52 semanas | US$43.07 |
| Beta | 1.04 |
| Cambio en 1 mes | 25.09% |
| Variación en 3 meses | 48.66% |
| Cambio de 1 año | 29.12% |
| Variación en 3 años | 132.45% |
| Variación en 5 años | 50.72% |
| Variación desde la OPV | 2,139.95% |
Noticias y actualizaciones recientes
Seeking Alpha • Jun 24
Cheesecake Factory: Rebounding Comps In A Tough Environment (Upgrade)
Summary Cheesecake Factory is upgraded to "Buy" after a robust Q1 and ~50% YTD rally, driven by positive comps and disciplined expansion. CAKE’s differentiated large-format model and $12 million AUVs support a long-term TAM of $8.5 billion versus $3.2 billion current sales. Carryout sales now comprise 22% of revenue, and margin performance remains strong despite inflationary pressures and sector volatility. Valuation at 19.1x FY26 P/E and 17.3x FY27 P/E offers upside versus peers, especially with comps and unit growth outpacing sector averages. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 23
CAKE: Elevated P/E Will Test Resilience To Macro Headwinds In 2026
The updated analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory moves slightly lower by about $0.20 to reflect a modestly reduced fair value estimate, even as analysts cite steady execution, relatively low employee turnover, and restrained casual dining supply growth as key supports for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory reflects a mix of cautious and more constructive views, with price targets and ratings moving in both directions.Artículo de análisis • Jun 19
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Could Be 19.8% Overvalued After Flat Same Store Sales
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is back in focus after recent quarterly results that paired solid headline figures with flat same store sales, raising questions about demand trends, revenue growth expectations, and the company’s higher net debt burden. See our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory. Cheesecake Factory’s recent quarterly results have arrived alongside a sharp shift in sentiment, with the stock’s 30 day share price return of 28.0% and year to date gain of 46.2% pointing to...Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 24
Cheesecake Factory: Rebounding Comps In A Tough Environment (Upgrade)
Summary Cheesecake Factory is upgraded to "Buy" after a robust Q1 and ~50% YTD rally, driven by positive comps and disciplined expansion. CAKE’s differentiated large-format model and $12 million AUVs support a long-term TAM of $8.5 billion versus $3.2 billion current sales. Carryout sales now comprise 22% of revenue, and margin performance remains strong despite inflationary pressures and sector volatility. Valuation at 19.1x FY26 P/E and 17.3x FY27 P/E offers upside versus peers, especially with comps and unit growth outpacing sector averages. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaActualización de narrativa • Jun 23
CAKE: Elevated P/E Will Test Resilience To Macro Headwinds In 2026
The updated analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory moves slightly lower by about $0.20 to reflect a modestly reduced fair value estimate, even as analysts cite steady execution, relatively low employee turnover, and restrained casual dining supply growth as key supports for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory reflects a mix of cautious and more constructive views, with price targets and ratings moving in both directions.Artículo de análisis • Jun 19
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Could Be 19.8% Overvalued After Flat Same Store Sales
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is back in focus after recent quarterly results that paired solid headline figures with flat same store sales, raising questions about demand trends, revenue growth expectations, and the company’s higher net debt burden. See our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory. Cheesecake Factory’s recent quarterly results have arrived alongside a sharp shift in sentiment, with the stock’s 30 day share price return of 28.0% and year to date gain of 46.2% pointing to...Actualización de narrativa • Jun 03
CAKE: Elevated P/E Leaves Little Cushion For 2026 Execution Missteps
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory slightly higher, from $51.81 to $52.46. The change reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of price target increases and one reduction across recent research reports.Artículo de análisis • May 11
We Like The Quality Of Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings
Despite posting healthy earnings, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) stock has been quite weak...Actualización de narrativa • May 10
CAKE: Elevated P/E And 2026 Execution Risks Will Constrain Returns
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory stock by about $1.81 to $51.81, as recent price target revisions cite updated models following Q4 results, ongoing 2026 outlook assumptions, and adjustments to P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how Cheesecake Factory's valuation lines up with its updated 2026 outlook and the mixed tone around the latest Q4 results.Artículo de análisis • May 07
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...Actualización de narrativa • Apr 23
CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Delivery Will Constrain Forward Returns
Analysts have lifted Cheesecake Factory's average price target by several dollars to a range of roughly $58 to $75, as they refresh models after mixed Q4 results and an updated 2026 outlook. They still see a fair value of $50 based on current assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E.
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 07
CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support 2026 Outlook Execution
The analyst fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory has increased from $60.61 to $64.44. This change reflects a series of higher price targets on the stock as analysts update their models following mixed Q4 results and an intact 2026 outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 24
CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Execution Will Limit Forward Upside
Analyst price targets for Cheesecake Factory have moved higher into the $58 to $75 range, as analysts update models following mixed Q4 results while largely maintaining 2026 outlook assumptions and pointing to what they see as balanced risk/reward at current P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a wide spread in views on Cheesecake Factory, even as headline price targets move higher.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 09
CAKE: Elevated P/E Premium And Sector Headwinds Will Constrain Forward Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their aggregate price targets on Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into the $58 to $75 range, citing refreshed models after mixed Q4 results, an intact 2026 outlook, and what some see as conservative long term assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Cheesecake Factory, with several firms lifting price targets after updating models for the latest Q4 report and 2026 outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 23
CAKE: Elevated P E And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Limit Upside
Narrative Update: Cheesecake Factory Analysts have raised their average price targets for Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into a broad $58 to $75 range, citing updated post-Q4 models, a largely intact 2026 outlook, and a higher assumed P/E multiple, even as views on risk and reward remain mixed across firms. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, analysts are broadly lifting their price targets for Cheesecake Factory into a higher band, but their views on the stock are far from unanimous.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 08
CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Balance Margin Pressure And Sector Headwinds
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Cheesecake Factory higher, reflecting slightly richer P/E assumptions and a modest lift in fair value to about $60.61, even as they acknowledge mixed sector views and ongoing earnings constraints in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cheesecake Factory points to a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets on higher valuation multiples while others stay cautious on the operating backdrop for casual dining.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 25
CAKE: Softer Sales Trends And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Pressure Returns
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory to $50, a $1 adjustment that reflects slightly updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and the appropriate future P/E multiple in light of recent mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Cheesecake Factory has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets and, in at least one case, downgrading the stock.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 11
CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales And Sector Pressure Will Constrain Near Term Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory higher to $49.00 from $48.00. This reflects updated price targets that balance recent cuts and raises across the Street and factor in modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 26
CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales Trends Will Shape Near Term Outlook
Cheesecake Factory's analyst-derived fair value has been trimmed from about $50.41 to $48.00, as analysts factor in softer same-store sales trends, modest demand slowdowns into next year, and a slightly weaker growth and margin outlook, despite the brand's still solid positioning in a choppier macro environment. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts continue to recalibrate their expectations for Cheesecake Factory, cutting price targets across the board as they reassess near term growth and margin assumptions.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 12
CAKE: Margin Discipline Will Support Earnings Stability Amid Choppy Demand
Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Cheesecake Factory modestly lower, trimming expectations by a few dollars per share to reflect softer same store sales trends, choppier demand into Q3, and a slightly more cautious view on the restaurant sector backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more nuanced stance on Cheesecake Factory, with both optimistic and cautious voices acknowledging a tougher near term operating backdrop while debating the durability of demand and margin resilience.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 28
CAKE: Margin Resilience Will Support Recovery Despite Sales Headwinds Ahead
Cheesecake Factory's average analyst price target has declined slightly. Recent reductions have been attributed to softer sales trends and persistent industry demand headwinds.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 14
CAKE: Sustained Margin Improvement Is Expected To Support Long-Term Upside
The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been lowered by approximately $0.56. Analysts cite recent weaker same-store sales trends and persistent demand headwinds as key drivers of the adjustment.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 30
CAKE: Share Repurchase Program And Brand Resilience Will Drive Positive Momentum
The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has decreased by just over $5 to around $60. Analysts cite softer sales trends and persistent macroeconomic challenges impacting growth expectations.Artículo de análisis • Oct 30
Results: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
There's been a notable change in appetite for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shares in the week...Actualización de narrativa • Oct 16
Flower Child And North Italia Concepts Will Expand Market Appeal
The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been reduced from approximately $73 to $68 as analysts cite a challenging industry backdrop and updated company outlooks, particularly with an anticipated mixed and volatile earnings season ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent research from major firms reflects both optimism and caution regarding Cheesecake Factory's performance in the upcoming quarter.Artículo de análisis • Sep 24
Weekly Picks: ⛏️ The Gold Play With Permits, A Plan And Real Momentum And 2 More Picks
This week’s picks cover: Why most people don’t understand The Cheesecake Factory’s potential, how fully permitted gold miner, 1911 Gold, could offer 50x return, why rate cuts benefit dividend plays like Coca Cola immensely.Artículo de análisis • Sep 09
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price...Artículo de análisis • Aug 04
Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.27
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) will pay a dividend of $0.27 on the 26th of August. This means the...
Nueva narrativa • Aug 02
Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts
The Cheesecake Factory is a stock that I believe most people do not understand it's actual potential; or really what makes this stock so attractive for long term growth. Here is a brief description of the company according to Benzinga: "Cheesecake Factory Inc owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary.Artículo de análisis • Aug 01
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Last week, you might have seen that The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) released its quarterly result...Artículo de análisis • Jul 02
Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Artículo de análisis • Jun 18
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) P/E Ratio
There wouldn't be many who think The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E...Artículo de análisis • May 25
Is Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Artículo de análisis • May 12
Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point
Even though The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't...Artículo de análisis • Apr 15
Should You Investigate The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) At US$46.99?
While The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...Seeking Alpha • Mar 28
The Cheesecake Factory: Downgrade To Sell As The Macro Environment Is Too Challenging
Summary I am downgrading The Cheesecake Factory from hold to sell due to worsening macro conditions and poor consumer sentiment affecting discretionary spending. CAKE's traffic growth has been negative for seven consecutive quarters, and price increases are no longer a viable strategy for SSS growth. Limited unit growth and high G&A expenses further constrain CAKE's ability to drive revenue and margin expansion in FY25. Valuation at 13x forward P/E is too high given the headwinds, with the potential for multiple re-rating if revenue or margins decline. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Mar 21
Estimating The Fair Value Of The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)
Key Insights Cheesecake Factory's estimated fair value is US$46.97 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Artículo de análisis • Mar 09
Market Participants Recognise The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...Artículo de análisis • Feb 25
Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Dividend Will Be $0.27
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.27 per share on 18th...Seeking Alpha • Feb 20
The Cheesecake Factory: A Winning Restaurant Stock
Summary We continue to rate The Cheesecake Factory a hold, highlighting its strong revenue growth, margin improvements, and positive comparable sales trends. The company's strategic cost management and easing inflation have led to improved margins, with food and labor expenses showing notable reductions. CAKE's earnings growth is robust, with Q4 adjusted EPS rising significantly year-over-year, and the stock remains attractively valued at less than 15X forward earnings. With manageable debt, ongoing share repurchases, and expected dividend increases, we see long-term upside, projecting EPS of $3.70-3.85 for 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Feb 10
Returns At Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Appear To Be Weighed Down
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Rentabilidad de los accionistas
| CAKE | US Hospitality | Mercado US | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 4.1% | 1.6% | -2.6% |
| 1Y | 29.1% | -4.6% | 20.0% |
Rentabilidad vs. Industria: CAKE superó a la industria US Hospitality, que obtuvo un rendimiento del -4.6% el año pasado.
Rentabilidad vs. Mercado: CAKE superó al mercado US, que obtuvo un rendimiento del 20% el año pasado.
Volatilidad de los precios
| CAKE volatility | |
|---|---|
| CAKE Average Weekly Movement | 5.0% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Precio estable de las acciones: CAKE no ha tenido una volatilidad de precios significativa en los últimos 3 meses en comparación con el mercado US.
Volatilidad a lo largo del tiempo: La volatilidad semanal de CAKE (5%) se ha mantenido estable durante el año pasado.
Acerca de la empresa
| Fundada | Empleados | CEO | Página web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1972 | 48,400 | David Overton | www.thecheesecakefactory.com |
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated explota y concede licencias a restaurantes de Estados Unidos y Canadá. Gestiona panaderías que producen tartas de queso y otros productos horneados para sus restaurantes, licenciatarios internacionales, clientes de panaderías de terceros, operadores externos de servicios de alimentación, minoristas y distribuidores. La empresa explota restaurantes bajo las marcas The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child y Fox Restaurant Concepts.
Resumen de fundamentos de The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
| Estadísticas fundamentales de CAKE | |
|---|---|
| Capitalización bursátil | US$3.99b |
| Beneficios(TTM) | US$165.03m |
| Ingresos (TTM) | US$3.80b |
24.2x
Ratio precio-beneficio (PE)1.1x
Ratio precio-ventas (PS)¿Está CAKE sobrevalorada?
Ver valor justo y análisis de valoraciónBeneficios e Ingresos
| Cuenta de resultados (TTM) de CAKE | |
|---|---|
| Ingresos | US$3.80b |
| Coste de los ingresos | US$2.26b |
| Beneficio bruto | US$1.54b |
| Otros gastos | US$1.38b |
| Beneficios | US$165.03m |
Últimos beneficios comunicados
Mar 31, 2026
Próxima fecha de beneficios
n/a
| Beneficios por acción (BPA) | 3.32 |
| Margen bruto | 40.50% |
| Margen de beneficio neto | 4.34% |
| Ratio deuda/patrimonio | 137.4% |
¿Cómo se ha desempeñado CAKE a largo plazo?
Ver rendimiento histórico y comparativaDividendos
1.5%
Rentabilidad actual por dividendo31%
Ratio de pagosAnálisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/06/27 14:32 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/30 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también contamos con guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated está cubierta por 39 analistas. 18 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |