Toll Brothers Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 1/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Toll Brothers de 5.7% y 5.3% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 9.4% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 15% en 3 años.
Información clave
5.7%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
9.36%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Consumer Durables | 7.9% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 5.3% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 14.98% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 22 Jun 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Earnings And Raised Guidance
Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has been in focus after a strong earnings report, raised guidance, and a series of upbeat analyst updates that coincided with a shift away from high profile technology stocks. See our latest analysis for Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' share price has pulled back by 2.36% over the last day to $149.66, but that comes after a strong run, with a 30 day share price return of 17.87% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.02%. This suggests momentum has recently been...
TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Face Pressure From Sector Multiple Compression
Toll Brothers' analyst price target has shifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving about $3 lower to roughly $126.90 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, higher expected revenue growth and margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple, supported by recent research highlighting resilient luxury demand, margin defense, and mixed but generally constructive updates to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Toll Brothers centers on how the luxury focus, order trends, and peer comparisons feed into valuation and execution risks.Toll Brothers: Better Execution, But Still Not Enough For A Buy
Summary Toll Brothers remains a hold as order growth is driven by community expansion, not per-community demand acceleration. Backlog and margins are still down year-over-year, with incentives persistently elevated at 8% of gross sales price. Management raised FY2026 guidance and maintained low cancellations, but absorption per community fell 2% year-over-year. I would need to see improved absorption, backlog recovery, and lower incentives before upgrading from hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...
TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest trim of fair value to about $130, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still recognizing differentiated positioning in higher end housing and a range of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers over the past few months has centered on how much earnings power to ascribe to the higher end housing segment and what valuation multiple is appropriate after a strong run in homebuilder shares.TOL: Luxury Buyer Strength And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased to $198 from $181. Analysts are balancing slightly softer growth and margin assumptions with a higher future P/E and a series of recent target increases tied to Q1 results, relative valuation, and expectations for the luxury buyer.TOL: Luxury Demand And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Support Cautious Fair Value View
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Toll Brothers into a higher $160 to $190 range, citing updated models after Q1 results, a view that the stock screens as undervalued versus its return on equity potential, and expectations that the company could be well positioned if luxury housing demand firms into 2027. Analyst Commentary Across Wall Street coverage, the latest research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around housing demand, margins, and valuation.TOL: Luxury Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Offset Near Term Margin Headwinds
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to $132.97 from $119.55 as they update models for higher long term P/E assumptions, a slightly stronger margin outlook in what several firms describe as a resilient luxury segment, and a series of higher Street price targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers has become more active, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing expectations around margins, demand, and the luxury segment.Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2028 | 12,087 | 1,404 | 1,460 | 1,486 | 5 |
| 10/31/2027 | 11,071 | 1,287 | 1,675 | 1,163 | 14 |
| 10/31/2026 | 10,722 | 1,209 | 1,464 | 834 | 14 |
| 4/30/2026 | 11,045 | 1,288 | 1,215 | 1,312 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 11,253 | 1,380 | 1,453 | 1,540 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 10,967 | 1,346 | 1,026 | 1,112 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 10,877 | 1,375 | 918 | 995 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 10,660 | 1,380 | 723 | 800 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 10,758 | 1,509 | 819 | 896 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 10,847 | 1,571 | 937 | 1,010 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 10,533 | 1,541 | 845 | 919 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 10,493 | 1,582 | 1,210 | 1,273 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 10,163 | 1,420 | 1,250 | 1,317 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 9,995 | 1,372 | 1,193 | 1,266 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 10,687 | 1,567 | 1,839 | 1,908 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 10,494 | 1,426 | 1,265 | 1,337 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 10,265 | 1,326 | 837 | 910 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 10,276 | 1,287 | 915 | 987 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 9,605 | 1,020 | 530 | 608 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 9,365 | 982 | 994 | 1,071 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 9,018 | 889 | 896 | 967 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 8,790 | 834 | 1,236 | 1,303 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 8,295 | 659 | 1,235 | 1,315 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 7,691 | 538 | 1,138 | 1,227 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 7,310 | 486 | 1,333 | 1,430 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 7,078 | 447 | 899 | 1,008 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 6,911 | 450 | 456 | 557 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 7,025 | 481 | 239 | 332 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 7,192 | 535 | N/A | 256 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 7,224 | 590 | N/A | 438 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 7,300 | 699 | N/A | 685 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 7,448 | 746 | N/A | 829 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 7,331 | 728 | N/A | 733 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 7,143 | 748 | N/A | 588 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 6,716 | 629 | N/A | 483 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 6,305 | 584 | N/A | 396 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 6,070 | 597 | N/A | 611 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 5,815 | 535 | N/A | 862 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 5,643 | 458 | N/A | 882 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 5,410 | 415 | N/A | 408 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 5,162 | 379 | N/A | 196 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 5,170 | 382 | N/A | 151 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 4,751 | 415 | N/A | -154 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 4,509 | 376 | N/A | 82 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 4,246 | 355 | N/A | 70 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 4,171 | 363 | N/A | 60 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 4,085 | 348 | N/A | 163 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (5.7% al año) de TOL es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (5.7% al año) de TOL crezcan menos que el mercado US (18.9% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de TOL crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (5.3% al año) de TOL crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (13% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 5.3% al año) de TOL crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de TOL sea baja dentro de 3 años (15%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/06/22 19:28 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/06/22 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/04/30 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/10/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también contamos con guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Toll Brothers, Inc. está cubierta por 34 analistas. 14 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |