Toll Brothers, Inc.

Informe acción NYSE:TOL

Capitalización de mercado: US$14.1b

Toll Brothers Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 1/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Toll Brothers de 5.7% y 5.2% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 9.4% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 15% en 3 años.

Información clave

5.7%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

9.41%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Consumer Durables9.3%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos5.2%
Rentabilidad financiera futura15.03%
Cobertura de analistas

Good

Última actualización27 Jul 2026

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Artículo de análisis May 23

Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...

Recent updates

Actualización de narrativa Jul 28

TOL: Resilient Luxury Demand And New Communities Will Shape Future Returns

The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest fair value adjustment to $168.20, supported by slightly lower discount rate assumptions, marginally higher revenue growth and profit margin estimates, and a small upward revision to the assumed future P/E multiple, as analysts highlight the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Toll Brothers points to a mix of optimism and caution.
Actualización de narrativa Jul 14

TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Likely Struggle Against Ongoing Peer Multiple Pressure

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised higher, reflecting a fair value estimate increase from about $126.90 to $131.73. This revision is supported by updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which are aligned with recent Street research highlighting the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand.
Seeking Alpha Jul 01

Toll Brothers: Challenges May Take Their Toll On Valuation (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Toll Brothers, Inc. has delivered a 20% return in two months, validating my buy rating, but the current valuation now warrants a hold downgrade. TOL's business model is not fully shielded from inflation and interest rate uncertainty, but its strategic inventory management and land options ensure high margin preservation. Its geographical diversification and robust balance sheet guarantee longevity. Technicals show that TOL is trading at overbought conditions, suggesting a dip. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa Jun 30

TOL: Luxury Expansion And Resilient Affluent Demand Will Shape Future Returns

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised in a tight range, with recent moves such as Keefe Bruyette lifting its target to $161 from $158 and Argus raising its target to $170 from $165. Analysts point to resilient luxury demand, margin support from affluent buyer segments, and company specific factors like long land positions and post earnings fundamentals in a challenging housing market.
Artículo de análisis Jun 18

Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Earnings And Raised Guidance

Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has been in focus after a strong earnings report, raised guidance, and a series of upbeat analyst updates that coincided with a shift away from high profile technology stocks. See our latest analysis for Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' share price has pulled back by 2.36% over the last day to $149.66, but that comes after a strong run, with a 30 day share price return of 17.87% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.02%. This suggests momentum has recently been...
Actualización de narrativa Jun 16

TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Face Pressure From Sector Multiple Compression

Toll Brothers' analyst price target has shifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving about $3 lower to roughly $126.90 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, higher expected revenue growth and margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple, supported by recent research highlighting resilient luxury demand, margin defense, and mixed but generally constructive updates to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Toll Brothers centers on how the luxury focus, order trends, and peer comparisons feed into valuation and execution risks.
Actualización de narrativa Jun 02

TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.
Artículo de análisis May 23

Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...
Actualización de narrativa May 16

TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.
Actualización de narrativa Apr 29

TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Shape Balanced Outlook

The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest trim of fair value to about $130, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still recognizing differentiated positioning in higher end housing and a range of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers over the past few months has centered on how much earnings power to ascribe to the higher end housing segment and what valuation multiple is appropriate after a strong run in homebuilder shares.
Actualización de narrativa Apr 15

TOL: Luxury Buyer Strength And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside

The analyst fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased to $198 from $181. Analysts are balancing slightly softer growth and margin assumptions with a higher future P/E and a series of recent target increases tied to Q1 results, relative valuation, and expectations for the luxury buyer.

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

NYSE:TOL - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (USD Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
10/31/202812,0951,4101,4601,4865
10/31/202711,0681,2891,6751,16314
10/31/202610,7491,2101,46483414
4/30/202611,0451,2881,2151,312N/A
1/31/202611,2531,3801,4531,540N/A
10/31/202510,9671,3461,0261,112N/A
7/31/202510,8771,375918995N/A
4/30/202510,6601,380723800N/A
1/31/202510,7581,509819896N/A
10/31/202410,8471,5719371,010N/A
7/31/202410,5331,541845919N/A
4/30/202410,4931,5821,2101,273N/A
1/31/202410,1631,4201,2501,317N/A
10/31/20239,9951,3721,1931,266N/A
7/31/202310,6871,5671,8391,908N/A
4/30/202310,4941,4261,2651,337N/A
1/31/202310,2651,326837910N/A
10/31/202210,2761,287915987N/A
7/31/20229,6051,020530608N/A
4/30/20229,3659829941,071N/A
1/31/20229,018889896967N/A
10/31/20218,7908341,2361,303N/A
7/31/20218,2956591,2351,315N/A
4/30/20217,6915381,1381,227N/A
1/31/20217,3104861,3331,430N/A
10/31/20207,0784478991,008N/A
7/31/20206,911450456557N/A
4/30/20207,025481239332N/A
1/31/20207,192535N/A256N/A
10/31/20197,224590N/A438N/A
7/31/20197,300699N/A685N/A
4/30/20197,448746N/A829N/A
1/31/20197,331728N/A733N/A
10/31/20187,143748N/A588N/A
7/31/20186,716629N/A483N/A
4/30/20186,305584N/A396N/A
1/31/20186,070597N/A611N/A
10/31/20175,815535N/A862N/A
7/31/20175,643458N/A882N/A
4/30/20175,410415N/A408N/A
1/31/20175,162379N/A196N/A
10/31/20165,170382N/A151N/A
7/31/20164,751415N/A-154N/A
4/30/20164,509376N/A82N/A
1/31/20164,246355N/A70N/A
10/31/20154,171363N/A60N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (5.7% al año) de TOL es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.7%).

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (5.7% al año) de TOL crezcan menos que el mercado US (16.7% al año).

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de TOL crezcan, pero no significativamente.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (5.2% al año) de TOL crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (12.7% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 5.2% al año) de TOL crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.


Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción


Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de TOL sea baja dentro de 3 años (15%).


Descubre empresas en crecimiento

Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/08/07 06:06
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/08/07 00:00
Beneficios2026/04/30
Ingresos anuales2025/10/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

Toll Brothers, Inc. está cubierta por 34 analistas. 14 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Stephen KimBarclays
Matthew BouleyBarclays