GEO Group Valuation
Is GEO1 * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Por debajo del valor justo
Muy por debajo del valor justo
Price-To-Earnings vs. similares
Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria
PM vs. Ratio Justo
Pronóstico de los analistas
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of GEO1 * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Por debajo del valor justo: GEO1 * (MX$176) cotiza por debajo de nuestra estimación de valor razonable (MX$422.88)
Muy por debajo del valor justo: GEO1 * cotiza por debajo de su valor razonable en más de un 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GEO1 *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is GEO1 *'s n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$1.93b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 7.8x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does GEO1 *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 23x | ||
PASA B Promotora Ambiental. de | 30x | n/a | Mex$5.0b |
CXW CoreCivic | 25.8x | 14.2% | US$1.7b |
9917 Taiwan Secom | 21x | n/a | NT$54.3b |
2331 Sohgo Security ServicesLtd | 15.3x | 5.1% | JP¥407.4b |
GEO1 * GEO Group | 21.7x | 28.8% | Mex$1.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs. similares: GEO1 * es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (12.2x) comparado con la media de sus homólogos (18.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does GEO1 *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Commercial Services Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria: GEO1 * es caro en función de su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (17.6x) en comparación con la media del sector Global Commercial Services (17.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is GEO1 *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 21.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
PM vs. Ratio Justo: Datos insuficientes para calcular GEO1 *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio para el análisis de valoración.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$247.23 0% | 2.9% | Mex$251.42 | Mex$234.66 | n/a | 4 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$251.52 0% | 2.9% | Mex$255.78 | Mex$238.73 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$187.00 | Mex$244.05 +30.5% | 3.4% | Mex$252.46 | Mex$235.63 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$180.00 | Mex$254.45 +41.4% | 3.4% | Mex$263.22 | Mex$245.67 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$172.00 | Mex$254.45 +47.9% | 3.4% | Mex$263.22 | Mex$245.67 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$249.65 0% | 7.2% | Mex$265.11 | Mex$220.93 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$135.87 | Mex$241.43 +77.7% | 8.3% | Mex$255.64 | Mex$213.03 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$124.00 | Mex$241.43 +94.7% | 8.3% | Mex$255.64 | Mex$213.03 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$241.74 0% | 13.8% | Mex$265.33 | Mex$194.57 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$125.00 | Mex$241.74 +93.4% | 13.8% | Mex$265.33 | Mex$194.57 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$241.74 0% | 13.8% | Mex$265.33 | Mex$194.57 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$235.89 0% | 21.8% | Mex$272.18 | Mex$163.31 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$265.39 0% | 6.6% | Mex$277.73 | Mex$240.70 | Mex$244.80 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$265.39 0% | 6.6% | Mex$277.73 | Mex$240.70 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$212.00 | Mex$277.80 +31.0% | 3.2% | Mex$284.11 | Mex$265.17 | Mex$187.00 | 3 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$211.00 | Mex$288.04 +36.5% | 3.2% | Mex$294.59 | Mex$274.95 | Mex$180.00 | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$235.20 | Mex$282.10 +19.9% | 3.2% | Mex$288.52 | Mex$269.28 | Mex$172.00 | 3 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$171.50 | Mex$263.95 +53.9% | 17.7% | Mex$296.95 | Mex$197.96 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’23 | Mex$156.00 | Mex$259.83 +66.6% | 21.8% | Mex$299.81 | Mex$179.88 | Mex$135.87 | 3 |
| Sep ’23 | Mex$165.80 | Mex$259.83 +56.7% | 21.8% | Mex$299.81 | Mex$179.88 | Mex$124.00 | 3 |
| Aug ’23 | n/a | Mex$260.08 0% | 26.1% | Mex$307.99 | Mex$164.26 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’23 | Mex$125.00 | Mex$253.44 +102.8% | 26.1% | Mex$300.13 | Mex$160.07 | Mex$125.00 | 3 |
| Jun ’23 | n/a | Mex$253.44 0% | 26.1% | Mex$300.13 | Mex$160.07 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’23 | n/a | Mex$257.15 0% | 26.1% | Mex$304.52 | Mex$162.41 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’23 | Mex$115.00 | Mex$257.15 +123.6% | 26.1% | Mex$304.52 | Mex$162.41 | n/a | 3 |
Pronóstico de los analistas: El precio objetivo es inferior al precio actual de la acción.