GEO Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

GEO Group se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de 23% y 2.5% respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA sea de grow en 22.9% al año. Se prevé que la rentabilidad de los fondos propios sea de 11.2% en 3 años.

Key information

28.8%

Earnings growth rate

27.4%

EPS growth rate

Commercial Services earnings growth	16.0%
Revenue growth rate	1.8%
Future return on equity	11.5%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	22 Mar 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BMV:GEO1 * - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2025	2,504	161	247	335	3
12/31/2024	2,435	119	198	286	4
12/31/2023	2,413	89	212	285	N/A
9/30/2023	2,426	103	230	302	N/A
6/30/2023	2,439	114	152	237	N/A
3/31/2023	2,434	134	179	269	N/A
12/31/2022	2,377	142	206	296	N/A
9/30/2022	2,314	65	136	221	N/A
6/30/2022	2,254	62	188	249	N/A
3/31/2022	2,231	53	224	280	N/A
12/31/2021	2,257	70	213	283	N/A
9/30/2021	2,277	126	291	373	N/A
6/30/2021	2,299	136	291	391	N/A
3/31/2021	2,321	137	333	438	N/A
12/31/2020	2,350	113	333	442	N/A
9/30/2020	2,394	139	263	373	N/A
6/30/2020	2,446	146	263	378	N/A
3/31/2020	2,472	151	248	367	N/A
12/31/2019	2,478	167	221	338	N/A
9/30/2019	2,456	162	252	377	N/A
6/30/2019	2,408	155	167	311	N/A
3/31/2019	2,377	151	132	304	N/A
12/31/2018	2,331	145	79	274	N/A
9/30/2018	2,301	148	338	543	N/A
6/30/2018	2,284	147	323	511	N/A
3/31/2018	2,278	141	237	403	N/A
12/31/2017	2,263	146	233	381	N/A
9/30/2017	2,261	159	N/A	42	N/A
6/30/2017	2,249	165	N/A	-16	N/A
3/31/2017	2,220	157	N/A	37	N/A
12/31/2016	2,179	149	N/A	-28	N/A
9/30/2016	2,113	143	N/A	19	N/A
6/30/2016	2,029	138	N/A	101	N/A
3/31/2016	1,926	143	N/A	64	N/A
12/31/2015	1,843	139	N/A	142	N/A
9/30/2015	1,771	133	N/A	149	N/A
6/30/2015	1,759	134	N/A	150	N/A
3/31/2015	1,726	145	N/A	200	N/A
12/31/2014	1,692	144	N/A	203	N/A
9/30/2014	1,647	133	N/A	199	N/A
6/30/2014	1,569	127	N/A	223	N/A
3/31/2014	1,538	122	N/A	210	N/A
12/31/2013	1,522	117	N/A	192	N/A
9/30/2013	1,517	185	N/A	194	N/A
6/30/2013	1,507	168	N/A	239	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Ingresos vs. tasa de ahorro: GEO1 *(23% al año) es superior a la tasa de ahorro (7.7%).

Beneficios frente mercado: GEO1 *Se prevé que los beneficios de la empresa (23% al año) crezcan más deprisa que el mercado MX (9.2% al año).

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: GEO1 *Se espera que los beneficios de la empresa crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: GEO1 *(2.5% al año) se prevé que crezca más despacio que el mercado de MX (6.2% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: GEO1 *Se prevé que los ingresos de la empresa (2.5% al año) crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Futura rentabilidad financiera (ROE): GEO1 *Se prevé que la Rentabilidad de los fondos propios de la empresa sea baja dentro de 3 años (11.2%).

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GEO Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year of 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter, Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2022

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2022, the Fourth Quarter of 2022, and the Full Year of 2022

Recent updates

High number of new directors

The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 03, 2024

Key Executive recently bought Mex$10m worth of stock

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.94 (vs US$1.18 in FY 2022)

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.94 (vs US$1.18 in FY 2022)

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year of 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 15, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million.

The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes, Effective January 1, 2024

The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Chief Executive Officer Changes

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.20 (vs US$0.26 in 3Q 2022)

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023

High number of new directors

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter, Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 09, 2023

High number of new directors

High number of new directors

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.23 (vs US$0.26 in 1Q 2022)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

High number of new directors

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year 2023

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.42 (vs US$0.58 in FY 2021)

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 14, 2023

The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

High number of new directors

The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Board and Executive Changes

Insider recently sold Mex$655k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2022

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.32 (vs US$0.24 in 3Q 2021)

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 27, 2022

High number of new directors

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter of 2022, the Fourth Quarter of 2022, and the Full Year of 2022

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 02, 2022

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 03, 2022

The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

High number of new directors

High number of new directors

The GEO Group, Inc. Updates Financial Guidance for the Second Quarter and Full Year of 2022

SOC Investment Group Files an Exempt Solicitation Statement to The GEO Group

High number of new directors

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

High number of new directors

The Geo Group, Inc. Appoints Andrew N. Shapiro to the Board, Member of the Audit and Finance Committee, the Corporate Planning Committee and the Independent Committee

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year 2022

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Feb 17, 2022

the Geo Group, Inc. Announces Appointment of Thomas C. Bartzokis to Board, Member of the Corporate Planning Committee, the Independent Committee and the Criminal Justice Rehabilitation and Human Rights Committee

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Insider recently sold Mex$493k worth of stock

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter, Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2021

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Founder recently bought Mex$23m worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Second Quarter and Full Year 2021

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2021

The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Non-Renewal of U.S. Marshals Service Contract for Queens Detention Facility in New York

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Revenue beats expectations

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Feb 16, 2021

The GEO Group Announces Decision by Federal Bureau of Prisons To Not Renew Its Contract for the Moshannon Valley Correctional Facility in Pennsylvania

Market pulls back on stock over the past week

The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 29, 2020

The GEO Group, Inc. Faces Class Action Lawsuit

Independent Director recently sold Mex$854.7k worth of stock

Independent Director recently sold Mex$854.7k worth of stock