Ferretti Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 1/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Ferretti de 6.1% y 0.8% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 5.3% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 10% en 3 años.
Información clave
6.1%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
5.30%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Leisure | 17.0% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 0.8% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 9.97% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 03 Jul 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 25
9638: Governance Dispute And New Dividend Policy Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their Ferretti price target to HK$43.58 from HK$45.74, as slightly higher discount rates and a modestly lower assumed future P/E multiple offset largely unchanged revenue growth and profit margin expectations. What’s in the News for Ferretti KKCG Maritime filed a writ of summons in the Court of Bologna challenging the AGM resolutions on Ferretti S.p.A.'s new Board, its size, and the Board of Statutory Auditors.Actualización de narrativa • Jun 09
9638: Tender Offer And Governance Reset Will Support Dividend And Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their HK$ fair value estimate for Ferretti from HK$46.97 to HK$45.74, reflecting slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples in their updated models. What's in the News KKCG Maritime completed a voluntary partial tender offer for Ferretti, acquiring an additional 8.74% stake for about €120 million and raising its holding to 23.25% of the company’s share capital.Actualización de narrativa • May 26
9638: Tender Offer Outcome Will Shape Governance Shift And Supportive Dividend Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Ferretti from about HK$42.49 to roughly HK$46.97, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E multiples. What's in the News KKCG Maritime completed the acquisition of an additional 8.74% stake in Ferretti for approximately €120 million, increasing its holding to 78,641,625 shares (23.25% of Ferretti's share capital) after a tender offer that ran from March 16 to April 13, 2026 (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Apr 28
9638: Tender Offer, Governance Slate And Dividend Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Ferretti to about HK$42.49 from around HK$45.34. They cited slightly higher discount rate assumptions and a lower future P/E multiple, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations broadly unchanged.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 08
9638: Cancelled Tender Offer And Dividend Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have nudged their Ferretti price target higher from HK$41.92 to HK$45.34, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue, a modestly higher profit margin and a small adjustment to the future P/E multiple. What's in the News KKCG Maritime cancelled its planned acquisition of an additional 15.4% stake in Ferretti S.p.A. for approximately €200m revised maximum consideration, after Ferretti's board described the improved €3.90 per share offer as not fair and not reasonable and advised shareholders to reject it (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Mar 25
9638: Rising Stake Tender Offer Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target for Ferretti from HK$40.93 to HK$41.92, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate and future P/E while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations broadly consistent. What's in the News KKCG Maritime agreed to acquire an additional 15.4% stake in Ferretti S.p.A. for approximately €180 million at €3.50 per share on a cum dividend basis, which would raise its holding from 14.5% to 29.9%, with funding coming from internal resources.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 10
9638: Rising Stake Tender Offer Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their HK$ fair value estimate for Ferretti from about HK$41.53 to around HK$40.93, citing slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins. This is partly balanced by a marginally lower discount rate and a modestly higher future P/E outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 24
9638: Rising Stake And Upcoming Board Decisions Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their HK$ fair value estimate for Ferretti from about HK$41.99 to about HK$41.53, reflecting slightly more conservative assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Board meeting on February 24, 2026 to consider approval of the preliminary consolidated results as at December 31, 2025 and other business matters (company filing).Actualización de narrativa • Feb 07
9638: Rising Stake Acquisition Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Narrative Update: Ferretti Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts now see Ferretti’s fair value at about €42 per share, up from roughly €37. This reflects updated views on a slightly lower discount rate, higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly adjusted profit margin outlook, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple.Artículo de análisis • Jan 26
An Intrinsic Calculation For Ferretti S.p.A. (HKG:9638) Suggests It's 39% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Ferretti is HK$62.04 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Ferretti is...Artículo de análisis • Jan 07
Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
It's not a stretch to say that Ferretti S.p.A.'s ( HKG:9638 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.2x right now...Artículo de análisis • Jun 11
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Ferretti's (HKG:9638) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Artículo de análisis • May 28
Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) 27% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Ferretti S.p.A. ( HKG:9638 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand...Artículo de análisis • May 06
Shareholders May Not Be So Generous With Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) CEO Compensation And Here's Why
Key Insights Ferretti to hold its Annual General Meeting on 13th of May CEO Alberto Galassi's total compensation...Artículo de análisis • Apr 23
We Think That There Are Some Issues For Ferretti (HKG:9638) Beyond Its Promising Earnings
Ferretti S.p.A.'s ( HKG:9638 ) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that...
Nueva narrativa • Feb 18
Riva Residenze And INFYNITO Series Expected To Boost Competitive Edge
Ferretti's focus on high-margin yacht segments and residential luxury is set to enhance revenue stability, diversify streams, and elevate earnings.Artículo de análisis • May 25
With EPS Growth And More, Ferretti (HKG:9638) Makes An Interesting Case
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Artículo de análisis • May 08
Investors Will Want Ferretti's (HKG:9638) Growth In ROCE To Persist
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Artículo de análisis • Apr 17
What Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) P/E Is Not Telling You
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.9x Ferretti S.p.A. ( HKG:9638 ) may be sending bearish signals at the...Artículo de análisis • Mar 24
Ferretti's (HKG:9638) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
Ferretti S.p.A.'s ( HKG:9638 ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some...Artículo de análisis • Feb 13
Is Now The Time To Put Ferretti (HKG:9638) On Your Watchlist?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Artículo de análisis • Jan 06
Ferretti (HKG:9638) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common...Artículo de análisis • Sep 28
Ferretti (HKG:9638) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Artículo de análisis • Aug 11
Ferretti's (HKG:9638) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively
Ferretti S.p.A.'s ( HKG:9638 ) solid earnings announcement recently didn't do much to the stock price. Our analysis...Artículo de análisis • Aug 05
Is There An Opportunity With Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) 21% Undervaluation?
Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of Ferretti S.p.A. ( HKG:9638 ) by taking the...Artículo de análisis • Jul 06
There's Reason For Concern Over Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) Price
Ferretti S.p.A.'s ( HKG:9638 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.9x might make it look like a strong sell right...Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,416 | 107 | 106 | 183 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,342 | 98 | 85 | 155 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,297 | 91 | 80 | 119 | 8 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,390 | 90 | 72 | 169 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,366 | 89 | -10 | 94 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,342 | 88 | -93 | 19 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,339 | 88 | -107 | 10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,336 | 88 | -122 | 1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,316 | 87 | -81 | 46 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,296 | 86 | -41 | 90 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,263 | 85 | -50 | 92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,229 | 83 | -59 | 94 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,196 | 77 | -62 | 79 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,162 | 71 | -65 | 64 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,133 | 66 | 0 | 105 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,104 | 60 | 64 | 146 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,079 | 50 | 81 | 171 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,038 | 44 | 134 | 224 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 997 | 41 | 165 | 248 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 956 | 38 | 195 | 272 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 936 | 48 | 186 | 259 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 672 | 22 | -15 | 57 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 714 | 27 | -32 | 54 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 704 | 39 | N/A | 68 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 679 | 35 | N/A | 49 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 657 | 31 | N/A | 30 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 602 | 24 | N/A | 7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 544 | 14 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (6.1% al año) de 9638 es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (6.1% al año) de 9638 crezcan menos que el mercado Hong Kong (12.6% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de 9638 crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (0.8% al año) de 9638 crezcan más despacio que el mercado de Hong Kong (8.9% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 0.8% al año) de 9638 crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de 9638 sea baja dentro de 3 años (10%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/07/11 19:19 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2025/12/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también contamos con guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Ferretti S.p.A. está cubierta por 12 analistas. 8 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Carmen Novel | Banca Akros S.p.A. (ESN) |
| Anna Frontani | Berenberg |
| null null | China International Capital Corporation Limited |