Ampol Limited

Informe acción ASX:ALD

Capitalización de mercado: AU$7.8b

Ampol Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 2/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Ampol de 14.9% y 2.2% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 18% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 15.8% en 3 años.

Información clave

14.9%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

18.00%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Oil and Gas11.7%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos2.2%
Rentabilidad financiera futura15.80%
Cobertura de analistas

Good

Última actualización24 Jun 2026

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Recent updates

Actualización de narrativa • Jun 18

ALD: Future Returns Will Rely On EG Deal And Energy Transition

The Analyst Price Target for Ampol has been adjusted slightly higher to A$37.27 from A$36.46. This reflects analysts’ updated assumptions on modestly higher revenue growth, profit margins, and a small change in the applied discount rate and future P/E multiple.
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 02

ALD: Future Returns Will Depend On Energy Transition And Steady Earnings

Analysts have maintained their A$36.46 price target for Ampol, indicating that only minor adjustments have been made to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, rather than any change in their overall valuation view. What's in the News Ampol remains Australia’s largest listed petroleum refiner and fuel retailer, with operations spanning refining, fuel marketing, convenience retail and emerging mobility services.
Actualización de narrativa • May 13

ALD: Future Returns Will Rely On Dividend Timing And Steady Earnings Expectations

Analysts have nudged their price target for Ampol slightly higher to A$36.46 from A$36.26, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, modest revenue growth, future profit margins and price-to-earnings (P/E) expectations. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, giving income focused investors clear visibility on the upcoming payout schedule (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 24

ALD: Future Returns Will Rely On Upcoming Dividend And Steady Earnings Expectations

Ampol's analyst price target has shifted from A$34.64 to A$36.26, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple as the key drivers of this change. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, giving investors clarity on upcoming cash distributions (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 08

ALD: Future Returns Will Be Supported By Upcoming Dividend And Stable Earnings Outlook

Ampol’s analyst price target has shifted from A$33.72 to A$34.64, with analysts citing small changes in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions as the basis for the revised valuation. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025.
Actualización de narrativa • Mar 24

ALD: Future Returns Will Be Supported By Upcoming Dividend And Stable Payout Outlook

Analysts have nudged their Ampol valuation higher, with the fair value estimate moving from A$33.32 to A$33.72 as they factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, giving investors clarity on the upcoming payout schedule (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa • Mar 10

ALD: Future Returns Will Be Supported By Upcoming Dividend And Stable Margins

Ampol's analyst price target has edged down slightly from A$33.74 to A$33.32 as analysts update their assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E settings while keeping their overall view broadly intact. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, giving investors clarity on the latest half year cash return from the company (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa • Feb 20

ALD: Future Earnings Will Be Supported By Stable Margins And Undervalued Shares

Analysts have kept their A$33.74 price target for Ampol unchanged, with only minor tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions behind the valuation. Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at A$33.74 per share, indicating no shift in the core valuation output.
Actualización de narrativa • Feb 06

ALD: Future Earnings Will Be Supported By Stable Margins And Undervalued Shares

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Ampol to A$33.74 from A$34.22, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher discount rate, along with a modest adjustment to the expected future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: trimmed from A$34.22 to A$33.74, a small reduction in the assessed upside for the shares.
Actualización de narrativa • Jan 22

ALD: Earnings Outlook Will Strengthen As Margins Support Undervalued Share Price

Analysts have nudged their Ampol fair value estimate slightly lower, from A$34.29 to A$34.22. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.
Actualización de narrativa • Jan 07

ALD: Fair Value Confidence Will Support Positive Long Term Earnings Outlook

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Ampol at A$34.29, making only minor adjustments to the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions to reflect updated modelling rather than a change in their overall view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Kept unchanged at A$34.29 per share, indicating no shift in the central valuation outcome.
Actualización de narrativa • Dec 14

ALD: Future Earnings Outlook Will Remain Balanced Amid Slight Margin And Growth Assumption Shifts

Analysts have nudged their price target on Ampol slightly higher to approximately A$34.30 from about A$33.90, citing marginally improved profit margin expectations and a modestly lower discount rate, while also tempering long term revenue growth assumptions. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly to around A$34.29 from about A$33.90.
Artículo de análisis • Dec 03

Investors Aren't Buying Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) Revenues

Ampol Limited's ( ASX:ALD ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now...
Actualización de narrativa • Nov 27

ALD: Future Earnings Outlook To Remain Balanced Amid Minor Model Adjustments

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Ampol from $33.50 to $33.90. This change reflects minor model adjustments and refined assumptions regarding discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and projected price-to-earnings ratios.
Actualización de narrativa • Nov 13

ALD: Interim Dividend Set For September Reflects Balanced Payout Approach

Analysts have raised their price target for Ampol from $33.39 to $33.50, reflecting increased optimism about the company's stronger projected revenue growth, even though there is a slight decline in profit margin expectations. What's in the News Ampol's board declared an interim ordinary dividend of 40 cents per share, fully franked, for the first half of 2025 (Key Developments) This dividend represents a payout ratio of 53%, which aligns with Ampol's policy of paying out 50% to 70% of underlying RCOP net profit after tax (Key Developments) The 2025 interim dividend is lower compared to the 60 cents per share paid for the 2024 interim dividend (Key Developments) The record date for the interim dividend is September 1, 2025, with payment scheduled for September 25, 2025; the ex-date is August 29, 2025 (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target increased marginally from A$33.39 to A$33.50 Discount Rate decreased from 6.98% to 6.70% Revenue Growth forecast rose significantly from 1.16% to 2.51% Net Profit Margin expectation edged down from 1.95% to 1.86% Future P/E ratio remained stable, changing slightly from 15.09x to 15.12x
Artículo de análisis • Nov 07

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Ampol (ASX:ALD)

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Actualización de narrativa • Oct 30

ALD: Recent Acquisitions Will Drive Cost Synergies Despite Integration Risks Ahead

Ampol's analyst price target has been raised from ARS 32.65 to ARS 33.39, with analysts citing improved earnings visibility and cost synergy opportunities following the acquisition of EG Australia as key drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent street research indicates a shift in sentiment among market observers, with the price target for Ampol seeing notable upward revisions.
Artículo de análisis • Oct 15

Ampol (ASX:ALD) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Artículo de análisis • Aug 20

Ampol's (ASX:ALD) Dividend Will Be A$0.40

Ampol Limited ( ASX:ALD ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of A$0.40 per share on the 25th of September. This...
Actualización de narrativa • Aug 19

Lytton Refinery Upgrade And EV Expansion Will Meet Future Cleaner Energy Demands

Analysts have raised Ampol’s price target from A$31.05 to A$32.69, reflecting optimism over the accretive EG Australia acquisition, anticipated cost synergies, and the potential for earnings improvement as integration benefits are realized. Analyst Commentary The acquisition of EG Australia provides high earnings visibility.
Artículo de análisis • Aug 14

Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) Low P/S No Reason For Excitement

ASX:ALD 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Ampol's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Ampol...
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Nueva narrativa • Feb 09

Investments In Low-Sulfur Fuels And EV Charging Will Expand Offerings, But Project Risks May Affect Future Margins

Investment in renewable fuels and EV infrastructure aims to drive revenue growth and enhance competitive position in low-carbon transport markets.

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

ASX:ALD - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (AUD Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
12/31/202835,0606037241,2005
12/31/202735,0985737801,0415
12/31/202635,4109557951,2905
12/31/202531,36682-28795N/A
9/30/202531,647-282551,081N/A
6/30/202531,929-1385391,367N/A
3/31/202533,403-83401,141N/A
12/31/202434,878123141915N/A
9/30/202436,2124143221,054N/A
6/30/202437,5467055021,193N/A
3/31/202437,6486277321,356N/A
12/31/202337,7495499611,518N/A
9/30/202338,6773409631,463N/A
6/30/202339,6051309641,408N/A
3/31/202339,0484297331,159N/A
12/31/202238,492728502909N/A
9/30/202233,626810N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202228,760892264626N/A
3/31/202224,821706287630N/A
12/31/202120,883521310635N/A
9/30/202118,847484N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202116,812447318542N/A
3/31/202116,111-19179405N/A
12/31/202015,409-48541268N/A
9/30/202017,730-442141387N/A
6/30/202020,051-399242506N/A
3/31/202021,179-8403675N/A
12/31/201922,307383564844N/A
9/30/201922,081358N/A786N/A
6/30/201921,854333N/A728N/A
3/31/201921,793447N/A662N/A
12/31/201821,731560N/A597N/A
9/30/201820,290649N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201818,848737N/A778N/A
3/31/201817,567678N/A757N/A
12/31/201716,286619N/A735N/A
9/30/201716,697588N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201717,107556N/A700N/A
3/31/201717,520583N/A814N/A
12/31/201617,933610N/A928N/A
9/30/201618,285537N/A975N/A
6/30/201618,636465N/A1,021N/A
3/31/201619,281493N/A953N/A
12/31/201519,927522N/A885N/A
9/30/201520,563377N/A765N/A
6/30/201521,199232N/A646N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (14.9% al año) de ALD es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.6%).

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (14.9% al año) de ALD crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado Australian (12.1% al año).

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de ALD crezcan, pero no significativamente.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (2.2% al año) de ALD crezcan más despacio que el mercado de Australian (6.1% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 2.2% al año) de ALD crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.

Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción

Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de ALD sea baja dentro de 3 años (15.8%).

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Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/06/29 04:18
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/06/29 00:00
Beneficios2025/12/31
Ingresos anuales2025/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también contamos con guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

Ampol Limited está cubierta por 17 analistas. 8 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Chris SavageBell Potter
David ErringtonBofA Global Research