Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:CNSL Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: US$559.2m

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Consolidated Communications Holdings Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 0/6

Consolidated Communications Holdings wird voraussichtlich seinen Umsatz steigern um 2.2% pro Jahr.

Wichtige Informationen

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Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

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EPS-Wachstumsrate

Telecom Gewinnwachstum11.6%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen2.2%
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrenditen/a
Analystenabdeckung

Low

Zuletzt aktualisiert22 Nov 2024

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 22

Consolidated Communications Goes All In On Fiber

Consolidated Communications' current performance remains weak. CNSL sold its partnership assets for $490 million to maximize its fiber investment in an effort to produce long-term growth. It's difficult to pencil out a higher valuation today with a $2.6-$3.0 billion TEV. Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc. (CNSL) has been struggling with continued erosion in its voice and video services across all of its customer segments. The only category posting growth is broadband internet. Following its last major acquisition, net sales have fallen by about 13% since 2018. CNSL Revenue ((TTM)) data by YCharts CNSL also disclosed that their subsidy funding was materially reduced this year, which negatively impacts revenue and EBITDA by $10.5 million per quarter or $42 million annualized: "the annual $48 million in CAF II funding we had received transitioned to $6 million under the Rural Digital Opportunity Fund." A picture is worth a thousand words, so here's where the pain points for CNSL are coming from: CNSL Segments 2Q22 Filing (SEC Filings, Form 10-Q) The company had some asset diversification with its Verizon partnerships, but sold them for $490 million, or after-tax proceeds of $470 million. These lucrative assets produced solid recurring earnings, but now cash flow will be reduced by $40 million here as well. Their decision was based on the strategy of reinvesting organically to accelerate the buildout of their fiber network. More on that later. Finally, an analyst on the Q2 2022 conference call questioned CNSL management when top-line erosion will stall. Although CFO Steve Childers gave a rough timeline, the answer was only partially convincing, in my view: "So I think you will start seeing sequential revenue growth probably -- I think revenue and EBITDA growth probably in early 2023. Again, we need to -- may continue to work hard on mitigating the voice erosions." No doubt. Voice and video erosion have been ongoing for years. I've mentioned it before and I'll say it again, it seems conservative to just view these areas as melting ice cubes. There's no clear answer as to how they will stabilize, let alone return to growth. Those are a few headwinds to deal with, and with a sizable debt balance, management has decided to go all in with one potential solution. Fiber. Some Positives Fiber is the core business, both from a growth and cash flow perspective. Management is taking a lot of action by monetizing assets and reinvesting in this area. Why is fiber, in general, doing so well? Compared to incumbent cable internet, fiber has very fast upload and download speeds, whereas cable upload speeds can be slower. Directionally, fiber has growth, whereas cable does not. While there's still debate on the trajectory of market share trends, companies deploying fiber are definitely gaining over time. Management's strategy also rests on the fact that 80+% of its existing market footprint overlaps with only one cable competitor. Clearly, the company can benefit from this dynamic so long as other competitors don't expand into its primarily rural, low population density markets. I think this risk is low given the juice wouldn't be worth the squeeze for another telecom to enter the market given the capex required. However, one newish entrant is Google Fiber, which does have overlap with CNSL in California, Texas, Georgia, and other states. The company featured in its Q2 earnings presentation that it is making good progress with upgrades and is targeting its one million fiber passings milestone by December 2022. It plans to reach two million by 2025. CNSL Fiber Build Plan (CNSL Q2 Earnings Presentation) One issue, though, is that housing affordability reached a new low in 2022. That's discouraging new and existing home sales, which means there will be a slowdown in a key channel of new internet subscribers. Not that CNSL will materially suffer from this trend, but it certainly caps the potential for positive surprises on new residential wins (42% of the broadband mix). The counterargument is that CNSL has been actively marketing its new fiber brand, Fidium. In fact, management claimed that it was taking share from its cable competitor. We can see in the financials that consumer is border lining growth, commercial is slightly growing, and carrier is firmly in growth mode up 6.4% year-over-year and 8.3% sequentially. Management indicated that their broadband segment should allow them to achieve 3% long-term growth. I think that's a reasonable expectation, but I'm not sure how that will translate into a positive re-rating on valuation. Valuation I think a key development for CNSL will be whether its Fidium brand continues to gain momentum and take market share, despite the challenging industry environment. Presently, CNSL is working with a $2.6 billion total enterprise value after factoring in the cash proceeds from its partnership asset sale. However, management indicated that all of those proceeds would be redirected into the fiber buildout, so the cash isn't necessarily free and clear. Therefore, I'd pencil in the company's enterprise value as closer to $3 billion.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 01

Consolidated Communications stock jumps on $490M sale of investments to Verizon Wireless

Consolidated Communications (NASDAQ:CNSL) stock jumped 11.2% postmarket on Monday after the firm said it will sell its interests in 5 wireless partnerships managed by Cellco Partnership, dba Verizon Wireless, to Cellco for $490M. Proceeds will be invested in the business and used to support CNSL's Fiber to the Premises (FttP) build plan. "The sale of these investments is part of our long-term strategy as we continue our transformation to a fiber-first broadband company," said CNSL CEO Bob Udell. The sales are expected to close by 2022-end. Verizon Wireless is a unit of Verizon (VZ).
Analyseartikel • Jul 15

Consolidated Communications Holdings (NASDAQ:CNSL) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analyseartikel • May 12

Is Consolidated Communications Holdings (NASDAQ:CNSL) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analyseartikel • Mar 07

Consolidated Communications Holdings (NASDAQ:CNSL) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 31

Consolidated Communications: Revisiting The Thesis

CNSL is slowly deleveraging and aggressively reinvesting into its broadband network, stabilizing the business. Voice and video remain pain points, which limits revenue growth. The recent investment from Search Light Capital Partners is highly dilutive, which makes shares uninvestable.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 04

Consolidated Communications: New Fiber, But No Revenue Growth

Consolidated Communications shares are up over 60% in this year, but the shares turned south after the recent Q3 earnings report. A disappointing revenue decline was the likely cause. The company has left behind a few years of distress and is currently delivering on its strategy: a big bet on fiber with an accelerated build-out of fiber infrastructure. The challenge for the company remains to reverse revenue trends. The planned 300,000 new fiber connections in 2021, and many more after that, don't translate to top-line growth yet. The bet on fiber should pay off, but it may take years. In the absence of dividends, the question for retail investors is if an investment is worth the wait.
Analyseartikel • Apr 20

Shareholders May Be Wary Of Increasing Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CNSL) CEO Compensation Package

Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CNSL ) has not performed well recently and CEO Bob Udell will...
Analyseartikel • Mar 18

An Intrinsic Calculation For Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CNSL) Suggests It's 36% Undervalued

In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc...
Analyseartikel • Feb 28

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CNSL)?

While Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CNSL ) might not be the most widely known stock at the...
Analyseartikel • Feb 10

Consolidated Communications Holdings (NASDAQ:CNSL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
Analyseartikel • Jan 26

How Did Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CNSL) 9.8% ROE Fare Against The Industry?

While some investors are already well versed in financial metrics (hat tip), this article is for those who would like...
Analyseartikel • Jan 11

Consolidated Communications Holdings' (NASDAQ:CNSL) Stock Price Has Reduced 73% In The Past Five Years

We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly...
Analyseartikel • Dec 27

Should You Use Consolidated Communications Holdings's (NASDAQ:CNSL) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. However, sometimes...
Analyseartikel • Dec 14

What Type Of Shareholders Make Up Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CNSL) Share Registry?

The big shareholder groups in Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CNSL ) have power over the company...

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

NasdaqGS:CNSL - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (USD Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
12/31/20261,139N/AN/AN/A1
12/31/20251,102N/AN/AN/A1
12/31/20241,080N/AN/AN/A1
9/30/20241,090-234-33348N/A
6/30/20241,102-242-37345N/A
3/31/20241,109-294-41765N/A
12/31/20231,110-294-400115N/A
9/30/20231,131-280-439108N/A
6/30/20231,144-238-418150N/A
3/31/20231,167-134-397197N/A
12/31/20221,191-215-396224N/A
9/30/20221,214-166-397241N/A
6/30/20221,236-169-344275N/A
3/31/20221,258-209-259302N/A
12/31/20211,282-142-161319N/A
9/30/20211,290-156-41364N/A
6/30/20211,298-11253369N/A
3/31/20211,303-43127378N/A
12/31/20201,3046147365N/A
9/30/20201,30937188388N/A
6/30/20201,31523149358N/A
3/31/20201,3242128349N/A
12/31/20191,337-21107339N/A
9/30/20191,350-29100342N/A
6/30/20191,365-4486326N/A
3/31/20191,382-48104341N/A
12/31/20181,399-52113357N/A
9/30/20181,41162100349N/A
6/30/20181,42649N/A311N/A
3/31/20181,24657N/A249N/A
12/31/20171,06065N/A210N/A
9/30/2017879-35N/A170N/A
6/30/20177070N/A196N/A
3/31/20177243N/A210N/A
12/31/201674314N/A218N/A
9/30/201675519N/A225N/A
6/30/201675815N/A239N/A
3/31/2016772-1N/A226N/A
12/31/2015776-1N/A219N/A
9/30/2015774-16N/A222N/A
6/30/2015729-11N/A197N/A
3/31/201567914N/A192N/A
12/31/201463615N/A188N/A
9/30/201459828N/A177N/A
6/30/201459931N/A187N/A
3/31/201460031N/A177N/A
12/31/201360229N/A164N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: Unzureichende Daten, um festzustellen, ob das prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum von CNSL über der Sparquote liegt (2.6%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: Unzureichende Daten, um festzustellen, ob die Gewinne von CNSL schneller wachsen werden als der Markt US

Hohe Wachstumserträge: Die Daten reichen nicht aus, um festzustellen, ob die Einnahmen von CNSL in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: CNSLDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.2% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (11.7% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: CNSLDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.2% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.

Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: Unzureichende Daten, um festzustellen, ob die Eigenkapitalrendite von CNSL in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein wird

Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2024/12/28 22:20
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2024/12/26 00:00
Gewinne2024/09/30
Jährliche Einnahmen2023/12/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

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Analysten-Quellen

Consolidated Communications Holdings, Inc. wird von 9 Analysten beobachtet. 1 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
James MoormanD.A. Davidson & Co.
Michael McCormackGuggenheim Securities, LLC
Scott GoldmanJefferies LLC