Applied Optoelectronics Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 5/6
Für Applied Optoelectronics wird ein Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 111.7% bzw. 67.5% pro Jahr prognostiziert, während der Gewinn je Aktie voraussichtlich um 112.6% pro Jahr steigen soll.
Wichtige Informationen
111.7%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
112.61%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Communications Gewinnwachstum | 23.6% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 67.5% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | n/a |
| Analystenabdeckung | Low |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 19 Aug 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Analyseartikel • Aug 09
The Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Second-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
The investors in Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. 's ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) will be rubbing their hands together with glee today...Analyseartikel • May 11
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Price Target To US$151
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ), given that the company...Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 16
Applied Optoelectronics's Next Run Could Be Bigger
Summary AAOI targets 650,000 monthly units by year-end 2026 as 800G and 1.6T demand continues exceeding available capacity. Management’s mid-2027 targets imply roughly $471 million monthly optical revenue, equivalent to $5.65 billion annualized before CATV. AAOI’s vertical integration provides scarce laser capacity, while future CPO laser products could potentially generate gross margins near 60%. Revenue could surge 156% to $2.66 billion in 2027, reducing today’s valuation to roughly 20.8 times projected earnings. The roughly 50% correction improves asymmetry, although customer concentration, dilution, and execution remain critical risks to per-share earnings growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative-Update • Sep 03
AAOI: 1.6T Launch Trajectory May Support Further Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics to $163.40 from $150.30, citing higher price targets tied to the 1.6T launch trajectory and updates to post-Q2 modeling as key supports for the revised outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics highlights both optimism around the 1.6T launch and a more measured stance tied to post Q2 modeling and current valuation.
Narrative-Update • Aug 20
AAOI: Record AI Orders And 1.6T Rollout Will Constrain Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their implied fair value range for Applied Optoelectronics from about $57.50 to roughly $109.00, citing updated models that factor in the 1.6T launch trajectory, as well as recent revisions to Street price targets of $178 and $109, as key supports for the new outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Applied Optoelectronics highlight both enthusiasm around the 1.6T launch trajectory and a more measured stance on valuation and execution risk.Analyseartikel • Aug 09
The Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Second-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
The investors in Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. 's ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) will be rubbing their hands together with glee today...Narrative-Update • Aug 06
AAOI: Potential China Ban And AI Demand May Support Further Upside
Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics by about $7. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E multiple following recent price target updates on the stock.Narrative-Update • Jul 22
AAOI: Hyperscale AI Capacity Expansion Will Likely Support Further Share Upside
Analysts raised their price target on Applied Optoelectronics by $6, citing updated fair value estimates around $157 and a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple that is in line with recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Applied Optoelectronics points to a reassessment of fair value, with analysts updating their models and price targets based on revised P/E assumptions and refreshed views on the company’s ability to execute on its plans.
Narrative-Update • Jun 24
AAOI: AI Optics Demand And US Capacity Buildout Will Drive Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Applied Optoelectronics to $220.00 from $190.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their valuation work. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Applied Optoelectronics signal a more constructive stance from bullish analysts, who are revisiting their assumptions around growth, profitability, and valuation.Analyseartikel • Jun 17
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Stock Could Be 119% Overvalued After AI Optics Rally
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) stock is back in focus after a series of AI related catalysts, including a Texas manufacturing expansion, stronger QuantumLink software ties with Spectrum, and public support for optics from Nvidia’s CEO. See our latest analysis for Applied Optoelectronics. After surging on AI infrastructure enthusiasm and the expanded QuantumLink deal with Spectrum, Applied Optoelectronics’ share price has recently pulled back, with a 1-day share price return of 10.83% down and...Narrative-Update • Jun 06
AAOI: Heavy Dependence On One 1.6T Order Will Restrain Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Applied Optoelectronics by $3.50 to $57.50, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E multiples following recent research that highlights large 1.6T transceiver orders and expectations for meaningful customer demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics has focused heavily on large 1.6T transceiver orders and the implications these contracts could have for long term revenue, profitability, and valuation.Narrative-Update • May 23
AAOI: Hyperscale Order Concentration Will Likely Limit Future Share Upside
Analysts lifted their price target on Applied Optoelectronics from about $90 to about $151, citing higher fair value estimates, updated revenue and margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple, informed by recent research highlighting large transceiver orders and ongoing demand for 400G and 800G products. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Applied Optoelectronics focus on higher price targets, large transceiver orders, and shifting views on the risk and reward profile as demand for 400G and 800G products develops.Analyseartikel • May 11
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Price Target To US$151
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ), given that the company...Narrative-Update • May 02
AAOI: Hyperscale Orders And US Capacity Expansion Will Shape A Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update on Applied Optoelectronics The analyst price target for Applied Optoelectronics has been reset from $140 to $190. Analysts point to the recently announced over $200 million 1.6T transceiver order from a long-term customer, which is viewed as consistent with ongoing demand for 400G and upcoming 800G deployments across major cloud accounts.Narrative-Update • Apr 18
AAOI: Large Hyperscale Transceiver Orders Will Ultimately Struggle To Justify Current Expectations
Analysts lifted their price target framework for Applied Optoelectronics sharply, with fair value rising from $50.00 to $140.00. They point to the new over $200m 1.6T transceiver order from a long term customer, expected strength in 400G, and anticipated 800G demand starting in Q2 as key supports for higher projected revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples.Narrative-Update • Apr 03
AAOI: Concentrated Hyperscale Orders Will Likely Cap Future Share Returns
Analysts have raised their price targets on Applied Optoelectronics, supported by a higher fair value estimate of $90.30 and recent research that reflects a more constructive view on large 1.6T, 400G, and 800G transceiver orders from cloud customers. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the over US$200m 1.6T transceiver order from a long term customer as a meaningful proof point that large cloud buyers are committing real dollars to Applied Optoelectronics' higher speed products.
Neues Narrative • Apr 02
The Company Powering AI’s Data Traffic, Not Its Headlines
Rating: Speculative Buy / High Risk Style: AI infrastructure “picks-and-shovels” growth name Core debate: Is AAOI a genuine bottleneck asset in AI networking, or a cyclical optics supplier temporarily enjoying peak demand and peak multiples? Executive view Applied Optoelectronics is no longer just a small-cap optical component company.Narrative-Update • Mar 20
AAOI: Heavy Reliance On One Hyperscale Order Will Limit Future Upside
Analysts lifted their price target on Applied Optoelectronics from $15 to $54, reflecting updated views that stronger 400G and 800G demand, large 1.6T transceiver orders, and higher projected revenue growth and profit margins could justify a higher fair value and future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics highlights both strong interest in high speed optical products and a wide range of opinions on what that might mean for the stock.Narrative-Update • Mar 06
AAOI: Amazon Reliance And Unproven 800G Ramp Will Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have sharply raised their price targets on Applied Optoelectronics, with one increase from $15 to $54. They cite continued strength in 400G products and the expectation that 800G will begin contributing incremental growth from Q2, particularly supported by firm demand from a key customer such as Amazon.Narrative-Update • Feb 20
AAOI: New Facility And AI Transceiver Demand Will Support Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on Applied Optoelectronics to $50.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth of 82.48%, profit margins of 16.73%, and a future P/E of 12.31x. What's in the News Held a groundbreaking ceremony for a new 210,000 square foot manufacturing facility at 1111 Gillingham St. in Sugar Land, Texas, expanding its physical footprint for future production capacity (Key Developments).Narrative-Update • Feb 05
AAOI: Houston Automation Strength And Amazon Expectations Will Shape A Measured Outlook
Narrative Update on Applied Optoelectronics Analysts now frame Applied Optoelectronics' outlook around a split view, with one firm lifting its price target to $35 after a site visit that highlighted manufacturing capabilities, while another reiterates a $15 target and a Sell rating based on valuation concerns and what it calls ambitious 2026 revenue expectations tied to the Amazon opportunity. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics splits into two camps, with some analysts highlighting upside linked to manufacturing strength and others questioning how much of the potential growth story is already reflected in the share price.Narrative-Update • Jan 22
AAOI: InP Lasers And Automation Will Support Future AI Transceiver Leadership
Analysts have lifted their blended price target range for Applied Optoelectronics toward the mid teens to mid $30s, reflecting mixed views that balance concerns about valuation and ambitious revenue assumptions with confidence in the company's InP laser capabilities and highly automated transceiver production. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics shows a clear split between bullish analysts who see upside from the company’s technology and production capabilities and more cautious voices focused on valuation and execution risk.Analyseartikel • Jan 21
Revenues Tell The Story For Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) As Its Stock Soars 25%
Despite an already strong run, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shares have been powering on, with a gain...Narrative-Update • Jan 07
AAOI: Texas Expansion And Amazon Contract Expectations Will Shape A Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics from $30.60 to $36.60, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E after recent research visits and valuation checks that highlighted both the company’s manufacturing capabilities and differing views on how much of the Amazon opportunity is already priced in. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Applied Optoelectronics presents a split view, with some analysts focusing on the company’s operational strengths and others pointing to valuation risks and ambitious revenue assumptions tied to the Amazon opportunity.Narrative-Update • Dec 23
AAOI: InP Laser And Transceiver Automation Will Support Structurally Stronger Margins
We raise our fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics to $50 from $34, reflecting analysts' higher confidence in the company's laser and transceiver capabilities and structurally stronger margins, even as some caution that the current share price already embeds aggressive growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to Applied Optoelectronics' differentiated position in indium phosphide, or InP, laser epitaxy and advanced transceiver manufacturing as key reasons for raising price targets and assigning favorable ratings.Narrative-Update • Dec 09
AAOI: Texas Expansion And Amazon Opportunity Will Shape A Measured Future Outlook
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Applied Optoelectronics, with the blended target edging higher by about $5 to approximately $35. They highlight the company’s strengthened InP laser and automated transceiver manufacturing capabilities while still cautioning that valuation already reflects much of the anticipated Amazon-driven upside.Narrative-Update • Nov 25
AAOI: Expanded Manufacturing in Texas Will Drive Future Industry Leadership
Applied Optoelectronics' analyst price target has increased from $28.40 to $30.60. This change reflects analysts' recognition of stronger operational capabilities and advanced production efficiencies amid ongoing debates over growth prospects and valuation.Analyseartikel • Nov 14
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stocks Pounded By 27% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAOI ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good...Narrative-Update • Nov 05
AAOI: Future Market Share Gains Will Depend On Successful Capacity Expansions
Analysts have raised their price target for Applied Optoelectronics from $18 to $25. This change reflects expectations for increased datacenter optical market share and further sales growth resulting from new awards, capacity expansions, and favorable industry dynamics.Narrative-Update • Oct 22
Analysts Raise Targets for Applied Optoelectronics Amid Growth Optimism and Valuation Adjustments
Analysts have increased their price target for Applied Optoelectronics, raising it by $1.20. This change reflects growing optimism driven by expectations of expanded market share and a stronger sales outlook.Narrative-Update • Aug 27
US And Taiwan Manufacturing Will Fuel Optical Market Expansion
Despite optimism around Applied Optoelectronics’ long-term market share gains, upcoming sales growth, and favorable geopolitical tailwinds, the consensus analyst price target has been reduced from $29.50 to $27.20. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see strong potential for 2026 sales growth driven by new customer awards.Narrative-Update • Aug 10
US And Taiwan Manufacturing Will Fuel Optical Market Expansion
Despite a substantial improvement in net profit margin and a sharp decline in future P/E, the consensus analyst price target for Applied Optoelectronics has been revised downward from $31.33 to $29.50. What's in the News Provided Q3 2025 revenue guidance of $115 million to $127 million.
Neues Narrative • Apr 24
Texas Expansion And New Transceivers Will Fuel Next-Generation Networks
Ramp-up of high-capacity transceiver products and capital investments signal potential revenue growth through increased sales volume in AI-focused datacenter architectures.Seeking Alpha • Mar 14
Applied Optoelectronics: Sell The Rally
Summary Shares of Applied Optoelectronics rallied in after hours after the company disclosed a warrant agreement with Amazon.com. However, Amazon is well known for using its bargaining power to extract warrants from exchange-listed suppliers. Essentially, the agreement represents a volume discount. The company reported Q4/2024 and full-year results largely in line with expectations, but ramping up datacenter equipment sales will be key going forward. However, required investments in working capital and additional production capacity are likely to result in substantial near-term cash flow pressures. Given near-term execution risk and potential for additional dilution, investors should consider using the Amazon-related rally to dispose of existing positions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 04
Applied Optoelectronics Q4: Top-Line Growth Overshadowed By Decline In Margins
Summary Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. reported strong Q4 sales growth but faced significant declines in efficiency and profitability, raising concerns about a sustainable turnaround. The company's CATV segment drove top-line growth, but gross margins and net income suffered due to one-time charges and operational inefficiencies. Macroeconomic uncertainties, including tariff wars, add volatility, making it difficult to confidently predict a near-term improvement in profitability. While the company shows promise with new product lines and capacity expansion, I need to see consistent operational improvements before considering investment in AAOI stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,964 | 826 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2,663 | 347 | 5 | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,038 | 3 | -521 | N/A | 5 |
| 6/30/2026 | 596 | -57 | -901 | -132 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 507 | -43 | -449 | -209 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 456 | -38 | -385 | -174 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 422 | -156 | -324 | -169 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 368 | -156 | -269 | -155 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 309 | -173 | -163 | -92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 249 | -187 | -120 | -70 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 210 | -81 | -74 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 207 | -72 | -69 | -44 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 205 | -63 | -49 | -27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 218 | -56 | -23 | -8 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 219 | -62 | -19 | -13 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 213 | -69 | -11 | -7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 224 | -67 | -24 | -20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 223 | -66 | -18 | -14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 216 | -61 | -17 | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 212 | -61 | -7 | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 214 | -55 | -9 | 0 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 212 | -54 | -22 | -12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 209 | -53 | -38 | -25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 233 | -47 | -49 | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 244 | -57 | -70 | -51 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 235 | -58 | -64 | -44 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 231 | -80 | -53 | -33 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 200 | -80 | -47 | -33 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 179 | -72 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 191 | -66 | N/A | -2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 200 | -39 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 211 | -34 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 255 | -15 | N/A | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 267 | -2 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 289 | 12 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 322 | 35 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 351 | 56 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 382 | 74 | N/A | 84 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 387 | 82 | N/A | 86 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 369 | 81 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 307 | 52 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 261 | 31 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 229 | 20 | N/A | 31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 216 | 5 | N/A | 18 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 210 | 10 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 190 | 11 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 173 | 9 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: AAOI wird in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich rentabel werden, was als schnelleres Wachstum als die Sparquote angesehen wird (3.7%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: AAOI wird in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich rentabel werden, was als überdurchschnittliches Marktwachstum angesehen wird.
Hohe Wachstumserträge: AAOI wird voraussichtlich in den nächsten 3 Jahren rentabel werden.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: AAOIDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (67.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt US (13.6% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: AAOIDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (67.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: Unzureichende Daten, um festzustellen, ob die Eigenkapitalrendite von AAOI in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein wird
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/09/21 12:58 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/09/18 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/06/30 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das , das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. wird von 14 Analysten beobachtet. 5 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Ku Kang | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Richard Shannon | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |