Goosehead Insurance Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 5/6
Goosehead Insurance wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 21.7% bzw. 15% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 27.7% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 1978.1% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
21.7%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
27.66%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Insurance Gewinnwachstum | 2.0% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 15.0% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 1,978.11% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 19 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrativ-Update • May 01
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns As AI Fears Ease
Analysts have increased the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by $1 to $67.58, reflecting a balance of lower projected revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a reduced future P/E assumption in light of recent price target resets and ongoing debate around AI related risks and growth headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Goosehead Insurance reflects a mix of optimism on long term growth potential and caution around execution risks, valuation, and the impact of AI related disruption on the insurance distribution model.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Goosehead Insurance: Secular Pressures Merit Caution
Summary Goosehead Insurance delivered strong Q1 results, with revenue up 23% and adjusted EBITDA up 57%, yet faces secular headwinds. AI-driven disintermediation and persistently weak customer retention (85%) pose significant long-term risks to GSHD’s agency model. NPS deterioration from 87 to 72 and slow retention improvement highlight potential service and satisfaction issues amid ongoing automation. I recommend a 'sell' rating on GSHD, citing secular pressures, AI risk, and an unattractive 23x earnings multiple despite recent operational gains. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrativ-Update • Apr 15
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Returns Despite AI Concerns
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Goosehead Insurance, with the fair value estimate moving from about $73.00 to roughly $66.58. They are factoring in lower price targets across the Street and a reduced future P/E assumption tied to concerns about growth headwinds and potential AI-related risks.Narrativ-Update • Apr 01
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Offset AI Disruption Concerns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $3.70 to $73.00 as they factor in softer projected growth, slightly lower margins and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. They still see AI related disruption risks as more limited than some headlines suggest.Narrativ-Update • Mar 17
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have lowered the fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance by about $14.82 to $76.73 as they factor in revised price targets, modestly higher discount rates, slightly softer margin expectations, and updated views on growth resilience and AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mixed but engaged analyst view on Goosehead Insurance, with several firms trimming price targets while maintaining generally constructive ratings.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 03
GSHD: Organic Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by about $21 to $118.94. This reflects refreshed assumptions around growth, profitability, and valuation multiples following recent research updates that highlight both AI-related competitive questions and ongoing expectations for solid organic expansion.Narrativ-Update • Feb 17
GSHD: Refined Assumptions And Franchise Expansion Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Even with the $14 reduction to the price target, bullish analysts see the revised figure as consistent with a constructive view on Goosehead Insurance, with the change described more as a recalibration of assumptions than a shift in overall stance.Analyseartikel • Feb 11
The Price Is Right For Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (NASDAQ:GSHD) Even After Diving 33%
The Goosehead Insurance, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Narrativ-Update • Feb 03
GSHD: Reset Expectations And Consistent Execution Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have lowered their price target on Goosehead Insurance by $14, reflecting updated views on the company’s growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are treating the lower price target as a reset rather than a loss of confidence, with recent commentary focusing on how updated growth and margin assumptions feed into new P/E expectations.Narrativ-Update • Jan 20
GSHD: Higher Investment Spend And Buybacks Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to $140 from $150, citing lower price targets, trimmed long term growth and margin expectations, and higher assumed discount rates following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Goosehead Insurance highlights a more cautious stance on near term earnings and investment spending, but there are still several points that more optimistic voices are watching closely.Narrativ-Update • Jan 05
GSHD: Increased Investment Spending Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Goosehead Insurance, trimming expectations by roughly $10 to $15 per share as they factor in higher investment spending, softer renewal commission retention, and near term margin pressure, while maintaining unchanged long term growth and profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more balanced stance on Goosehead Insurance, with modestly lower price targets but generally constructive long term views on growth and execution.Narrativ-Update • Dec 21
GSHD: Incremental Investment Spending Will Set Up Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance to approximately $91.55 from about $90.82. This reflects expectations for slightly faster top line growth, offset by near term margin pressure and elevated investment spending that has led to a series of reduced but still generally constructive price targets across the Street.Narrativ-Update • Dec 07
GSHD: Increased Investment And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Earnings Power
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Goosehead Insurance, as slightly lower projected revenue growth and margins, along with increased investment spending and softer renewal commission retention, have led to a trimmed fair value estimate from about $93.70 to roughly $90.82 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance on Goosehead Insurance, with valuation adjustments driven more by updated assumptions on growth, retention, and spending than by a fundamental change in the long term narrative.Narrativ-Update • Nov 22
GSHD: New Investment Spend Will Support Long-Term Earnings Stability
Analysts have lowered price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing incremental expenses from new investments and softer commission retention. Recent target cuts have ranged from a reduction of $10 to $23 per share.Narrativ-Update • Nov 06
GSHD: Market Share Expansion Will Support Resilient Performance Amid Sector Headwinds
Goosehead Insurance's fair value estimate has been revised downward to $93.70 from $98.10. Analysts cite lower renewal commission retention, increased investment-related expenses, and reduced revenue growth and profit margin projections following recent price target cuts.Narrativ-Update • Oct 22
Analysts Offer Mixed Outlook on Goosehead Insurance Amid Modest Growth and Valuation Adjustments
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets for Goosehead Insurance, citing slightly softer expectations for growth and profitability. Targets have dropped by as much as $10 to $150 and $5 to $85, reflecting concerns about slower sales growth and a more competitive pricing environment in the sector.Narrativ-Update • Oct 08
AI And Digital Platforms Will Fuel Insurance Excellence
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Goosehead Insurance from $109.70 to $101.30. They cite softer forecasts for new sales growth and commission retention expectations, despite improvements in profit margin and future earnings projections.Analyseartikel • Jul 08
Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) Price In Tune With Revenues
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Insurance industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
Goosehead Insurance: Balancing Franchise Reacceleration, Mixed Industry Outlook
Summary Goosehead Insurance's franchise health. The franchise size is nearing stabilization and reacceleration, and productivity has rapidly increased. The outlook for personal line insurers remains uncertain. Auto insurance profitability is expected to remain subdued for 2025, and home sales have remained pressured. I estimate GSHD to have a fair value of roughly $86.5. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Feb 02
Here's Why Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Analyseartikel • Nov 12
Revenues Tell The Story For Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) As Its Stock Soars 31%
Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month...Analyseartikel • Oct 24
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Passed With Ease
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Neues Narrativ • Sep 24
Leveraging Technology And Expansion To Surge In The Personal Insurance Market
Goosehead Insurance's focus on technology-enhanced productivity and strategic workforce expansion signals strong potential for accelerated revenue growth.Analyseartikel • Jul 26
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Goosehead Insurance, Inc's (NASDAQ:GSHD) 53% Share Price Surge
The Goosehead Insurance, Inc ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...Analyseartikel • Jul 24
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Goosehead Insurance (NASDAQ:GSHD) Presents An Opportunity
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analyseartikel • Apr 28
Getting In Cheap On Goosehead Insurance, Inc (NASDAQ:GSHD) Might Be Difficult
Goosehead Insurance, Inc's ( NASDAQ:GSHD ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x may look like a poor investment...Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 594 | 53 | 86 | 134 | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 491 | 48 | 80 | 121 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 420 | 37 | 62 | 100 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 382 | 30 | 71 | 99 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 365 | 28 | 68 | 92 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 353 | 30 | 63 | 81 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 341 | 30 | 70 | 85 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 325 | 31 | 62 | 75 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 314 | 30 | 59 | 72 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 283 | 19 | 59 | 73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 275 | 19 | 52 | 66 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 266 | 16 | 44 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 260 | 14 | 32 | 51 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 254 | 11 | 30 | 40 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 241 | 6 | 25 | 42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 225 | 3 | 27 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 208 | 1 | 23 | 36 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 191 | 0 | 20 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 175 | 2 | 13 | 26 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 160 | 4 | 7 | 22 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 150 | 5 | 20 | 35 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 145 | 8 | 21 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 135 | 7 | 23 | 38 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 127 | 9 | 23 | 34 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 116 | 9 | 14 | 25 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 95 | 6 | 14 | 20 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 85 | 3 | 11 | 17 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 74 | 1 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 77 | 4 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 78 | 4 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 73 | 4 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 68 | -6 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 60 | -9 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 56 | -9 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 51 | -9 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 47 | N/A | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 42 | N/A | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 31 | 5 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: GSHDDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (21.7% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: GSHDDie Erträge des Unternehmens (21.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt US (16.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: GSHDEs wird erwartet, dass die Erträge des Unternehmens in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: GSHDDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (15% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt US (11.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: GSHDDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (15% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: GSHDDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich sehr hoch sein (1978.1%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/21 14:27 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. wird von 15 Analysten beobachtet. 11 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Michael Zaremski | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Joshua Shanker | BofA Global Research |
| Ryan Tunis | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |