Rio Tinto Group

LSE:RIO Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: UK£134.0b

Rio Tinto Group Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6

Rio Tinto Group wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 6.9% bzw. 2.9% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 4.7% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 18.2% betragen.

Wichtige Informationen

6.9%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

4.72%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Metals and Mining Gewinnwachstum17.0%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen2.9%
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite18.23%
Analystenabdeckung

Good

Zuletzt aktualisiert22 May 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Recent updates

Narrativ-Update • May 14

RIO: Copper Outlook And Asset Sales Will Shape Fairly Valued Shares

Analysts have raised the average price target for Rio Tinto Group by about £3 to reflect updated assumptions for fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, based on recent research that includes several price target increases and a few reductions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture for Rio Tinto Group, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets in both US$ and GBp, while a handful of large banks have turned more cautious on valuation and commodity risk.
Narrativ-Update • Apr 29

RIO: Cautious Tone Will Persist As Copper And Iron Ore Risks Intensify

Rio Tinto Group’s updated analyst price target reflects a modest uplift of about £0.25 per share, with analysts pointing to refreshed commodity assumptions, slightly higher revenue growth expectations, and updated P/E multiples, partly offset by more conservative margin and discount rate inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a split view on Rio Tinto Group, with some firms lifting price targets while several bearish analysts have taken a more cautious stance on valuation, commodity exposure, and near term execution risks.
Narrativ-Update • Apr 14

RIO: Cautious Tone Will Tighten As Copper And Iron Ore Risks Deepen

Analysts have slightly lowered the fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to £57.66 from £58.52, reflecting updated price targets that balance higher revenue and margin assumptions with a modestly higher discount rate and P/E expectations highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rio Tinto Group reflects a mix of upgraded and downgraded views, with some firms lifting price targets while others trim expectations or move to more neutral stances.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 31

RIO: Cautious Outlook As Copper And Iron Ore Assumptions Turn More Conservative

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to £58.52 from £41.00. This change reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and sector valuation following a series of mixed price target revisions and rating downgrades across the Street.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 17

RIO: Ended Glencore Talks Will Refocus On Copper And Asset Sales

Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Rio Tinto Group by roughly £400 to around £7,200, reflecting updated views on commodity risk, iron ore seasonality and valuation after recent share gains. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mixed but generally cautious stance on Rio Tinto, with several firms trimming price targets and shifting ratings toward more neutral positions after a strong share price run.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 03

RIO: Post Glencore Talks And Copper Outlook Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group to the equivalent of about £69.66 per share, from £63.89. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, margins and future P/E, even as recent Street research shows a mix of reduced and raised price targets in the £5,900 to £8,300 range and a shift toward more Neutral and Equal Weight ratings.
Neues Narrativ • Feb 23

Rio Tinto (RIO): Cash Machine with a China Beta Problem — and a Copper Glow-Up

If I had to summarise Rio Tinto in one line, I would describe it as a world-class iron ore franchise that is now being forced to adapt to a changing China and a changing commodity landscape. For years, Rio’s investment case has been built on the strength of its Pilbara iron ore operations.
Narrativ-Update • Feb 16

RIO: Ended Glencore Talks And Planned Asset Sales Will Support Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Rio Tinto Group higher to about £84 from roughly £83, citing Street research that includes several recent price target increases and mixed rating changes. These changes balance a slightly higher assumed revenue growth rate with a modestly lower profit margin and a marginally higher future P/E and discount rate.
Narrativ-Update • Feb 02

RIO: Potential Glencore Deal And Asset Sales Will Drive Future Upside

The latest Narrative Update on Rio Tinto Group reflects a higher implied fair value of about $83.33 per share, up from roughly $74.17, as analysts adjust their price targets to account for tweaked discount rates, slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rio Tinto Group has been mixed, but there are several clear positives that bullish analysts are highlighting when they adjust their models and targets.
Narrativ-Update • Jan 19

RIO: Megamerger Talks And Critical Mineral Moves Will Shape Medium Term Outlook

Rio Tinto's updated analyst price targets, including recent moves to about £57.00, reflect analysts' use of higher fair value estimates, slightly adjusted discount rates, and refreshed assumptions around revenue, profit margins, and P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets toward about £57.00, which signals more confidence in the underlying fair value they assign to Rio Tinto based on their updated models.
Narrativ-Update • Jan 05

RIO: Higher Commodity Exposure And Asset Sales Will Drive Future Upside

Analyst price targets for Rio Tinto Group have shifted higher overall, with recent moves such as Citi lifting its target to £57.00 from £46.00 and other banks adjusting into the £52.00 to £61.70 range, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive tone around Rio Tinto Group, with several bullish analysts adjusting their price targets into a higher £52.00 to £61.70 band.
Narrativ-Update • Dec 17

RIO: Stronger Commodity Pricing And Cost Discipline Will Drive Upside Potential

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been revised higher, with fair value estimates rising from approximately 65.08 to 74.18 as analysts factor in stronger expected revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a more favorable, though slightly higher risk-adjusted, earnings multiple implied by the latest round of target hikes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a constructive tone on Rio Tinto, with a series of price target increases signaling growing confidence in the company’s earnings power and balance of risk and reward.
Narrativ-Update • Dec 03

RIO: Critical Mineral Moves And Board Decisions Will Shape Medium Term Outlook

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has edged higher to approximately $57.09 from about $56.84, as analysts broadly lift their expectations on the shares amid a series of upward revisions to U.K. price targets, despite slightly softer long term growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions indicate that bullish analysts see further upside for Rio Tinto shares, with multiple upward adjustments across the U.K. coverage universe.
Narrativ-Update • Nov 19

RIO: Upcoming Board Decisions And Mineral Trade Shifts Will Shape Outlook

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been increased from £56.23 to £56.84, as analysts point to improved revenue growth estimates. Recent upward revisions from major firms also support a slightly stronger outlook for the stock.
Narrativ-Update • Nov 03

RIO: Steady Copper And Iron Ore Outlook Will Offset Operational And Governance Risks

Rio Tinto Group’s analyst price target has been adjusted upward from £54.85 to £56.23. This reflects analysts’ expectations for steady fundamentals in light of recent incremental changes in revenue growth and profit margin forecasts.
Narrativ-Update • Oct 20

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has risen to £54.85 from £53.30. This reflects analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth and profit margins, despite ongoing adjustments to market risk assessments.
Narrativ-Update • Oct 05

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Rio Tinto Group's analyst price target has been modestly increased to £53.30 from £52.27, reflecting analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth and profitability, even as caution remains around iron ore market risks. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight a mix of confidence and caution surrounding Rio Tinto Group's outlook.
Narrativ-Update • Sep 20

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Analyst price targets for Rio Tinto Group have increased modestly to £52.27 as bullish analysts cited strong operational performance despite iron ore demand concerns and sector headwinds, though target upgrades remain incremental. Analyst Commentary Rising downside risks to iron ore prices, particularly in the near term, have led to more cautious outlooks and downgrades by bearish analysts.
Narrativ-Update • Sep 04

Energy Transition Will Accelerate Copper And Lithium Expansion Despite Headwinds

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Rio Tinto Group to £51.49, reflecting increased caution due to downside risks in iron ore prices and muted Chinese stimulus, with earnings estimates trimmed and consensus now factoring a more conservative commodity outlook. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts flag downside risks to iron ore prices, particularly in the months ahead, impacting Rio Tinto’s earnings outlook.
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Neues Narrativ • Feb 23

Energy Transition Demand Will Aid Copper And Aluminum Prospects Despite Iron Ore Headwinds

Strategic diversification into copper, aluminum, and lithium aligns with global energy trends, potentially boosting future revenue and aligning with decarbonization efforts.

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

LSE:RIO - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (USD Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
12/31/202866,48114,22213,82322,54517
12/31/202764,66814,16211,41621,23118
12/31/202663,21413,8719,95919,58218
12/31/202557,6389,9664,49716,832N/A
9/30/202555,68410,1194,81416,150N/A
6/30/202553,72910,2725,13015,467N/A
3/31/202553,69410,9125,55415,533N/A
12/31/202453,65811,5525,97815,599N/A
9/30/202453,91711,1516,55815,420N/A
6/30/202454,17610,7497,13815,241N/A
3/31/202454,10910,4047,60615,201N/A
12/31/202354,04110,0588,07415,160N/A
9/30/202353,2449,3127,05213,898N/A
6/30/202352,4468,5666,03012,635N/A
3/31/202354,00010,4797,70714,385N/A
12/31/202255,55412,3929,38416,134N/A
9/30/202257,87115,07912,17419,146N/A
6/30/202260,18717,72414,96422,158N/A
3/31/202261,84119,40916,46323,752N/A
12/31/202163,49521,11517,96125,345N/A
9/30/202160,91419,93017,51924,627N/A
6/30/202158,33218,76617,07623,908N/A
3/31/202151,47214,26813,38119,892N/A
12/31/202044,6119,7699,68615,875N/A
9/30/202043,2088,4839,02415,013N/A
6/30/202041,8057,1968,36114,151N/A
3/31/202042,4857,6038,89314,532N/A
12/31/201943,1658,0109,42414,912N/A
9/30/201942,24810,699N/A13,947N/A
6/30/201941,33013,388N/A12,982N/A
3/31/201940,92613,513N/A12,402N/A
12/31/201840,52213,638N/A11,821N/A
9/30/201840,57411,738N/A12,314N/A
6/30/201840,6259,837N/A12,806N/A
3/31/201840,3289,300N/A13,345N/A
12/31/201740,0308,762N/A13,884N/A
9/30/201738,8157,486N/A12,708N/A
6/30/201737,6006,209N/A11,531N/A
3/31/201735,6915,413N/A9,998N/A
12/31/201633,7814,617N/A8,465N/A
9/30/201633,0652,329N/A8,327N/A
6/30/201632,34941N/A8,188N/A
3/31/201633,589-412N/A8,786N/A
12/31/201534,829-866N/A9,383N/A
9/30/201538,0681,033N/A11,324N/A
6/30/201541,3072,931N/A13,265N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: RIODas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (6.9% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.4%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: RIODie Erträge des Unternehmens (6.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt UK (11.4% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumserträge: RIODie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: RIODie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt UK (4.5% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: RIODie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.

Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: RIODie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (18.2%).

Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

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Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/05/22 18:41
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/05/22 00:00
Gewinne2025/12/31
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/12/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

Rio Tinto Group wird von 52 Analysten beobachtet. 18 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Amos FletcherBarclays
Peter WardBarclays