GFL Environmental Valuation

Is GFL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Unter dem Marktwert

  • Deutlich unter dem Marktwert

  • Price-To-Sales gegen Gleichaltrige

  • Price-To-Sales gegen Industrie

  • PM vs. Fair Ratio

  • Analysten-Prognose

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GFL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Unter dem Marktwert: GFL (CA$40.95) wird unter unserer Schätzung des Fair Value (CA$56.65) gehandelt.

Deutlich unter dem Marktwert: GFL wird um mehr als 20 % unter dem Marktwert gehandelt.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GFL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GFL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.6x
PEG Ratio6.7x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GFL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GFL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.3x
EFN Element Fleet Management
4.3x-10.1%CA$8.5b
BYD Boyd Group Services
1.5x11.0%CA$6.2b
GIP Green Impact Partners
0.3x4.1%CA$57.9m
BQE BQE Water
3.1x8.6%CA$51.5m
GFL GFL Environmental
2.3x6.5%CA$17.0b

Price-To-Sales gegen Gleichaltrige: GFL ist ein guter Wert, wenn man sein Price-To-Sales Verhältnis (2.3x) mit dem Durchschnitt der anderen Unternehmen (2.3x) vergleicht.


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GFL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a37.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a37.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales gegen Industrie: GFL ist teuer, wenn man sein Price-To-Sales Verhältnis (2x) mit dem Canadian Commercial Services Branchendurchschnitt (0.9x) vergleicht.


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GFL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GFL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio2.7x

PM vs. Fair Ratio: GFL ist ein guter Wert auf der Grundlage des Verhältnisses Price-To-Sales (2.4x) im Vergleich zum geschätzten fairen Verhältnis Price-To-Sales (2.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GFL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$45.52
CA$51.86
+13.9%
15.6%CA$63.00CA$39.50n/a11
Mar ’25CA$48.16
CA$50.38
+4.6%
18.3%CA$63.00CA$34.00n/a12
Feb ’25CA$46.89
CA$48.88
+4.2%
18.3%CA$60.00CA$30.00n/a12
Jan ’25CA$45.71
CA$48.54
+6.2%
18.3%CA$60.00CA$30.00n/a12
Dec ’24CA$39.92
CA$48.38
+21.2%
18.1%CA$60.00CA$30.00n/a12
Nov ’24CA$40.08
CA$51.23
+27.8%
14.6%CA$60.00CA$36.00n/a11
Oct ’24CA$43.13
CA$54.06
+25.3%
10.7%CA$60.00CA$39.50n/a9
Sep ’24CA$44.15
CA$54.06
+22.4%
10.7%CA$60.00CA$39.50n/a9
Aug ’24CA$45.35
CA$54.17
+19.4%
10.8%CA$60.00CA$39.50n/a9
Jul ’24CA$51.44
CA$54.50
+5.9%
13.1%CA$62.00CA$36.50n/a9
Jun ’24CA$49.63
CA$53.94
+8.7%
13.8%CA$62.00CA$36.50n/a8
May ’24CA$49.63
CA$53.19
+7.2%
13.7%CA$62.00CA$36.50n/a8
Apr ’24CA$46.60
CA$48.56
+4.2%
15.2%CA$58.00CA$31.50CA$46.878
Mar ’24CA$41.71
CA$48.56
+16.4%
15.2%CA$58.00CA$31.50CA$48.168
Feb ’24CA$41.42
CA$46.94
+13.3%
14.8%CA$54.00CA$31.50CA$46.898
Jan ’24CA$39.54
CA$47.19
+19.3%
14.9%CA$54.00CA$31.50CA$45.718
Dec ’23CA$39.63
CA$46.69
+17.8%
14.9%CA$54.00CA$31.50CA$39.928
Nov ’23CA$36.11
CA$46.63
+29.1%
13.1%CA$54.00CA$34.00CA$40.088
Oct ’23CA$34.91
CA$49.00
+40.4%
14.8%CA$58.00CA$34.00CA$43.138
Sep ’23CA$38.46
CA$49.00
+27.4%
14.8%CA$58.00CA$34.00CA$44.158
Aug ’23CA$35.44
CA$49.00
+38.3%
14.8%CA$58.00CA$34.00CA$45.358
Jul ’23CA$33.16
CA$50.50
+52.3%
15.4%CA$58.00CA$34.00CA$51.448
Jun ’23CA$38.99
CA$50.50
+29.5%
15.4%CA$58.00CA$34.00CA$49.638
May ’23CA$38.70
CA$50.63
+30.8%
15.7%CA$58.00CA$34.00CA$49.638
Apr ’23CA$40.35
CA$50.75
+25.8%
15.9%CA$58.00CA$34.00CA$46.608

Analysten-Prognose: Das Kursziel liegt weniger als 20% über dem aktuellen Aktienkurs.


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