Orica Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 3/6
Orica wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 27.6% bzw. 2.4% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 24.2% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 17.5% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
27.6%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
24.24%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Chemicals Gewinnwachstum | 27.8% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 2.4% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 17.48% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 20 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrativ-Update • May 02
ORI: Refined Forecast Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Outlook
Analysts have made a marginal adjustment to Orica's price target, with fair value moving slightly from A$25.44 to A$25.42, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from A$25.44 to A$25.42, a very small downward adjustment in the modelled fair value.Narrativ-Update • Apr 17
ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly lower to A$25.44 from A$25.64. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.Narrativ-Update • Apr 03
ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Orica slightly to A$25.64 from A$25.75. This reflects small adjustments to assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple.Narrativ-Update • Mar 19
ORI: Slightly Higher Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Orica from A$26.50 to A$25.75 as small adjustments to key inputs, including discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, filter through their valuation models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.50 to A$25.75, a small downward adjustment to the modelled valuation.Narrativ-Update • Mar 04
ORI: Slightly Lower Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orica slightly lower to A$26.50 from A$26.58, reflecting modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions while keeping the future P/E view broadly stable. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to A$26.50 from A$26.58.Narrativ-Update • Feb 18
ORI: Slightly Higher Return Assumptions Will Support A Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts now set their price target for Orica at about A$26.58, up slightly from around A$26.44, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.44 to A$26.58, a slight upward adjustment in the modelled estimate.Analyseartikel • Feb 16
Is Orica (ASX:ORI) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Narrativ-Update • Feb 04
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Stable Assumptions Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to A$26.44 from A$26.10, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback authorization by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million on November 13, 2025, expanding the size of its existing program (Key Developments).Analyseartikel • Jan 26
Why We're Not Concerned About Orica Limited's (ASX:ORI) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 74.3x Orica Limited ( ASX:ORI ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...Narrativ-Update • Jan 20
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts now keep their fair value estimate for Orica steady at A$26.10, with only marginal adjustments to model inputs such as the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions resulting in an unchanged price target. What's in the News On November 13, 2025, Orica increased its equity buyback authority by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million, signaling continued use of capital for share repurchases (Key Developments).Narrativ-Update • Jan 06
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have reaffirmed their price target on Orica at A$26.10, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, long run revenue growth, profit margin and assumed future P/E. This keeps their valuation view broadly unchanged.Narrativ-Update • Dec 22
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Higher Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have raised their price target on Orica to approximately A$26.10 from A$23.68, reflecting slightly lower perceived risk, stronger expected revenue growth, and a higher future earnings multiple that more than offset a modest downward revision to profit margins. What's in the News Expanded equity buyback authorization by AUD 100 million, lifting the total program to AUD 500 million as of November 13, 2025 (company announcement) Declared an increased ordinary dividend of AUD 0.32 per share for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with ex date November 21, record date November 24, and payment date December 22, 2025 (company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen moderately to approximately A$26.10 from about A$23.68.Narrativ-Update • Dec 08
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to reflect a modest improvement in the company’s risk profile and earnings sustainability, with the updated valuation now implying a fair value of approximately $23.68 per share. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback plan by AUD 100 million on November 13, 2025, lifting the total authorization to AUD 500 million (company announcement).Narrativ-Update • Nov 24
ORI: Buyback Expansion And Dividend Actions Will Shape Balanced Market Sentiment
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Orica upward from $23.38 to $23.68. This change reflects updated forecasts and supportive changes in core financial metrics.Analyseartikel • Nov 17
Orica (ASX:ORI) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Orica Limited ( ASX:ORI ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on...Narrativ-Update • Nov 07
ORI: Revenue Forecasts Will Drive Modest Shifts In Future Market Expectations
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica, increasing the estimated fair value from $22.95 to $23.38. This change reflects slightly improved revenue growth forecasts and updated discount rates.Analyseartikel • Nov 03
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orica is AU$24.40 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Orica's AU$22.14...Narrativ-Update • Oct 24
Sustained Earnings Expected From Recent Acquisitions And Technology Improvements
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica from $22.56 to $22.95. They cite a slight improvement in projected revenue growth, while discount rates remain stable and profit margin expectations have been adjusted only slightly.Narrativ-Update • Sep 23
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Orica's fair value has been revised marginally higher as analysts factor in slightly improved revenue growth expectations, with the consensus price target moving from A$22.17 to A$22.56. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from A$22.17 to A$22.56.Narrativ-Update • Sep 08
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Despite lower consensus revenue growth forecasts, a higher future P/E multiple has supported a moderate increase in Orica’s analyst price target to A$22.17. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from A$21.56 to A$22.17.Analyseartikel • Aug 08
Does Orica (ASX:ORI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
ASX:ORI 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Orica's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Some say...Analyseartikel • Jul 08
An Intrinsic Calculation For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI) Suggests It's 41% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orica is AU$33.84 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Orica's AU$19.82...Analyseartikel • Jun 20
The Price Is Right For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
It's not a stretch to say that Orica Limited's ( ASX:ORI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems...
Neues Narrativ • Dec 06
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Strategic acquisitions and focus on advanced technology are expected to drive revenue growth and enhance earnings through integration and cross-selling opportunities.Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 8,651 | 706 | 902 | 1,234 | 14 |
| 9/30/2027 | 8,414 | 646 | 751 | 1,109 | 14 |
| 9/30/2026 | 8,124 | 269 | 303 | 642 | 14 |
| 3/31/2026 | 8,116 | 251 | 465 | 935 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 8,149 | 207 | 500 | 942 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 8,183 | 162 | 535 | 949 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 8,104 | 130 | 495 | 906 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,999 | 98 | 456 | 862 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,845 | 311 | 403 | 835 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,691 | 525 | 351 | 808 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,647 | 518 | 468 | 948 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,604 | 511 | 585 | 1,088 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,775 | 403 | 522 | 993 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,945 | 296 | 460 | 899 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,997 | 282 | 314 | 710 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 8,049 | 267 | 169 | 521 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 7,573 | 206 | 91 | 441 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 7,096 | 145 | 13 | 362 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,870 | -262 | -19 | 323 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,556 | -225 | 138 | 471 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,242 | -188 | 296 | 619 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,690 | -21 | -70 | 176 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,926 | 25 | -158 | 161 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,161 | 71 | -247 | 145 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 5,789 | 273 | -44 | 474 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,948 | 377 | 158 | 671 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,922 | 311 | N/A | 708 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,896 | 245 | N/A | 746 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,794 | 230 | N/A | 758 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,691 | 214 | N/A | 770 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 5,547 | 83 | N/A | 692 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 5,402 | -48 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 5,282 | -43 | N/A | 478 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 5,162 | -38 | N/A | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,116 | 174 | N/A | 403 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,070 | 386 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,035 | 388 | N/A | 633 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,999 | 389 | N/A | 800 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,055 | 366 | N/A | 789 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,111 | 343 | N/A | 778 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,431 | -1,336 | N/A | 593 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,552 | -1,306 | N/A | 666 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,673 | -1,275 | N/A | 739 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: ORIDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (27.6% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.6%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: ORIDie Erträge des Unternehmens (27.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt Australian (11.9% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: ORIEs wird erwartet, dass die Erträge des Unternehmens in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: ORIDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.4% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt Australian (6.1% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: ORIDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.4% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: ORIDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (17.5%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/22 12:04 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/09/30 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Orica Limited wird von 33 Analysten beobachtet. 14 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Brook Campbell-Crawford | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Joseph House | Bell Potter |