Österreichische Post Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Österreichische Post wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 8.3% bzw. 3.4% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 8.3% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 18.3% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
8.3%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
8.35%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Logistics Gewinnwachstum | 17.0% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 3.4% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 18.25% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Low |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 13 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrativ-Update • Jun 01
POST: Higher Discount Rates And Sector Caution Will Shape Near Term Performance
The analyst price target for Österreichische Post has been trimmed slightly to €32.03 from €32.28, as analysts factor in updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around postal and logistics stocks has included one explicit downgrade for Österreichische Post alongside several price target cuts for peers, pointing to a more cautious tone on the sector.
Narrativ-Update • May 14
POST: Lower Future P E Expectations Will Constrain Share Price Upside
Analysts have reduced their price targets on Österreichische Post by several euros, citing a lower assumed discount rate, adjusted P/E expectations, and slightly revised revenue growth and profit margin inputs in their valuation work. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Österreichische Post has highlighted a clear tilt toward caution, with several bearish analysts pointing to valuation risks and uncertainties around execution and growth.Narrativ-Update • Apr 29
POST: Higher Risk Premium And Muted Revenue Outlook Will Restrain Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Österreichische Post to €26.10, reflecting updated expectations for more muted revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, and a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on postal and delivery names has included one bearish move specifically targeting Österreichische Post, alongside a series of price target reductions on a different listed company, Post Holdings.Narrativ-Update • Apr 14
POST: Higher P E Expectations And Execution Risks Will Shape Near Term Performance
The updated analyst price target for Österreichische Post has shifted from €29.20 to about €32.28, reflecting analysts' use of a higher projected P/E ratio and adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Street research on Österreichische Post is more cautious at the moment, with at least one firm assigning a more negative stance to the shares.Narrativ-Update • Mar 31
POST: Lower Future P/E Assumptions Will Limit Upside For Shares
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Österreichische Post to €26.10 from €25.60. They cited updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 17
POST: Stable Cash Flows And Discount Rate Assumptions Will Support Fair Value
Analysts have kept their €36.00 price target for Österreichische Post unchanged, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that still support this fair value level. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on related postal and logistics names highlights how bullish analysts are prepared to adjust price targets when they see better risk reward based on updated assumptions.Narrativ-Update • Mar 03
POST: Stable Earnings Framework And Cash Flows Will Support Fair Value
Analysts have kept their €36.0 price target for Österreichische Post broadly steady, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, modest revenue growth and profit margins, and a largely unchanged future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around the broader postal and logistics peer group points to a generally constructive stance on companies with resilient cash generation and clear earnings frameworks.Narrativ-Update • Feb 17
POST: Higher Required Returns And Softer Margins Will Restrain Future Share Performance
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Österreichische Post to €25.60. This reflects updated views on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.Narrativ-Update • Feb 03
POST: Stable Guidance And M&A Optionality Will Shape Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Österreichische Post from €31.00 to €36.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. These changes echo broader Street thinking, where stabilizing trends and M&A potential in related names help frame upside scenarios.Narrativ-Update • Jan 20
POST: Stable Revenue Outlook And Earnings Guidance Will Shape Fair Value
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Österreichische Post to €31.00 from €33.70. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E assumptions, in line with recent Street moves where targets were adjusted while still citing company specific strengths and risks.Analyseartikel • Jan 06
Here's Why Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Narrativ-Update • Jan 06
POST: Soft Consumption Trends Will Constrain Parcel Earnings Momentum And Pressure Shares
Narrative Update: Österreichische Post Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Österreichische Post steady at €25.60, with only marginal tweaks to underlying assumptions such as revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. This reflects a view that recent sector research on pricing power and earnings resilience in related consumer and logistics names still supports a similar valuation range.Narrativ-Update • Dec 14
POST: Slowing Parcel Demand Will Cap Earnings Momentum And Pressure Shares
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Österreichische Post higher, from €25.00 to €25.60. This reflects slightly stronger expected revenue growth and profit margins, despite a modestly higher discount rate and only a small uplift in projected future valuation multiples.Narrativ-Update • Nov 28
POST: Revenue Stability And Consumption Trends Will Guide Near-Term Performance
Analysts have reduced their price target for Österreichische Post from €29.90 to €29.20. They cite slightly lower revenue growth expectations and a modest increase in the discount rate as key factors in the reassessment.Narrativ-Update • Nov 12
POST: Profit Margins And Discount Rate Will Shape Outlook Amid Economic Pressures
Analysts have reaffirmed their fair value estimate for Österreichische Post at €29.90. They maintain a stable outlook, as improvements in profit margin expectations were balanced by a slightly higher discount rate and steady revenue forecasts.Analyseartikel • Oct 24
Österreichische Post AG's (VIE:POST) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
There wouldn't be many who think Österreichische Post AG's ( VIE:POST ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.1x is...Narrativ-Update • Oct 24
Stable Fundamentals And Market Shifts Will Drive Future European Delivery Trends
Analysts have maintained their price target for Österreichische Post at €29.90. This reflects stability in the company's fair value assessment, as modest improvements in discount rate projections and revenue growth outlook offset minor changes in market expectations.Analyseartikel • Aug 16
Österreichische Post's (VIE:POST) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
WBAG:POST 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Österreichische Post's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analyseartikel • May 14
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Österreichische Post AG (VIE:POST)
There wouldn't be many who think Österreichische Post AG's ( VIE:POST ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.9x is...
Neues Narrativ • Feb 09
Future Profitability Will Decline Due To Mail Business Downturn And Competitive Pressures
Structural decline in Mail business and increased competition in Parcel & Logistics pose risks to future revenue growth and net margins.Analyseartikel • Dec 20
Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • Nov 13
Österreichische Post's (VIE:POST) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues
The recent earnings posted by Österreichische Post AG ( VIE:POST ) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we...Analyseartikel • Sep 19
Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...Analyseartikel • Aug 10
Österreichische Post AG Beat Revenue Forecasts By 8.6%: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Österreichische Post AG ( VIE:POST ) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. Results were...Analyseartikel • Jul 24
Investor Optimism Abounds Österreichische Post AG (VIE:POST) But Growth Is Lacking
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.8x Österreichische Post AG ( VIE:POST ) may be sending bearish signals...Analyseartikel • May 31
Be Wary Of Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) And Its Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analyseartikel • Apr 23
Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Is Increasing Its Dividend To €1.78
Österreichische Post AG's ( VIE:POST ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to €1.78...Analyseartikel • Apr 04
Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To €1.78
Österreichische Post AG's ( VIE:POST ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to €1.78...Analyseartikel • Mar 21
We Think That There Are Some Issues For Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Beyond Its Promising Earnings
The recent earnings posted by Österreichische Post AG ( VIE:POST ) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we...Analyseartikel • Feb 10
A Look At The Fair Value Of Österreichische Post AG (VIE:POST)
Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, Österreichische Post fair value estimate is €26.13 Current share price...Analyseartikel • Jan 17
Österreichische Post AG's (VIE:POST) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.7x Österreichische Post AG ( VIE:POST ) may be sending very bearish...Analyseartikel • Dec 21
Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Analyseartikel • Aug 20
Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analyseartikel • Jun 20
Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Analyseartikel • May 03
Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Analyseartikel • Mar 09
Are Investors Undervaluing Österreichische Post AG (VIE:POST) By 32%?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Österreichische Post is €50.43 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analyseartikel • Jan 26
Investors Could Be Concerned With Österreichische Post's (VIE:POST) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...Analyseartikel • Dec 01
Are Investors Undervaluing Österreichische Post AG (VIE:POST) By 49%?
In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Österreichische Post AG ( VIE:POST ) by estimating the...Analyseartikel • Nov 01
Is Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • Jul 23
Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analyseartikel • Jul 05
Returns On Capital At Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Paint A Concerning Picture
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,335 | 141 | 203 | 363 | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 3,268 | 135 | 194 | 349 | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,138 | 129 | 191 | 344 | 2 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,063 | 109 | 295 | 436 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,056 | 132 | 218 | 362 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,107 | 133 | -6 | 152 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,115 | 129 | -195 | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,137 | 136 | -125 | 39 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,132 | 138 | -40 | 122 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,015 | 145 | 77 | 240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,967 | 131 | 265 | 429 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,841 | 141 | 287 | 452 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,747 | 133 | 90 | 255 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,679 | 129 | -24 | 139 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,598 | 146 | -270 | -114 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,588 | 126 | -282 | -110 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,525 | 126 | -251 | -80 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,506 | 131 | -248 | -65 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,474 | 129 | 69 | 257 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,479 | 135 | 169 | 349 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,525 | 152 | 317 | 493 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,538 | 155 | 436 | 628 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,483 | 154 | 536 | 708 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,346 | 138 | 596 | 760 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,202 | 118 | 565 | 733 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,081 | 116 | 477 | 616 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,046 | 112 | 370 | 510 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,056 | 132 | 183 | 352 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,046 | 146 | N/A | 327 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,027 | 139 | N/A | 272 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,007 | 147 | N/A | 246 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,983 | 145 | N/A | 192 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,981 | 144 | N/A | 296 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,954 | 164 | N/A | 342 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,944 | 165 | N/A | 320 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,944 | 167 | N/A | 370 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,942 | 165 | N/A | 256 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,927 | 158 | N/A | 231 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,915 | 155 | N/A | 223 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,929 | 155 | N/A | 225 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,033 | 153 | N/A | 224 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,167 | 68 | N/A | 222 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,299 | 68 | N/A | 218 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,396 | 66 | N/A | 217 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,403 | 71 | N/A | 216 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,379 | 151 | N/A | 221 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,368 | 151 | N/A | 244 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: POSTDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (8.3% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (2.3%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: POSTDie Erträge des Unternehmens (8.3% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt Austrian (10.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: POSTDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: POSTDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (3.4% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt Austrian (4.2% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: POSTDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (3.4% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: POSTDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (18.3%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/06/10 18:48 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/06/10 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Österreichische Post AG wird von 16 Analysten beobachtet. 3 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Marco Limite | Barclays |
| William Fitzalan Howard | Berenberg |
| Othmane Bricha | BofA Global Research |