Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Österreichische Post, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = €179m ÷ (€5.4b - €3.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Thus, Österreichische Post has an ROCE of 11%. In isolation, that's a pretty standard return but against the Logistics industry average of 14%, it's not as good.
See our latest analysis for Österreichische Post
In the above chart we have measured Österreichische Post's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for Österreichische Post
- Debt is well covered by earnings.
- Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Annual revenue is forecast to grow faster than the Austrian market.
- Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
- Dividends are not covered by earnings.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Austrian market.
So How Is Österreichische Post's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Österreichische Post's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 11% from 15% five years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a side note, Österreichische Post's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 70% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.
The Bottom Line On Österreichische Post's ROCE
To conclude, we've found that Österreichische Post is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And with the stock having returned a mere 4.0% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Österreichische Post that you might find interesting.
While Österreichische Post may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WBAG:POST
Österreichische Post
Provides postal and parcel services in Austria, Germany, Southeast and Eastern Europe, Türkiye, Azerbaijan, and internationally.
Undervalued with proven track record.