COVER Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
COVER is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.1% and 10.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 25.7% in 3 years.
Key information
26.1%
Earnings growth rate
26.42%
EPS growth rate
| Entertainment earnings growth | 5.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 10.4% |
| Future return on equity | 25.72% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 02 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past COVER's (TSE:5253) Soft Earnings
COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price...
(Reissued due to editing errors in previous update)
(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.Large 1 time write downs clears FY27 and F28 for refocused direction
(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.Significant headwinds will temper expectations for FY2027
12-month forecast for 2026-2027: 1150-1480 Yen a share DCF 5 year Exit forecast: 2280-3640 Yen a share Cover Corporation's annual fiscal report was soul crushing as missteps from management, wasted production time and unfocused effort all led to a significant amount of waste in workloads and investment potential. Cover's "Metaverse" project with HoloEarth is officially dead in the water and will be discontinued after spending over 3 Billion Yen in development/support costs over the past 2 1/2 years.There Are Some Holes In COVER's (TSE:5253) Solid Earnings Release
Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...Here's Why We Think COVER (TSE:5253) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations
Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...Capital Investments At COVER (TSE:5253) Point To A Promising Future
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...What You Can Learn From COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E After Its 25% Share Price Crash
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25...We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings
Following the solid earnings report from COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ), the market responded by bidding up the stock...The Price Is Right For COVER Corporation (TSE:5253) Even After Diving 29%
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 31% Share Price Bounce
Those holding COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the...With EPS Growth And More, COVER (TSE:5253) Makes An Interesting Case
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Why We're Not Concerned Yet About COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) 26% Share Price Plunge
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26...COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 68% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, COVER fair value estimate is JP¥3,193 COVER's JP¥1,905 share...COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.1x COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) may be sending very bearish signals...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 67,190 | 8,718 | 9,500 | 10,709 | 4 |
| 3/31/2028 | 63,781 | 8,053 | 7,797 | 10,130 | 6 |
| 3/31/2027 | 54,348 | 6,440 | 6,000 | 8,128 | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 49,330 | 3,016 | 4,669 | 7,204 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,219 | 5,709 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 48,051 | 5,438 | 2,802 | 5,335 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 46,614 | 5,632 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 43,401 | 5,559 | 2,810 | 5,285 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 39,804 | 5,289 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 34,994 | 4,600 | 2,731 | 4,881 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 31,440 | 4,136 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 30,166 | 4,137 | 1,069 | 4,765 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 26,874 | 3,852 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 20,451 | 2,508 | 2,504 | 4,866 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 13,663 | 1,244 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,724 | 1,220 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 5253's forecast earnings growth (26.1% per year) is above the savings rate (0.8%).
Earnings vs Market: 5253's earnings (26.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the JP market (9.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 5253's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: 5253's revenue (10.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the JP market (6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 5253's revenue (10.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 5253's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (25.7%)
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/13 07:42 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
COVER Corporation is covered by 7 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Kazuki Sakaguchi | Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. |
| Norihiro Miyazaki | Goldman Sachs |
| Yasuyoshi Mimura | Ichiyoshi Research Institute Inc. |