Announcement • May 28
Aozora Bank, Ltd. announces Quarterly dividend, payable on September 02, 2026 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced Quarterly dividend of JPY 23.0000 per share payable on September 02, 2026, ex-date on June 29, 2026 and record date on June 30, 2026. Live News • May 17
Aozora Bank Lifts Dividend to ¥91 and Sets Profit Goals With Focus on Risk Returns Aozora Bank reported stronger-than-expected full-year FY2025 profits and raised its total annual dividend to 91 yen per share, including a fourth-quarter dividend of 25 yen, funded from retained earnings.
The bank highlighted improved return on equity and asset growth as key elements supporting the higher dividend and its updated Aozora 2027 mid-term growth plan.
For FY2026, Aozora is guiding to ordinary profit of ¥37b and profit attributable to owners of ¥27b, while focusing its capital strategy on RORA-based allocation and risk-adjusted returns in changing interest rate conditions.
The combination of a higher dividend and explicit FY2026 profit targets provides clearer visibility into how management is approaching earnings and capital use over the next year.
At the same time, the emphasis on RORA and risk management suggests that investors may want to monitor how shifts in interest rates and credit conditions influence the bank’s ability to achieve these profit targets. Reported Earnings • May 16
Full year 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥186 (up from JP¥154 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥133.8b (up 27% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥25.7b (up 25% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 19% (in line with FY 2025). Net interest margin (NIM): 0.86% (up from 0.84% in FY 2025). Non-performing loans: 1.21% (down from 2.16% in FY 2025). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 11%. Revenue is expected to decline by 4.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Banks industry in Japan are expected to grow by 3.9%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 46% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • May 15
Aozora Bank, Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 23, 2026 Aozora Bank, Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 23, 2026. Announcement • Apr 08
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2026 Results on May 14, 2026 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2026 results on May 14, 2026 Upcoming Dividend • Mar 24
Upcoming dividend of JP¥22.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2026. Payment date: 25 June 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 47% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 3.5%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (2.8%). Declared Dividend • Mar 10
Third quarter dividend of JP¥22.00 announced Dividend of JP¥22.00 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 30th March 2026 Payment date: 25th June 2026 Dividend yield will be 3.4%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.2%. Sustainability & Growth The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 34% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Announcement • Feb 05
Aozora Bank, Ltd. announces Quarterly dividend, payable on June 25, 2026 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced Quarterly dividend of JPY 22.0000 per share payable on June 25, 2026, ex-date on March 30, 2026 and record date on March 31, 2026. Reported Earnings • Feb 05
Third quarter 2026 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Third quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥59.34 (up from JP¥31.15 in 3Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥35.1b (up 25% from 3Q 2025). Net income: JP¥8.21b (up 90% from 3Q 2025). Profit margin: 23% (up from 15% in 3Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 9.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 46%. Revenue is expected to decline by 2.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Banks industry in Japan are expected to grow by 5.4%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 13% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 2% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Declared Dividend • Dec 16
Second quarter dividend of JP¥22.00 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥22.00. Ex-date: 29th December 2025 Payment date: 17th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 3.7%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.2%. Sustainability & Growth The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 41% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Announcement • Dec 13
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Q3, 2026 Results on Feb 04, 2026 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2026 results on Feb 04, 2026 New Risk • Dec 05
New major risk - Revenue size The company makes less than US$1m in revenue. This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small amount of revenue are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Revenue is less than US$1m. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Announcement • Nov 14
Aozora Bank, Ltd. announces Quarterly dividend, payable on March 17, 2026 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced Quarterly dividend of JPY 22.0000 per share payable on March 17, 2026, ex-date on December 29, 2025 and record date on December 31, 2025. Reported Earnings • Nov 14
Second quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥52.66 (up from JP¥31.39 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥28.8b (up 3.8% from 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥7.29b (up 68% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 25% (up from 16% in 2Q 2025). The increase in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 16%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 24%. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 3.8% growth forecast for the Banks industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 25% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 2% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Announcement • Sep 30
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Nov 13, 2025 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results at 3:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on Nov 13, 2025 Upcoming Dividend • Sep 22
Upcoming dividend of JP¥22.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 September 2025. Payment date: 16 December 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 59% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 3.7%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.1%). Declared Dividend • Sep 03
First quarter dividend of JP¥22.00 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥22.00. Ex-date: 29th September 2025 Payment date: 16th December 2025 Dividend yield will be 3.8%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.2%. Sustainability & Growth The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 49% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Reported Earnings • Aug 02
First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations First quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥45.71 (down from JP¥64.81 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥33.5b (up 16% from 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥6.33b (down 16% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 19% (down from 26% in 1Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.9% growth forecast for the Banks industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 57% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 6% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Announcement • Aug 02
Aozora Bank, Ltd. announces Quarterly dividend, payable on December 16, 2025 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced Quarterly dividend of JPY 22.0000 per share payable on December 16, 2025, ex-date on September 29, 2025 and record date on September 30, 2025. Declared Dividend • Jun 26
Fourth quarter dividend of JP¥22.00 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥22.00. Ex-date: 27th June 2025 Payment date: 17th September 2025 Dividend yield will be 3.8%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.2%. Sustainability & Growth The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 41% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Announcement • Jun 25
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Aug 01, 2025 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Aug 01, 2025 Reported Earnings • May 15
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥154 (up from JP¥427 loss in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥110.3b (up 89% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥20.5b (up JP¥70.4b from FY 2024). Profit margin: 19% (up from net loss in FY 2024). The move to profitability was primarily driven by higher revenue. Net interest margin (NIM): 0.84% (up from 0.69% in FY 2024). Non-performing loans: 2.16% (down from 3.21% in FY 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 4.5%. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 2.5% growth forecast for the Banks industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 78 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Announcement • May 14
Aozora Bank, Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2025 Aozora Bank, Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2025. Announcement • Apr 02
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on May 14, 2025 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on May 14, 2025 Reported Earnings • Feb 04
Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥31.15 (up from JP¥229 loss in 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥4.31b (up JP¥31.1b from 3Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 8.3%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 1.9% growth forecast for the Banks industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 103 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Announcement • Feb 03
Aozora Bank, Ltd. Declares Dividend for the Third Quarter of the Fiscal Year 2024, Payable on March 17, 2025 and Provides Dividend Guidance for the Fourth Quarter 2024 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that the bank's board of directors resolved to pay a dividend from retained earnings for the third quarter of the fiscal year 2024 and provided dividend guidance for the fourth quarter of 2024. for the third quarter, The dividend is JPY 19 per common share, 25% of the full-year dividend forecast of JPY 76 per common share. Effective date is March 17, 2025. Record date is December 31, 2024.
for the fourth quarter, the company expects dividend of JPY 19 per share against JPY 19 per share in the previous quarter. With the third quarter dividend payment now finalized and the latest FY2024 full-year dividend forecast of JPY 76 per share remaining unchanged, the forecast for the fourth quarter dividend per common share, previously undecided, has been updated to JPY 19 per share. Announcement • Dec 11
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Feb 03, 2025 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Feb 03, 2025 Reported Earnings • Nov 16
Second quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥31.39 (down from JP¥45.17 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥28.6b (flat on 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥4.35b (down 18% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 15% (down from 18% in 2Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 178%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Banks industry in Japan are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 113 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Announcement • Oct 04
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Nov 15, 2024 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results on Nov 15, 2024 Upcoming Dividend • Sep 20
Upcoming dividend of JP¥19.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 September 2024. Payment date: 16 December 2024. The company is not currently making a profit and is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.5%). Declared Dividend • Aug 04
Dividend of JP¥19.00 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥19.00. Ex-date: 27th September 2024 Payment date: 16th December 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.6%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.2%. Sustainability & Growth The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. Reported Earnings • Aug 03
First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations First quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥64.81 (up from JP¥57.98 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥28.9b (up 1.5% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥7.57b (up 12% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 26% (up from 24% in 1Q 2024). The increase in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 179%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 77%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Banks industry in Japan are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 98 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Announcement • Aug 02
Aozora Bank, Ltd. Announces First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2024 Dividend, Effective September 17, 2024 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that the Bank's Board of Directors resolved to pay a dividend from retained earnings for the first quarter of fiscal year 2024 (record date: June 30, 2024). The quarterly dividend per common share is JPY 19, approximately 25% of the full-year dividend forecast of JPY 76. Effective date is September 17, 2024. Board Change • Jul 26
High number of new and inexperienced directors There are 7 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 7 new directors. 3 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Outside Director Hideyuki Takahashi is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2014. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors. New Risk • Jul 02
New minor risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 18% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (18% increase in shares outstanding). Upcoming Dividend • Jun 20
Upcoming dividend of JP¥19.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 June 2024. Payment date: 17 September 2024. The company is not currently making a profit and is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.4%). In line with average of industry peers (3.2%). Reported Earnings • May 16
Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2024 results: JP¥427 loss per share (down from JP¥74.66 profit in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥67.7b (down 38% from FY 2023). Net loss: JP¥49.9b (down JP¥58.6b from profit in FY 2023). Net interest margin (NIM): 0.69% (down from 0.88% in FY 2023). Non-performing loans: 3.21% (up from 0.99% in FY 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 5.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 77%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.0% growth forecast for the Banks industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 82 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Declared Dividend • May 07
Dividend of JP¥19.00 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥19.00. Ex-date: 27th June 2024 Payment date: 17th September 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.3%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.2%. Announcement • Apr 05
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 13, 2024 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on May 13, 2024 Price Target Changed • Feb 06
Price target decreased by 7.7% to JP¥2,203 Down from JP¥2,387, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,183. Stock is down 17% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥113 for next year compared to JP¥74.66 last year. Reported Earnings • Feb 03
Third quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Third quarter 2024 results: JP¥229 loss per share (down from JP¥2.76 profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥33.4b (up 55% from 3Q 2023). Net loss: JP¥26.8b (down JP¥27.1b from profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 168%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is expected to decline by 2.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Banks industry in Japan are expected to grow by 2.1%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 53% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Major Estimate Revision • Feb 02
Consensus revenue estimates fall by 22% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from JP¥88.7b to JP¥68.8b. EPS estimate fell from JP¥186 to JP¥125 per share. Net income forecast to grow 334% next year vs 8.6% growth forecast for Banks industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥2,350. Share price fell 33% to JP¥2,150 over the past week. Announcement • Feb 01
Aozora Bank, Ltd. Announces CEO Changes, Effective April 1, 2024 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors resolved the personnel changes in Representative Directors as of April 1, 2024. Oomi, Hideto appointed as Representative Director President and CEO from Representative Director Deputy President Executive Officer Head of Institutional Business Promotion Group; Tanikawa, Kei appointed as Director Executive Officer from Representative Director President and CEO. The establishment of a new management structure to lead the Bank's next generation has been enabled due to the successful selection and training of candidates based on the CEO succession plan established by the Nomination and Remuneration Committee. In order to further grow Aozora's Strategic Investments Business on which it is focused, the company intend to restructure its management execution approach through a change to new management. Name: Oomi, Hideto. Date of Birth: July 19, 1965. Education 1989: BA in Business & Commerce, Keio University. Career Summary: April 1989 - The Nippon Credit Bank, Ltd. (name changed to Aozora Bank, Ltd. in January 2001); August 2007 - General Manager of Leveraged Finance Division; December 2009 - General Manager of Acquisition & Project Finance Division; October 2011 - General Manager of Hiroshima Branch; November 2012 - General Manager of Business Strategy Division; July 2016 - Executive Officer, Special Assignment; July 2019 - Managing Executive Officer, Head of Corporate Strategy Unit, in charge of Office of Corporate Secretary and Special Assignment; July 2021 - Representative Director, Deputy President, Head of Strategic Investments Group, Head of Trust Business Group; April 2022 - Representative Director, Deputy President, Head of Institutional Business Promotion Group (current). New Risk • Feb 01
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 6.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (334% payout ratio). Dividend is not well covered by earnings (334% payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.6% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.3% net profit margin). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.3% net profit margin). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 01
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21% After last week's 21% share price decline to JP¥2,557, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Banks industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 48% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥3,189 per share. Announcement • Dec 24
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Feb 01, 2024 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Feb 01, 2024 Upcoming Dividend • Dec 21
Upcoming dividend of JP¥39.00 per share at 5.0% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 December 2023. Payment date: 15 March 2024. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits and is cash flow negative. Trailing yield: 5.0%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.6%). Announcement • Nov 15
Aozora Bank, Ltd. Declares Second Quarter Dividend of Financial Year 2023, Payable on December 15, 2023 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that the Bank's Board of Directors resolved to pay a dividend from retained earnings for the second quarter of FY2023 (record date: September 30, 2023). The quarterly dividend per common share is JPY 38, approximately 25% of the full-year dividend forecast of JPY 154. Total dividend amount is JPY 4,439 million; Effective date is December 15, 2023. Reported Earnings • Nov 15
Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥45.17 (vs JP¥60.09 in 2Q 2023) Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥45.17 (down from JP¥60.09 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥37.9b (up 35% from 2Q 2023). Net income: JP¥5.28b (down 25% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 14% (down from 25% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 1.9% decline forecast for the Banks industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 27% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 19% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Buying Opportunity • Oct 04
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 3.2%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,506, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 14%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.4% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period. Announcement • Sep 28
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Nov 13, 2023 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Nov 13, 2023 Upcoming Dividend • Sep 21
Upcoming dividend of JP¥38.00 per share at 4.8% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 September 2023. Payment date: 15 December 2023. The company is not currently making a profit and is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 4.8%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.3%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.2%). Buying Opportunity • Aug 16
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 7.8%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,514, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 14%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.5% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • Aug 03
First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind First quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥57.98 (down from JP¥71.70 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥29.2b (down 18% from 1Q 2023). Net income: JP¥6.77b (down 19% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 23% (in line with 1Q 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 17%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 35%. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 3.8% decline forecast for the Banks industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 14% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 15% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Board Change • Jul 06
High number of new directors There are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Audit & Supervisory Board Member Junichi Maeda was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Announcement • Jun 24
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Aug 02, 2023 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Aug 02, 2023 Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22
Upcoming dividend of JP¥38.00 per share at 5.8% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2023. Payment date: 15 September 2023. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits and is cash flow negative. Trailing yield: 5.8%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). Higher than average of industry peers (4.0%). Reported Earnings • May 19
Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥74.66 (down from JP¥300 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥109.1b (down 6.1% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥8.72b (down 75% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 8.0% (down from 30% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by higher expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 5.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 14%. Revenue is expected to fall by 2.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 7.1% decline forecast for the Banks industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 4% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 12% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Announcement • May 19
Aozora Bank, Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 22, 2023 Aozora Bank, Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 22, 2023. Buying Opportunity • May 12
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 6.7%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,090, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 7.8% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 22% per annum over the same time period. Buying Opportunity • Apr 19
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 6.2%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,096, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 7.8% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 22% per annum over the same time period. Major Estimate Revision • Apr 13
Consensus revenue estimates fall by 12% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from JP¥71.5b to JP¥62.9b. EPS estimate fell from JP¥129 to JP¥87.13 per share. Net income forecast to grow 0.2% next year vs 17% growth forecast for Banks industry in Japan. Consensus price target of JP¥2,370 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at JP¥2,450 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Mar 26
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate fell from JP¥172 to JP¥150. Revenue forecast unchanged from JP¥71.5b at last update. Net income forecast to grow 17% next year vs 17% growth forecast for Banks industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥2,370. Share price was steady at JP¥2,392 over the past week. Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23
Upcoming dividend of JP¥40.00 per share at 6.4% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2023. Payment date: 23 June 2023. Payout ratio is on the higher end at 84% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 6.4%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (4.0%). Major Estimate Revision • Mar 07
Consensus revenue estimates fall by 10% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2023 has deteriorated. 2023 revenue forecast decreased from JP¥79.7b to JP¥71.5b. EPS estimate fell from JP¥203 to JP¥189 per share. Net income forecast to grow 20% next year vs 18% growth forecast for Banks industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥2,412. Share price was steady at JP¥2,640 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Feb 21
Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 15% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 revenue forecast fell from JP¥93.5b to JP¥79.7b. EPS estimate unchanged at JP¥260 per share. Net income forecast to grow 28% next year vs 18% growth forecast for Banks industry in Japan. Consensus price target down from JP¥2,515 to JP¥2,445. Share price was steady at JP¥2,660 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Feb 04
Third quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥2.76 (down from JP¥78.32 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥21.8b (down 26% from 3Q 2022). Net income: JP¥322.0m (down 97% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.5% (down from 31% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 37%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 96%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Banks industry in Japan are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Feb 04
Aozora Bank, Ltd. Declares Dividend for the Third Quarter Ended December 31, 2022, Payable on March 15, 2023; Provides Dividend Guidance for the Fourth Quarter Ending March 31, 2023 Aozora Bank, Ltd. declared dividend of ¥38.00 per share for the third quarter ended December 31, 2022. The dividend payable on March 15, 2023.For the fourth quarter ending March 31, 2023, the company expects to pay dividend of ¥40 against ¥45 paid last year. Announcement • Jan 28
Aozora Bank, Ltd. Revises Consolidated and Non-Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ending March 31, 2023 Aozora Bank, Ltd. revised consolidated and non-consolidated earnings guidance for the full year ending March 31, 2023. For the period on the consolidated basis, the company expects net revenue of ¥62.0 billion, ordinary profit of ¥10 billion, profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥10 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent per common share of ¥85.63 compare to previous forecast of net revenue of ¥103 billion, ordinary profit of ¥429.5 billion, profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥36.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent per common share of ¥308.29. On the non-consolidated basis, the company expects net revenue of ¥47.0 billion, ordinary profit of ¥7 billion, net loss of ¥5 billion and net loss per common share of ¥42.81 compared to previous forecast of net revenue of ¥85.0 billion, ordinary profit of ¥41.0 billion, net income of ¥29.0 billion and net income per common share of ¥248.34. Announcement • Dec 24
Aozora Bank, Ltd. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Feb 03, 2023 Aozora Bank, Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results on Feb 03, 2023 Reported Earnings • Nov 16
Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥60.09 (vs JP¥67.51 in 2Q 2022) Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥60.09 (down from JP¥67.51 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥28.0b (up 5.5% from 2Q 2022). Net income: JP¥7.02b (down 11% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 25% (down from 30% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to decline by 2.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Banks industry in Japan are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Reported Earnings • Nov 13
Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥60.09 (vs JP¥67.51 in 2Q 2022) Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥60.09 (down from JP¥67.51 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥28.0b (up 5.5% from 2Q 2022). Net income: JP¥7.02b (down 11% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 25% (down from 30% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to decline by 2.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Banks industry in Japan are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Reported Earnings • Aug 02
First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥71.70 (vs JP¥99.03 in 1Q 2022) First quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥71.70 (down from JP¥99.03 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥35.6b (up 9.1% from 1Q 2022). Net income: JP¥8.37b (down 28% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 24% (down from 35% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 13% compared to a 4.4% growth forecast for the industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year and the company’s share price has also increased by 1% per year. Board Change • Jun 27
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 3 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 3 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Outside Director Tomonori Ito was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2014. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22
Upcoming dividend of JP¥37.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2022. Payment date: 15 September 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 50% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 5.7%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (4.5%). Reported Earnings • May 18
Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2022 results: EPS: JP¥300 (up from JP¥248 in FY 2021). Revenue: JP¥117.5b (flat on FY 2021). Net income: JP¥35.0b (up 21% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 30% (up from 25% in FY 2021). Net interest margin (NIM): 1.00% (down from 1.09% in FY 2021). Non-performing loans: 0.62% (down from 0.91% in FY 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 3.5%. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 15% compared to a 19% decline forecast for the banks industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 2% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 1% per year. Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23
Upcoming dividend of JP¥41.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2022. Payment date: 27 June 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 45% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 5.5%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.4%). Higher than average of industry peers (4.0%). Reported Earnings • Feb 02
Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: JP¥78.32 (up from JP¥58.93 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: JP¥29.9b (up 6.3% from 3Q 2021). Net income: JP¥9.15b (up 33% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 31% (up from 25% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was primarily driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 29%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 14%. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 21% compared to a 13% decline forecast for the industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 7% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 5% per year. Reported Earnings • Nov 15
Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS JP¥67.51 (vs JP¥65.77 in 2Q 2021) The company reported a decent second quarter result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Second quarter 2022 results: Revenue: JP¥26.5b (down 7.9% from 2Q 2021). Net income: JP¥7.88b (up 2.7% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 30% (up from 27% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 12% per year. Upcoming Dividend • Sep 22
Upcoming dividend of JP¥32.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 September 2021. Payment date: 15 December 2021. Trailing yield: 4.7%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.0%). In line with average of industry peers (4.3%). Reported Earnings • Aug 03
First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS JP¥99.03 (vs JP¥63.85 in 1Q 2021) The company reported a strong first quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First quarter 2022 results: Revenue: JP¥28.8b (up 4.9% from 1Q 2021). Net income: JP¥11.6b (up 55% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 40% (up from 27% in 1Q 2021). The increase in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 17% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year. Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22
Upcoming dividend of JP¥30.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2021. Payment date: 15 September 2021. Trailing yield: 5.3%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.0%). Higher than average of industry peers (4.4%). Reported Earnings • May 15
Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS JP¥248 (vs JP¥241 in FY 2020) The company reported a solid full year result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were flat. Full year 2021 results: Revenue: JP¥117.9b (up 1.9% from FY 2020). Net income: JP¥29.0b (up 2.9% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 25% (in line with FY 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 21% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 18% per year. Price Target Changed • Apr 09
Price target increased to JP¥2,494 Up from JP¥2,314, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥2,425. Stock is up 16% over the past year. Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23
Upcoming dividend of JP¥32.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2021. Payment date: 25 June 2021. Trailing yield: 4.6%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (2.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.8%). Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 05
New 90-day high: JP¥2,376 The company is up 26% from its price of JP¥1,882 on 04 December 2020. The Japanese market is up 6.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Banks industry, which is up 17% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is JP¥2,108 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 04
New 90-day high: JP¥2,040 The company is up 16% from its price of JP¥1,764 on 06 November 2020. The Japanese market is up 13% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Banks industry, which is up 10.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is JP¥1,955 per share. Reported Earnings • Feb 03
Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS JP¥58.93 (vs JP¥81.44 in 3Q 2020) The company reported a poor third quarter result with weaker earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: JP¥27.7b (down 16% from 3Q 2020). Net income: JP¥6.88b (down 28% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 25% (down from 29% in 3Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 22% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 23% per year. Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Feb 03
Revenue beats expectations, earnings disappoint Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 7.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 9.9%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 3.1%, compared to a 1.1% growth forecast for the Banks industry in Japan. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 07
New 90-day high: JP¥1,955 The company is up 10.0% from its price of JP¥1,774 on 09 October 2020. The Japanese market is up 8.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Banks industry, which is up 2.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is JP¥1,948 per share.