Pegasystems Inc.

NasdaqGS:PEGA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.1b

Pegasystems Valuation

Is PEGA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PEGA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$52.36
Fair Value
39.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PEGA ($72.84) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($52.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PEGA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PEGA?

Key metric: As PEGA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PEGA. This is calculated by dividing PEGA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PEGA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio63.1x
EarningsUS$99.19m
Market CapUS$6.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PEGA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PEGA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
DBX Dropbox
16.8x3.6%US$7.6b
ACIW ACI Worldwide
26.8x11.6%US$5.5b
OTEX Open Text
9.9x7.0%US$6.6b
CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings
15.5x-70.7%US$6.9b
PEGA Pegasystems
63.1x21.2%US$6.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PEGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.1x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PEGA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HUT Hut 8
3.7x-48.2%US$1.23b
YXT YXT.COM Group Holding
0.8xn/aUS$53.61m
NISN Nisun International Enterprise Development Group
1.9xn/aUS$31.47m
HTCR HeartCore Enterprises
4.1x-51.5%US$18.84m
PEGA 63.1xIndustry Avg. 30.6xNo. of Companies14PE020406080100+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PEGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.1x) compared to the US Software industry average (30.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PEGA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PEGA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio63.1x
Fair PE Ratio34.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PEGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PEGA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$72.84
US$105.36
+44.6%
13.5%US$125.00US$78.12n/a13
Mar ’26US$78.51
US$105.36
+34.2%
13.5%US$125.00US$78.12n/a13
Feb ’26US$108.29
US$101.48
-6.3%
15.8%US$125.00US$78.12n/a12
Jan ’26US$93.20
US$99.05
+6.3%
13.2%US$123.00US$80.00n/a11
Dec ’25US$94.97
US$91.60
-3.5%
10.0%US$110.00US$80.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$81.35
US$89.10
+9.5%
7.8%US$100.00US$80.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$70.39
US$83.00
+17.9%
8.5%US$92.00US$70.00n/a11
Sep ’25US$70.88
US$82.55
+16.5%
8.0%US$90.00US$70.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$68.41
US$82.55
+20.7%
8.0%US$90.00US$70.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$59.27
US$72.00
+21.5%
12.2%US$90.00US$60.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$57.46
US$72.00
+25.3%
12.7%US$90.00US$60.00n/a11
May ’25US$60.61
US$71.69
+18.3%
12.3%US$90.00US$60.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$62.65
US$71.09
+13.5%
14.0%US$90.00US$54.10n/a12
Mar ’25US$66.61
US$71.01
+6.6%
13.8%US$90.00US$54.10US$78.5112
Feb ’25US$49.69
US$54.09
+8.9%
13.1%US$67.00US$44.00US$108.2912
Jan ’25US$48.86
US$54.09
+10.7%
13.1%US$67.00US$44.00US$93.2012
Dec ’24US$53.30
US$52.75
-1.0%
12.3%US$65.00US$44.00US$94.9712
Nov ’24US$43.99
US$51.62
+17.3%
13.2%US$65.00US$44.00US$81.3513
Oct ’24US$43.41
US$55.54
+27.9%
13.4%US$70.00US$45.00US$70.3913
Sep ’24US$50.92
US$55.58
+9.1%
13.4%US$70.00US$45.00US$70.8813
Aug ’24US$53.52
US$55.58
+3.8%
13.4%US$70.00US$45.00US$68.4113
Jul ’24US$49.30
US$51.27
+4.0%
13.2%US$66.00US$37.00US$59.2713
Jun ’24US$47.85
US$50.04
+4.6%
11.2%US$57.00US$37.00US$57.4612
May ’24US$46.31
US$49.50
+6.9%
11.3%US$57.00US$37.00US$60.6111
Apr ’24US$48.48
US$49.36
+1.8%
16.1%US$60.00US$30.00US$62.6511
Mar ’24US$46.03
US$49.36
+7.2%
16.1%US$60.00US$30.00US$66.6111
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
US$105.36
Fair Value
30.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/12 22:13
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/12 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Pegasystems Inc. is covered by 31 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Raimo LenschowBarclays
Mark SchappelBenchmark Company