Carvana Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 5/6
Carvana has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 53.1%, while the Specialty Retail industry saw earnings declining at 3.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 12.5% per year. Carvana's return on equity is 41.6%, and it has net margins of 6.4%.
Key information
53.06%
Earnings growth rate
50.46%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail Industry Growth | 26.64% |
| Revenue growth rate | 12.51% |
| Return on equity | 41.60% |
| Net Margin | 6.40% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Analysis Article • Jun 19
Carvana (CVNA) Stock Could Be 42.4% Undervalued After Dallas Launch And Dealership Deal
Carvana (CVNA) is back under the spotlight after rolling out its “New Car Experience Paradise” concept in Dallas and agreeing to acquire seven Stellantis dealerships, a twin move that pushes the online retailer further into new car sales. See our latest analysis for Carvana. Carvana’s latest moves come after a choppy stretch in the stock, with a 1 day share price return of 5.89% lifting the share price to US$66.56, a 90 day share price return of 18.32% and a very large 3 year total...
Narrative Update • Jun 18
CVNA: New Vehicle Expansion Will Support Future Execution Upside For Stock
The analyst price target for Carvana has been trimmed slightly, from about $92.90 to roughly $92.10, as analysts factor in updated assumptions on market share gains, a modestly lower future P/E multiple near 31.6x, and refreshed cohort models that temper some of the more aggressive long term expectations reflected in recent Street estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carvana stock reflects a mix of optimism about execution and growth, balanced against concerns over competition and the assumptions embedded in long term forecasts.Seeking Alpha • Jun 17
Carvana: 40% Growth, Expanding Margins, And More Upside Ahead
Summary Carvana is rated Buy with a 12-month price target of $80, reflecting strong operational execution and margin resilience. CVNA achieved record Q1 2026 results: 40% YoY retail unit growth, 52% revenue growth, and a 10.4% adjusted EBITDA margin, with net leverage at 1.1x. Operational improvements—AI-driven logistics, centralized reconditioning, and scale—are driving efficiency, with further margin upside as these roll out nationwide. Valuation at 31x TTM EV/EBITDA is demanding, but forward growth, margin expansion, and reduced leverage support a bullish thesis despite macro and execution risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 04
CVNA: TAM Expansion And Stock Split Will Support Future Execution Upside
Carvana's updated analyst price target shifts from a prior fair value reference of $428.50 to about $92.90 per share, with analysts largely tying the recalibration to the recent 5:1 stock split, as well as modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Carvana cluster around the stock split and revised price targets, but there is still a clear split between what bullish and bearish analysts focus on.
Narrative Update • May 21
CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And Reconditioning Investments Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reset Carvana's fair value estimate from $519.00 to about $115.62 after the 5:1 stock split, while modestly adjusting assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect updated models and recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Carvana has centered on the 5:1 stock split, with several bullish analysts recalibrating price targets and reiterating positive views on the company’s execution and growth potential.
Narrative Update • May 04
CVNA: Higher Multiple Expectations Will Confront Ongoing Margin And Execution Risks
Carvana's analyst price target has been updated from $307.90 to $351.40. Analysts generally point to recent broad based target increases and a willingness to assign a higher future P/E multiple, despite more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins.Narrative Update • Apr 20
CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And Vertically Integrated Model Will Drive Future Upside
Carvana's updated analyst price target of $519, down from $600, reflects analysts factoring in recent Q4 profitability shortfalls and softer near term unit guidance, while still crediting the company's share gains, vertically integrated model, and defended position against AI disintermediation. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price target trims after Carvana's Q4 report, but the tone across much of the Street still leans constructive.Narrative Update • Apr 06
CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And AI Resilience Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts now place Carvana's price target at $519, reflecting a recalibration that weighs recent target cuts tied to Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while also considering views that AI disintermediation risks are limited and that unit growth and market share gains remain central to the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture around Carvana, with price targets reset to reflect Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while still leaning on the long term growth story.Narrative Update • Mar 23
CVNA: TAM Expansion And Defensible E Commerce Model Will Drive Future Execution Risk
Carvana's updated analyst price target has moved from about $481 to roughly $429 as analysts factor in ongoing retail unit and EBITDA headwinds, while still highlighting the company's defensible e commerce model and share gains in a fragmented used vehicle market as key supports to the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carvana clusters around a common theme, with analysts trimming price targets while still pointing to a resilient e commerce model, share gains in used vehicles and potential upside from newer growth areas like new car sales.Narrative Update • Mar 08
CVNA: Expanding New Car Footprint And AI Resilience Will Drive Future Upside
Carvana's analyst fair value estimate has been reset from $600 to $519, as analysts balance recent Q4 margin and EBITDA pressures against still supportive views on unit growth, share gains in used cars, and reduced concerns around AI driven disintermediation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of valuation resets and continued confidence in Carvana's ability to grow units and defend its business model, even as Q4 EBITDA and margin pressures weigh on near term sentiment.Narrative Update • Feb 22
CVNA: Margin Pressures And Short Report Risks Will Confront Index Inclusion Benefits
Analysts have reduced our Carvana fair value estimate by about $22 to $307.90. This reflects recent target cuts that account for near-term margin pressure after Q4 misses, alongside ongoing expectations for scale, share gains in used vehicles, and improved profitability over time.Analysis Article • Feb 13
Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) Shares Slammed 27% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
The Carvana Co. ( NYSE:CVNA ) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much...Narrative Update • Feb 08
CVNA: Expanding Market Reach Into New Car Sales Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts nudged their price target for Carvana higher to $600 from $550, citing a mix of refined growth and profitability assumptions, modestly lower discount rates, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research that highlights both expanding total addressable market opportunities and pushback against short seller claims. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Carvana has been active, with a mix of higher and lower price targets, rating changes, and fresh views on how the business model and total addressable market could influence valuation.Narrative Update • Jan 25
CVNA: TAM Expansion And S&P 500 Inclusion Will Shape Future Execution Risk
Analysts have lifted their implied fair value for Carvana by about $62 per share to roughly $481, citing a higher assumed future P/E multiple and an improved profit margin outlook, supported by recent price target increases and total addressable market expansion themes across several research notes. Analyst Commentary Bullish and cautious views on Carvana are both coming through in recent research, and they often tie back to how much value analysts see in the company’s expansion efforts and its ability to execute against that opportunity.Narrative Update • Jan 11
CVNA: Expanding Market Reach And Credit Improvements Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts maintained their Carvana fair value estimate at $550.00 and made slight adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions in response to higher price targets, expanding TAM expectations, and continued Buy and Overweight ratings across major firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are broadly constructive on Carvana, with a cluster of Buy and Overweight ratings paired with price targets that sit well above the current fair value estimate.Narrative Update • Dec 27
CVNA: Improving Credit Performance Will Drive Future Upside In Shares
Analysts have raised their Carvana fair value estimate to $550 from $532.59, citing stronger expected revenue growth, modestly higher long term profit margins, and a premium future earnings multiple. This change is driven by growing conviction in the company’s competitive position and potential upside to current unit forecasts.Analysis Article • Dec 20
After Leaping 37% Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Carvana Co. ( NYSE:CVNA ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period beforehand. The...Narrative Update • Dec 13
CVNA: Unit Growth And Credit Performance Will Drive Shares Higher
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Carvana higher to about $533 from $500, citing a series of recent price target hikes and upgrades that emphasize sustained unit growth, an improving competitive position in used autos, and what they view as an attractive risk or reward profile despite macro and credit concerns. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts continue to frame the recent pullback in Carvana shares as a temporary pause in a longer growth trajectory, emphasizing that valuation still screens attractive relative to the company’s execution record and unit growth outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 29
CVNA: Market Share Will Expand As Operational Execution Drives Consistent Outperformance
Carvana's analyst fair value target has been slightly reduced by less than $1 to $419.45, as analysts balance consistent growth and operational improvements with ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and evolving industry dynamics. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research provides a diverse range of perspectives on Carvana, highlighting both optimism around the company's growth prospects and concerns linked to macroeconomic factors and credit exposure.Narrative Update • Nov 15
CVNA: Operational Momentum And Credit Flexibility Will Support Market Share Gains
The analyst average price target for Carvana has been modestly reduced from $423.90 to $419.67. Analysts are weighing strong operational momentum and robust e-commerce platform performance against persistent macro and credit headwinds in the used vehicle market.Narrative Update • Oct 31
CVNA: Operational Momentum And Market Share Gains Will Sustain Strong Outperformance
Carvana's analyst price target has been raised slightly to $423.90 from $423.60. Analysts cite sustained strong unit sales and resilience in consumer auto credit trends as supporting rationale.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Online Vehicle Retail And AI Integration Will Redefine Future Markets
Analysts have modestly increased Carvana's fair value estimate from $421.95 to $423.60. They cite sustained fundamental strength, improved loss trends, and positive industry positioning in spite of ongoing macroeconomic headwinds.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Online Vehicle Retail And AI Integration Will Redefine Future Markets
Carvana's analyst price target increased by $7.75 to $421.95, as analysts cite continued market share gains, stronger profitability, and resilient fundamentals despite evolving competitive dynamics in the digital auto retail sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on Carvana highlight a mix of optimism regarding the company’s continued outperformance, as well as caution surrounding valuation and market challenges.Analysis Article • Jul 22
Is Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jul 02
Is Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) Worth US$338 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Carvana's estimated fair value is US$254 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Carvana's US$338 share...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Carvana makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 22,522 | 1,441 | 2,299 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 20,322 | 1,407 | 2,144 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 18,266 | 629 | 2,010 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 16,274 | 563 | 1,884 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 14,844 | 398 | 1,788 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 13,673 | 210 | 1,709 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 12,550 | 17 | 1,636 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 11,668 | 714 | 1,600 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 11,226 | 638 | 1,594 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 10,771 | 450 | 1,606 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 11,184 | -242 | 1,729 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 11,797 | -1,307 | 1,951 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 12,713 | -1,487 | 2,221 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 13,604 | -1,587 | 2,486 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 14,520 | -870 | 2,697 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 14,614 | -619 | 2,589 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 14,066 | -359 | 2,343 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 12,814 | -135 | 1,928 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 10,888 | -109 | 1,760 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 8,952 | -84 | 1,482 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 6,734 | -147 | 1,249 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 5,587 | -171 | 1,126 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 4,864 | -149 | 1,027 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 4,414 | -172 | 966 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 4,283 | -152 | 905 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 3,940 | -115 | 790 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 3,421 | -96 | 672 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 2,861 | -83 | 574 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 2,350 | -74 | 492 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 1,955 | -61 | 422 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 1,636 | -90 | 359 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 1,326 | -77 | 308 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 1,060 | -70 | 264 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 859 | -64 | 226 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 701 | -100 | 196 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 574 | -98 | 165 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 451 | -95 | 136 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 365 | -93 | 111 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 301 | -23 | 87 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 130 | -37 | 37 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: CVNA has a large one-off loss of $281.0M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.
Growing Profit Margin: CVNA's current net profit margins (6.4%) are higher than last year (2.7%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: CVNA has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 53.1% per year.
Accelerating Growth: CVNA's earnings growth over the past year (262.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (53.1% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: CVNA earnings growth over the past year (262.1%) exceeded the Specialty Retail industry 0.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: CVNA's Return on Equity (41.6%) is considered outstanding.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/29 13:59 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Carvana Co. is covered by 45 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| John Babcock | Barclays |
| Gary Prestopino | Barrington Research Associates, Inc. |