Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited

ASX:DMP Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$3.1b

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Valuation

Is DMP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DMP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DMP (A$31.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$35.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DMP is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DMP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DMP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.1x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DMP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DMP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.7x
CKF Collins Foods
17.6x15.2%AU$980.2m
RFG Retail Food Group
29.7x33.7%AU$172.0m
FLT Flight Centre Travel Group
24.7x19.4%AU$3.5b
TLC Lottery
26.9x4.4%AU$11.1b
DMP Domino's Pizza Enterprises
31.6x19.8%AU$2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DMP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.6x) compared to the peer average (24.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DMP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.4%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.4%
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Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DMP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.6x) compared to the Oceanic Hospitality industry average (22.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DMP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DMP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.6x
Fair PE Ratio29.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DMP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DMP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$31.60
AU$37.90
+19.9%
19.2%AU$58.00AU$25.70n/a15
Oct ’25AU$34.52
AU$38.35
+11.1%
19.7%AU$58.00AU$25.70n/a14
Sep ’25AU$30.02
AU$38.34
+27.7%
19.7%AU$58.00AU$25.70n/a14
Aug ’25AU$32.57
AU$41.17
+26.4%
17.0%AU$58.00AU$25.70n/a14
Jul ’25AU$35.79
AU$44.16
+23.4%
18.2%AU$61.00AU$25.70n/a14
Jun ’25AU$38.71
AU$44.80
+15.7%
18.3%AU$61.00AU$25.70n/a14
May ’25AU$39.34
AU$45.54
+15.7%
18.9%AU$61.00AU$25.70n/a14
Apr ’25AU$43.39
AU$46.16
+6.4%
18.6%AU$61.00AU$25.70n/a14
Mar ’25AU$44.87
AU$46.16
+2.9%
18.6%AU$61.00AU$25.70n/a14
Feb ’25AU$40.61
AU$49.16
+21.1%
20.7%AU$68.00AU$25.70n/a14
Jan ’25AU$58.94
AU$55.64
-5.6%
15.0%AU$68.00AU$40.30n/a14
Dec ’24AU$52.68
AU$56.32
+6.9%
15.0%AU$68.00AU$40.30n/a15
Nov ’24AU$51.99
AU$55.89
+7.5%
15.0%AU$68.00AU$40.30AU$33.4515
Oct ’24AU$53.18
AU$56.08
+5.4%
15.7%AU$68.00AU$40.30AU$34.5215
Sep ’24AU$54.58
AU$56.43
+3.4%
15.3%AU$68.00AU$40.30AU$30.0215
Aug ’24AU$48.89
AU$53.12
+8.6%
19.7%AU$68.00AU$40.00AU$32.5715
Jul ’24AU$46.43
AU$53.13
+14.4%
19.7%AU$68.00AU$40.00AU$35.7915
Jun ’24AU$48.11
AU$62.12
+29.1%
12.6%AU$75.00AU$50.00AU$38.7115
May ’24AU$50.45
AU$62.14
+23.2%
13.1%AU$75.00AU$50.00AU$39.3414
Apr ’24AU$49.87
AU$62.52
+25.4%
12.7%AU$75.00AU$50.00AU$43.3915
Mar ’24AU$48.87
AU$62.52
+27.9%
12.7%AU$75.00AU$50.00AU$44.8715
Feb ’24AU$74.43
AU$72.28
-2.9%
13.3%AU$90.00AU$60.00AU$40.6115
Jan ’24AU$66.25
AU$71.75
+8.3%
13.2%AU$90.00AU$60.00AU$58.9415
Dec ’23AU$66.38
AU$71.00
+7.0%
12.8%AU$88.00AU$60.00AU$52.6815
Nov ’23AU$63.39
AU$78.09
+23.2%
13.5%AU$95.00AU$62.90AU$51.9915

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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