Kelsian Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Kelsian Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.7% and 3.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.9% in 3 years.

Key information

9.7%

Earnings growth rate

9.8%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth	7.9%
Revenue growth rate	3.9%
Future return on equity	8.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	08 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Using Debt Extensively

Dec 11

Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Has Announced A Dividend Of A$0.095

Aug 30

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Even Though It's 27% Cheaper

Aug 29

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Shares Could Be 33% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Feb 07

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Mar 29

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Nov 05

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Shares Could Be 50% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Oct 12

Here's Why Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Aug 26

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Jun 25

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Shares Could Be 39% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jun 09

When Should You Buy Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS)?

May 13

Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of AU$0.07

Feb 25

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Shares Could Be 26% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jan 20

Does Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Dec 24

Is There Now An Opportunity In Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS)?

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Mar 06

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Jan 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:KLS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	2,296	90	82	219	7
6/30/2026	2,227	75	84	206	8
6/30/2025	2,138	63	-23	179	8
6/30/2024	2,038	58	-3	147	N/A
3/31/2024	1,886	44	-22	150	N/A
12/31/2023	1,733	30	-42	152	N/A
9/30/2023	1,580	25	-7	141	N/A
6/30/2023	1,427	21	28	129	N/A
3/31/2023	1,389	36	37	121	N/A
12/31/2022	1,350	51	46	114	N/A
9/30/2022	1,332	52	59	114	N/A
6/30/2022	1,314	53	71	115	N/A
3/31/2022	1,296	40	70	109	N/A
12/31/2021	1,262	27	56	89	N/A
9/30/2021	1,237	32	63	101	N/A
6/30/2021	1,211	38	70	112	N/A
3/31/2021	1,160	24	75	118	N/A
12/31/2020	1,108	10	81	124	N/A
9/30/2020	876	-2	71	107	N/A
6/30/2020	645	-14	61	90	N/A
3/31/2020	450	2	38	64	N/A
12/31/2019	256	17	16	39	N/A
9/30/2019	253	19	19	40	N/A
6/30/2019	251	22	23	41	N/A
3/31/2019	245	21	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	239	21	26	40	N/A
9/30/2018	224	20	20	34	N/A
6/30/2018	209	20	15	29	N/A
3/31/2018	201	21	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	194	22	N/A	27	N/A
9/30/2017	197	23	N/A	26	N/A
6/30/2017	201	24	N/A	26	N/A
3/31/2017	205	25	N/A	31	N/A
12/31/2016	208	27	N/A	37	N/A
9/30/2016	193	25	N/A	34	N/A
6/30/2016	177	22	N/A	32	N/A
3/31/2016	153	18	N/A	25	N/A
12/31/2015	129	13	N/A	18	N/A
9/30/2015	120	11	N/A	15	N/A
6/30/2015	111	9	N/A	12	N/A
3/31/2015	110	9	N/A	12	N/A
12/31/2014	108	9	N/A	12	N/A
9/30/2014	106	8	N/A	12	N/A
6/30/2014	104	7	N/A	12	N/A
3/31/2014	100	6	N/A	11	N/A
12/31/2013	96	5	N/A	10	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: KLS's forecast earnings growth (9.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: KLS's earnings (9.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: KLS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: KLS's revenue (3.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: KLS's revenue (3.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: KLS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/20 23:23
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Kelsian Group Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Piers Flanagan	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigle	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Aryan Norozi	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Kelsian Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 17% to AU$5.84

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 31%, revenue upgraded

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%, revenue upgraded

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%, revenue upgraded

Recent updates

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$940k worth of stock

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Using Debt Extensively

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$122k worth of stock

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$2.4m worth of stock

Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 29, 2024

Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Has Announced A Dividend Of A$0.095

Final dividend of AU$0.095 announced

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Even Though It's 27% Cheaper

Price target decreased by 17% to AU$5.84

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%

Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 28, 2024

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Less than half of directors are independent

MD, Group CEO & Director recently bought AU$379k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.08 per share

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 31%, revenue upgraded

First half 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Shares Could Be 33% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Kelsian Group Limited Appoints Jacqueline Mcarthur as Director

Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Jackie McArthur as an Independent Non-Executive Director, Effective 15 January 2024

Non-Executive Director recently sold AU$1.2m worth of stock

Is Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Trading At A 40% Discount?

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS)?

MD, Group CEO & Director exercised options to buy AU$629k worth of stock.

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.095 per share at 2.7% yield

Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of A$0.095

Kelsian Group Limited Announces Director Retirement and Chair Succession Plan

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%, revenue upgraded

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Here's Why Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Clint Feuerherdt as Director

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS)?

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) completed the acquisition of All Aboard America! Holdings, Inc. from Tensile Capital Management LP.

Ventura Bus Lines Reportedly Taps Goldman Sachs for Sale

Non-Executive Director recently sold AU$5.0m worth of stock

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS)

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%, revenue upgraded

Now 20% undervalued

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.079 (vs AU$0.097 in 1H 2022)

Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023

Now 21% undervalued

Less than half of directors are independent

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) acquired Two Bus Businesses in the Channel Islands.

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Shares Could Be 50% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$844k worth of stock

Independent Non-Executive Deputy Chair recently bought AU$57k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Here's Why Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Price target decreased to AU$7.98

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2022

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Price target decreased to AU$8.58

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Shares Could Be 39% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Stagecoach Bus Holdings Limited agreed to acquire Kelsians East London public bus transport service operations at Lea Interchange from Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) for GBP 20 million.

When Should You Buy Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS)?

Less than half of directors are independent

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.07 per share

Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of AU$0.07

First half 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Kelsian Group Limited Declares Interim Dividend for A Period of Six Months Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 31 March 2022

Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Shares Could Be 26% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate