XP Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
XP is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12% and 14.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22.8% in 3 years.
Key information
12.0%
Earnings growth rate
12.6%
EPS growth rate
| Capital Markets earnings growth | 13.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 14.6% |
| Future return on equity | 22.8% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 18 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Earnings Beat: XP Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Aug 16
XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) Just Reported First-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?
May 23Recent updates
Investors Give XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) Shares A 29% Hiding
Dec 19XP Inc. Q3: Modest And Without Triggers For Abrupt Improvement
Nov 27Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP)
Oct 11XP Q2 Earnings: On Track To Meet Its 2026 Financial Targets
Sep 06Earnings Beat: XP Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Aug 16XP Inc.: Lots Of Competition And Little Potential For Appreciation
Jun 21XP Inc: The Post-Earnings Sell-Off Is A Buying Opportunity
May 25XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) Just Reported First-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?
May 23Sentiment Still Eluding XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP)
Apr 23XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares
Jan 08XP Q3 net inflows slide in Q3, client assets rise
Oct 20XP: Attractive Valuation And Strong Growth Potential
Aug 16XP reports Q2 results
Aug 09XP reports 16% growth in active clients and 4% in AUC for Q2
Jul 15XP: Strong Growth Potential Via New Business Area Credit Cards
Apr 11XP: A Compelling Medium To Longer-Term Growth Story
Jan 26Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 22,317 | 5,712 | 5,557 | N/A | 7 |
| 12/31/2025 | 19,740 | 5,176 | 6,489 | N/A | 8 |
| 12/31/2024 | 17,286 | 4,565 | 8,716 | N/A | 8 |
| 9/30/2024 | 15,886 | 4,375 | 11,297 | 11,488 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 15,762 | 4,276 | 5,309 | 5,580 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 15,143 | 4,134 | 1,120 | 1,353 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 14,243 | 3,899 | 7,931 | 8,127 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 13,391 | 3,639 | 5,187 | 5,514 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 12,887 | 3,584 | 6,393 | 6,534 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 12,843 | 3,520 | 4,005 | 4,129 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 12,945 | 3,579 | 1,677 | 1,804 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 13,120 | 3,786 | 1,193 | 1,281 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 12,750 | 3,690 | -2,676 | -2,533 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 12,396 | 3,710 | -3,506 | -3,278 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 11,941 | 3,589 | -4,373 | -4,020 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 11,128 | 3,201 | -4,796 | -4,309 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 10,095 | 2,806 | -342 | 119 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 9,002 | 2,413 | 1,622 | 2,011 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 8,099 | 2,076 | 1,219 | 1,511 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 7,380 | 1,864 | -3,223 | -3,026 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 6,622 | 1,581 | -3,418 | -3,230 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,841 | 1,268 | -4,062 | -3,879 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,043 | 1,080 | -3,975 | -3,814 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,246 | 803 | -641 | -522 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,886 | 461 | -593 | -457 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,846 | 414 | N/A | 262 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,252 | 189 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 661 | 76 | N/A | 191 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 419 | 24 | N/A | 77 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 32 | 32 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: XP's forecast earnings growth (12% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: XP's earnings (12% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: XP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: XP's revenue (14.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: XP's revenue (14.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: XP's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22.8%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/22 02:24 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
XP Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mario Lucio Pierry | BofA Global Research |
| Lucca Brendim | Bradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários |
| Gustavo Schroden | Bradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários |