Li Auto Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Li Auto is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 25% and 19.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 27.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.1% in 3 years.
Key information
25.0%
Earnings growth rate
27.2%
EPS growth rate
| Auto earnings growth | 12.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 19.7% |
| Future return on equity | 19.1% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 18 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Is Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Trading At A 28% Discount?
Nov 21
Li Auto Finally Nears Our Buy Zone, Great 2025 Prospects
Nov 20Li Auto: H2 2024 May Bring Forth Improved Numbers, Thanks To Government Stimulus
Sep 29Market Participants Recognise Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) Earnings Pushing Shares 31% Higher
Sep 28Li Auto: Strong EV Choice, Low Price
Sep 08Li Auto: From Setback To Comeback (Rating Upgrade)
Aug 29We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Aug 22Expecting Significant Wealth Creation From Li Stock In The Long Term
Aug 19Is There An Opportunity With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) 23% Undervaluation?
Jul 29Li Auto: Weakening Financials Encourage Caution
Jul 02Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
Jun 26Li Auto Lost The Price War - More Pain Ahead
Jun 18Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%
Jun 11Li Auto: Deep Value For EV Investors
May 28Li Auto's Strategic Pivot: From Setbacks To Solutions
May 16Li Auto: My Pick For The EV Market Will Likely Survive A Price War
May 08We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Apr 28Li Auto: The Stock Is Dirt Cheap
Apr 22Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$30.84?
Apr 12Buy Li Auto's Dip - Electrification Is Here To Stay
Mar 31Returns At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Are On The Way Up
Mar 28Li Auto Charges Ahead In Fourth Quarter As Slowdown Looms
Feb 27Why We Are Still Not Convinced With Li Auto
Feb 20Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
Feb 19Li Auto: Value Investment Buried In The Chaos
Feb 07Estimating The Fair Value Of Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI)
Feb 04We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Jan 19Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 240,247 | 18,046 | 24,155 | 37,410 | 35 |
| 12/31/2025 | 194,616 | 12,226 | 16,007 | 30,464 | 38 |
| 12/31/2024 | 146,256 | 7,678 | 7,186 | 15,306 | 29 |
| 9/30/2024 | 141,918 | 10,167 | 16,782 | 24,547 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 133,724 | 10,176 | 20,955 | 28,029 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 130,698 | 11,367 | 33,064 | 39,571 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 123,851 | 11,704 | 44,186 | 50,694 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 99,769 | 6,303 | 32,806 | 38,325 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 74,432 | 1,839 | 17,622 | 23,310 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 54,512 | -1,072 | 9,531 | 13,327 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 45,287 | -2,012 | 2,252 | 7,380 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 38,257 | -1,974 | 1,174 | 6,292 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 36,690 | -355 | 4,297 | 8,970 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 32,997 | 28 | 4,828 | 9,248 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 27,010 | -321 | 4,896 | 8,340 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 20,536 | -509 | 4,316 | 6,325 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 15,272 | -809 | 3,901 | 5,085 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 12,180 | -918 | 3,220 | 4,129 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 9,457 | -806 | 2,465 | 3,140 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,594 | -1,982 | 168 | 867 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,136 | -3,034 | -2,319 | -1,463 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 284 | -3,261 | -2,747 | -1,794 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | N/A | -2,702 | -2,743 | -1,680 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: LI's forecast earnings growth (25% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: LI's earnings (25% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: LI's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: LI's revenue (19.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: LI's revenue (19.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: LI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.1%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/20 07:59 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Li Auto Inc. is covered by 61 analysts. 38 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jiong Shao | Barclays |
| Jia Lou | BOCI Research Ltd. |
| Ming-Hsun Lee | BofA Global Research |