United Parcel Service, Inc.

NYSE:UPS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$107.4b

United Parcel Service Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

United Parcel Service is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13% and 4.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 36% in 3 years.

Key information

13.0%

Earnings growth rate

14.0%

EPS growth rate

Logistics earnings growth14.2%
Revenue growth rate4.3%
Future return on equity36.0%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Jul 25
United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Recent updates

Does United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Dec 30
Does United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

UPS: The Whole Package For Value Investors

Dec 24

UPS Is An Excellent Company

Dec 15

An Intrinsic Calculation For United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Suggests It's 23% Undervalued

Dec 13
An Intrinsic Calculation For United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Suggests It's 23% Undervalued

UPS: How I'm Grabbing More Yield

Nov 15

Investors Can Find Comfort In United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Earnings Quality

Nov 13
Investors Can Find Comfort In United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Earnings Quality

UPS Q3 Earnings Preview: Volume Mix And Recent Acquisitions Should Be In Focus

Oct 21

UPS's Huge Free Cash Backs Its Leading Dividend

Oct 15

The Returns At United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Aren't Growing

Oct 11
The Returns At United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Aren't Growing

UPS Has Too Much To Prove To Be A Buy

Oct 05

Recent Struggles Of UPS Stock May Be A Good Opportunity For Income Investors

Sep 27

These 4 Measures Indicate That United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Sep 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

United Parcel Service: I Love The Truck, But I Want A Better Price

Aug 27

United Parcel Service Is A Buy Now

Jul 31

United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Jul 25
United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

UPS: A Nearly 5% Yielding A-Rated Strong Buy For This Overvalued Market

Jul 22

United Parcel Service: Good Risk/Reward In The Long Run

Jul 13

An Intrinsic Calculation For United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Suggests It's 35% Undervalued

Jul 02
An Intrinsic Calculation For United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Suggests It's 35% Undervalued

Here's Why United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Jun 19
Here's Why United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

United Parcel Service: Buying Shares While It Is On The 'Operating Table'

Jun 12

United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Jun 05
United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

United Parcel Service Offers Good Long-Term Value

Jun 03

United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Not Flying Under The Radar

May 22
United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Not Flying Under The Radar

United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Dividend Will Be $1.63

May 05
United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Dividend Will Be $1.63

United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

May 02
United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

United Parcel Service: I See Persisting Profit Pressure Ahead

Apr 24

Is United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Potentially Undervalued?

Apr 08
Is United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Potentially Undervalued?

UPSwing: Why This Delivery Giant May Be Poised For Takeoff

Mar 28

Estimating The Fair Value Of United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)

Mar 25
Estimating The Fair Value Of United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)

United Parcel Service: Buy This Undervalued Income Pick Now

Mar 22

UPS: Upside Already Priced In, 'Hold' Until Something Changes

Feb 27

Does United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Feb 26
Does United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

UPS: Undervalued Dividend Giant With Upside Potential

Feb 20

United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $1.63

Feb 06
United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $1.63

UPS: Avoid The Fear-Driven Steep Plunge

Feb 01

United Parcel Service, Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Feb 01
United Parcel Service, Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Jan 29
United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

UPS: Delivering A Turnaround Story In 2024

Jan 17

Some Confidence Is Lacking In United Parcel Service, Inc.'s (NYSE:UPS) P/E

Jan 16
Some Confidence Is Lacking In United Parcel Service, Inc.'s (NYSE:UPS) P/E

United Parcel Service: The Total Package For Income, Value, And Growth

Jan 02

UPS: Buy Before The Volumes Recover

Dec 15

Down 40%, 5%-Yielding UPS Is Getting Attractive

Nov 13

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:UPS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027104,0768,8026,45314,2575
12/31/202699,3858,2776,63512,52018
12/31/202595,1377,4526,20911,21126
12/31/202491,2166,2145,7579,63226
9/30/202490,6865,6664,3589,218N/A
6/30/202489,5025,2544,6479,953N/A
3/31/202489,7395,9265,61311,197N/A
12/31/202390,9586,7085,08010,238N/A
9/30/202393,0748,5565,55911,159N/A
6/30/202396,17410,0136,20411,405N/A
3/31/202398,88510,7817,15111,981N/A
12/31/2022100,33811,5489,33514,104N/A
9/30/2022101,07611,18810,11614,018N/A
6/30/2022100,09910,93310,93414,846N/A
3/31/202298,75710,76011,04814,956N/A
12/31/202197,28712,89010,81315,007N/A
9/30/202194,4126,4508,17412,937N/A
6/30/202192,4666,0787,94912,966N/A
3/31/202189,5015,1707,12712,440N/A
12/31/202084,6281,3435,04710,459N/A
9/30/202080,3004,5846,96612,229N/A
6/30/202077,3804,3774,79510,379N/A
3/31/202074,9694,2943,1138,912N/A
12/31/201974,0944,4402,2598,639N/A
9/30/201973,3744,9992,8538,982N/A
6/30/201972,5004,7573,4239,718N/A
3/31/201971,9084,5574,66110,921N/A
12/31/201871,8614,7916,42812,711N/A
9/30/201870,9885,4344746,483N/A
6/30/201869,7175,185N/A6,058N/A
3/31/201868,1885,084N/A5,307N/A
12/31/201766,5854,905N/A1,479N/A
9/30/201764,5413,570N/A5,528N/A
6/30/201763,2963,581N/A4,401N/A
3/31/201761,9983,466N/A4,042N/A
12/31/201661,6103,422N/A6,473N/A
9/30/201660,0295,001N/A6,378N/A
6/30/201659,3384,988N/A7,884N/A
3/31/201658,8044,949N/A7,349N/A
12/31/201558,3634,844N/A7,430N/A
9/30/201558,2043,966N/A7,950N/A
6/30/201558,2573,923N/A8,133N/A
3/31/201558,4303,147N/A6,210N/A
12/31/201458,2323,032N/A5,726N/A
9/30/201457,3133,746N/A6,435N/A
6/30/201456,5443,629N/A5,705N/A
3/31/201455,7834,246N/A7,813N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UPS's forecast earnings growth (13% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: UPS's earnings (13% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UPS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: UPS's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UPS's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UPS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (36%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/15 00:23
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/14 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

United Parcel Service, Inc. is covered by 55 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
John EadeArgus Research Company
Donald BroughtonAvondale Partners