Sandfire Resources Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Sandfire Resources is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 59.9% and 15.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 59.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.8% in 3 years.

Key information

59.9%

Earnings growth rate

59.5%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	13.7%
Revenue growth rate	15.4%
Future return on equity	9.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	24 Jun 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Low P/S

May 21

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR)

Apr 24

Is Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Using Too Much Debt?

Mar 22

Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 98% Above Its Share Price

Nov 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:SFR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2026	1,269	218	286	541	15
6/30/2025	1,242	182	326	541	16
6/30/2024	922	-30	50	292	15
12/31/2023	796	-78	-35	233	N/A
9/30/2023	803	-65	-123	175	N/A
6/30/2023	810	-52	-210	117	N/A
3/31/2023	931	-11	-110	200	N/A
12/31/2022	1,051	29	-10	283	N/A
9/30/2022	990	70	88	337	N/A
6/30/2022	929	111	185	391	N/A
3/31/2022	798	125	207	375	N/A
12/31/2021	667	139	229	359	N/A
9/30/2021	637	134	244	353	N/A
6/30/2021	608	129	259	348	N/A
3/31/2021	573	103	206	294	N/A
12/31/2020	521	75	136	216	N/A
9/30/2020	486	63	122	202	N/A
6/30/2020	453	51	110	189	N/A
3/31/2020	396	51	90	152	N/A
12/31/2019	443	64	93	156	N/A
9/30/2019	413	67	60	146	N/A
6/30/2019	416	75	32	148	N/A
3/31/2019	411	78	38	159	N/A
12/31/2018	398	79	44	166	N/A
9/30/2018	410	85	79	174	N/A
6/30/2018	422	91	116	181	N/A
3/31/2018	427	86	114	181	N/A
12/31/2017	423	78	110	176	N/A
9/30/2017	414	70	N/A	173	N/A
6/30/2017	394	60	N/A	166	N/A
3/31/2017	393	56	N/A	152	N/A
12/31/2016	373	50	N/A	132	N/A
9/30/2016	388	45	N/A	121	N/A
6/30/2016	370	36	N/A	100	N/A
3/31/2016	389	39	N/A	117	N/A
12/31/2015	375	40	N/A	125	N/A
9/30/2015	374	43	N/A	139	N/A
6/30/2015	422	53	N/A	172	N/A
3/31/2015	414	55	N/A	165	N/A
12/31/2014	440	62	N/A	171	N/A
9/30/2014	465	67	N/A	189	N/A
6/30/2014	496	74	N/A	210	N/A
3/31/2014	468	56	N/A	216	N/A
12/31/2013	433	38	N/A	216	N/A
9/30/2013	464	61	N/A	230	N/A
6/30/2013	464	81	N/A	229	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SFR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: SFR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: SFR is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SFR's revenue (15.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SFR's revenue (15.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SFR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.8%).

Sandfire Resources Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to US$0.013 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 94%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

Price target increased by 8.4% to AU$6.22

Recent updates

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Low P/S

CEO, MD & Director exercised options and sold AU$1.6m worth of stock

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR)

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Resignation of Sophie Raven as Joint Company Secretary, Effective 3 April 2024

Is Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Using Too Much Debt?

Sandfire Resources Limited Appoints Victoria Twiss as Joint Company Secretary

First half 2024 earnings released: US$0.12 loss per share (vs US$0.065 loss in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to US$0.013 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 94%

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jan 30, 2024

Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 98% Above Its Share Price

Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces the Appointment of Paul Harvey as Independent Non-Executive Director

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Estimating The Fair Value Of Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR)

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Management Changes

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Retirement of Roric Smith as Non-Executive Director, Effective June 30, 2023

Alkane Resources Limited (ASX:ALK) completed the acquisition of Two tenement packages in New South Wales from Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR).

Are Investors Undervaluing Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) By 40%?

Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

First half 2023 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target increased by 8.4% to AU$6.22

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 28, 2023

Are Investors Undervaluing Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) By 49%?

Price target increased by 11% to AU$6.07

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Near Mine Exploration Success at MATSA

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.013 loss

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jan 24, 2023

Consensus forecasts updated

AIC Mines Limited (ASX:A1M) completed the acquisition of Demetallica Limited (ASX:DRM) from OZ Minerals Limited (ASX:OZL), Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR), Yarraandoo Pty Ltd and other shareholders.

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Executive Changes

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Full Year of 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 60%

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Sandfire Resources Limited Appoints Brendan Harris as Managing Director

Auris Minerals Limited Provides Update on Exploration Completed by Sandfire Resources Limited During the September 2022 Quarter Across the Joint Venture Projects Located in the Bryah Basin, Western Australia

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited Announce Encouraging Copper-Silver (Cu-Ag) Assay Results from Recent and Ongoing Drilling At the A1 Prospect, Motheo Copper Mine in the Kalahari Copper Belt of Botswana

Consensus forecasts updated

We Think Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 69%

Price target decreased to AU$5.19

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Q1, 2023 Results on Oct 20, 2022

Sandfire Resources Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 30, 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited Provides Group Production Guidance for Year 2023

Consensus forecasts updated

Sandfire Resources Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer Transition

AIC Mines Limited (ASX:A1M) offered to acquire Demetallica Limited (ASX:DRM) from OZ Minerals Limited (ASX:OZL), Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR), Yarraandoo Pty Ltd and other shareholders for AUD 35.6 million.

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 10%

Sandfire Resources Limited Omits to Pay Final Dividend for Fiscal Year 2022

Sandfire Resources Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 30, 2022

High number of new directors

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Price target decreased to AU$6.23