Constellium SE

NYSE:CSTM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.7b

Constellium Valuation

Is CSTM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CSTM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$22.72
Fair Value
50.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: CSTM ($11.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($22.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CSTM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSTM?

Key metric: As CSTM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CSTM. This is calculated by dividing CSTM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CSTM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.1x
EarningsUS$56.00m
Market CapUS$1.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CSTM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CSTM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average48.5x
CENX Century Aluminum
5.6x9.3%US$1.9b
KALU Kaiser Aluminum
22.6xn/aUS$1.1b
AA Alcoa
156.9x21.4%US$9.0b
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources
8.7x18.1%US$1.6b
CSTM Constellium
29.1x64.0%US$1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CSTM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the peer average (48.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CSTM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AUCO.Y Polymetal International
4xn/aUS$899.89m
MSB Mesabi Trust
3.9xn/aUS$367.49m
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.7xn/aUS$6.62m
CSTM 29.1xIndustry Avg. 23.7xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSTM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (24x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CSTM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CSTM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.1x
Fair PE Ratio52.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CSTM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CSTM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.35
US$19.02
+67.6%
17.2%US$25.12US$15.61n/a5
Mar ’26US$11.38
US$18.26
+60.4%
17.4%US$24.18US$15.02n/a5
Feb ’26US$9.93
US$18.10
+82.3%
22.5%US$23.83US$11.13n/a5
Jan ’26US$10.27
US$18.15
+76.7%
21.9%US$24.04US$11.68n/a5
Dec ’25US$12.26
US$18.00
+46.8%
22.0%US$23.98US$11.65n/a5
Nov ’25US$11.33
US$18.46
+62.9%
21.1%US$24.10US$12.03n/a5
Oct ’25US$16.45
US$23.75
+44.4%
3.2%US$24.93US$22.93n/a5
Sep ’25US$16.77
US$23.75
+41.6%
3.2%US$24.93US$22.93n/a5
Aug ’25US$16.69
US$23.75
+42.3%
3.2%US$24.93US$22.93n/a5
Jul ’25US$18.55
US$25.25
+36.1%
3.9%US$26.75US$23.99n/a6
Jun ’25US$21.67
US$25.42
+17.3%
3.9%US$26.94US$24.16n/a6
May ’25US$19.74
US$25.37
+28.5%
4.1%US$27.04US$24.09n/a6
Apr ’25US$22.28
US$24.45
+9.7%
5.8%US$26.70US$22.03n/a6
Mar ’25US$19.43
US$24.46
+25.9%
5.8%US$26.69US$22.02US$11.386
Feb ’25US$19.26
US$24.64
+27.9%
4.2%US$26.71US$23.74US$9.936
Jan ’25US$19.96
US$24.21
+21.3%
5.5%US$25.21US$21.58US$10.275
Dec ’24US$17.86
US$23.72
+32.8%
6.3%US$24.97US$21.74US$12.265
Nov ’24US$15.75
US$22.99
+46.0%
5.7%US$24.06US$20.94US$11.335
Oct ’24US$18.20
US$22.06
+21.2%
6.3%US$23.99US$20.03US$16.455
Sep ’24US$18.10
US$22.74
+25.7%
6.1%US$24.74US$20.63US$16.776
Aug ’24US$18.82
US$23.00
+22.2%
6.3%US$25.08US$20.91US$16.696
Jul ’24US$17.20
US$20.18
+17.3%
9.5%US$23.73US$17.79US$18.557
Jun ’24US$15.33
US$20.25
+32.1%
9.4%US$23.97US$17.97US$21.677
May ’24US$14.30
US$19.57
+36.8%
6.3%US$21.85US$17.92US$19.746
Apr ’24US$15.28
US$19.51
+27.7%
8.2%US$22.26US$17.20US$22.286
Mar ’24US$16.39
US$19.32
+17.9%
8.3%US$22.03US$17.02US$19.436
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
US$19.02
Fair Value
40.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/21 06:49
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Constellium SE is covered by 24 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David GaglianoBarclays
Joshua SullivanBenchmark Company
Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity Research