Datadog Valuation

Is DDOG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DDOG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DDOG ($114.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($297.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DDOG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DDOG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DDOG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue15.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA409.9x
PEG Ratio10.1x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DDOG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DDOG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14x
TEAM Atlassian
9.6x15.3%US$41.9b
IOT Samsara
24.2x19.1%US$27.0b
APP AppLovin
10.8x12.8%US$42.8b
HUBS HubSpot
11.5x14.9%US$27.5b
DDOG Datadog
16.1x18.4%US$38.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DDOG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.1x) compared to the peer average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DDOG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DDOG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.1x) compared to the US Software industry average (4.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DDOG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DDOG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio16.1x
Fair PS Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DDOG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DDOG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$114.20
US$143.38
+25.6%
8.7%US$160.00US$115.00n/a37
Sep ’25US$116.26
US$144.12
+24.0%
8.2%US$160.00US$115.00n/a37
Aug ’25US$113.10
US$144.28
+27.6%
9.5%US$165.00US$98.00n/a38
Jul ’25US$130.50
US$145.88
+11.8%
13.5%US$230.00US$98.00n/a37
Jun ’25US$110.18
US$146.34
+32.8%
12.7%US$230.00US$115.00n/a37
May ’25US$126.42
US$148.20
+17.2%
12.3%US$230.00US$115.00n/a38
Apr ’25US$123.15
US$147.61
+19.9%
12.6%US$230.00US$115.00n/a37
Mar ’25US$130.22
US$147.49
+13.3%
12.8%US$230.00US$115.00n/a36
Feb ’25US$126.90
US$127.44
+0.4%
18.1%US$230.00US$99.00n/a36
Jan ’25US$121.38
US$120.15
-1.0%
10.6%US$147.00US$99.00n/a34
Dec ’24US$118.62
US$116.11
-2.1%
9.5%US$140.00US$95.00n/a33
Nov ’24US$80.10
US$104.50
+30.5%
12.5%US$133.00US$70.00n/a33
Oct ’24US$91.09
US$106.77
+17.2%
12.5%US$133.00US$70.00n/a32
Sep ’24US$97.73
US$106.48
+9.0%
13.0%US$133.00US$70.00US$116.2633
Aug ’24US$114.95
US$106.47
-7.4%
15.7%US$140.00US$70.00US$113.1032
Jul ’24US$98.38
US$99.56
+1.2%
13.3%US$127.00US$70.00US$130.5030
Jun ’24US$94.99
US$98.96
+4.2%
14.0%US$127.00US$70.00US$110.1830
May ’24US$65.40
US$99.76
+52.5%
14.9%US$127.00US$70.00US$126.4229
Apr ’24US$72.66
US$102.89
+41.6%
11.5%US$127.00US$76.00US$123.1528
Mar ’24US$75.22
US$103.21
+37.2%
11.6%US$127.00US$76.00US$130.2228
Feb ’24US$82.70
US$106.57
+28.9%
16.0%US$155.00US$76.00US$126.9028
Jan ’24US$73.50
US$110.04
+49.7%
16.1%US$162.00US$82.00US$121.3828
Dec ’23US$77.97
US$111.12
+42.5%
16.6%US$162.00US$82.00US$118.6226
Nov ’23US$80.80
US$129.92
+60.8%
22.5%US$192.00US$82.00US$80.1025
Oct ’23US$88.78
US$142.25
+60.2%
18.5%US$214.00US$104.00US$91.0924
Sep ’23US$97.14
US$145.43
+49.7%
17.8%US$214.00US$104.00US$97.7321

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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