Valero Energy Corporation

NYSE:VLO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$35.7b

Valero Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Valero Energy's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 33.6% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 36% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.2% in 3 years.

Key information

33.6%

Earnings growth rate

36.0%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth9.9%
Revenue growth rate-0.4%
Future return on equity14.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated25 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Results: Valero Energy Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Jul 27
Results: Valero Energy Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Recent updates

Valero's Exposure To Renewable Energy And More

Mar 28

Valero Energy Flexes With Energy Policy Changes (Rating Upgrade)

Mar 13

Returns On Capital At Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Have Stalled

Mar 01
Returns On Capital At Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Have Stalled

Are Investors Undervaluing Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO) By 24%?

Feb 14
Are Investors Undervaluing Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO) By 24%?

Valero: Low Crack Spreads Offset Shareholder-Friendly Moves

Jan 29

Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Jan 20
Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Earnings Working Against Valero Energy Corporation's (NYSE:VLO) Share Price

Jan 14
Earnings Working Against Valero Energy Corporation's (NYSE:VLO) Share Price

Does Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Dec 29
Does Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Valero Energy's Third Quarter Highlights 2 Futures: Conventional And Renewable Energies

Nov 18

The Valero Downtrend Post Q3 Earnings Presents An Opportunity

Nov 08

Valero Energy Earnings Preview: Industry Best Operating Costs Shine Bright In A Weak Market

Oct 23

Investors Aren't Buying Valero Energy Corporation's (NYSE:VLO) Earnings

Sep 17
Investors Aren't Buying Valero Energy Corporation's (NYSE:VLO) Earnings

Valero Energy Corporation: A Stalling Bullish Trend

Sep 03

Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Aug 14
Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

The Refining Giant: Valero's Impressive Shareholder Payback

Jul 29

Results: Valero Energy Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Jul 27
Results: Valero Energy Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO) Shares Could Be 40% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jun 26
Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO) Shares Could Be 40% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Valero Energy: Supportive Upside Ahead

Jun 25

Valero: Growing Free Cash Flow To Support Dividend Growth

Jun 12

The Trend Of High Returns At Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Has Us Very Interested

Jun 10
The Trend Of High Returns At Valero Energy (NYSE:VLO) Has Us Very Interested

Valero Energy Corporation's (NYSE:VLO) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

May 26
Valero Energy Corporation's (NYSE:VLO) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

Valero's Buyback Makes Shares Attractive Given A Favorable Environment

May 15

If You Like Buybacks (And Dividends), You'll Love Valero

May 07

Crack Spreads Continue To Support Valero Energy Stock

Apr 05

Valero: Gasoline Prices Will Jump In April, But I Won't Jump On This Rally (Rating Downgrade)

Mar 18

Valero Energy: Adjusting Estimates, But It Is A Buy

Jan 12

Valero's A Dividend And Buyback Gem - If It Drops, I'm Buying

Jan 03

Valero Energy: Holding At Current Levels

Dec 11

Valero Energy: Buy Rating Fueled By 3% Dividend Yield And Undervaluation

Nov 29

Valero Energy: Pressure On Refining Spreads Is Bearish For The Oil Refiner

Nov 02

Valero Energy: A Solid Q3 With A Powerful Buyback In Place

Oct 27

Valero Energy: Taking To 'Hold' After Solid Run (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 04

Valero: Despite Massive Strength, I'm Considering Selling (Rating Downgrade)

Sep 26

Valero: Renewables And Sustainable Fuel Will Contribute To Upside

Aug 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:VLO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027127,5524,0155,3767,5565
12/31/2026121,0652,9004,4326,31410
12/31/2025117,4561,1483,3474,6549
3/31/2025122,3569244,8335,789N/A
12/31/2024123,9742,7625,7766,683N/A
9/30/2024128,7313,6815,9926,852N/A
6/30/2024134,3305,9327,9958,865N/A
3/31/2024134,3566,9937,0597,905N/A
12/31/2023139,0018,8088,3189,229N/A
9/30/2023145,45510,71011,01412,086N/A
6/30/2023151,76010,9029,50810,823N/A
3/31/2023169,08713,64013,59415,156N/A
12/31/2022171,18911,48510,89312,574N/A
9/30/2022165,1579,3919,16010,932N/A
6/30/2022149,8267,0478,56410,336N/A
3/31/2022124,6452,5314,7896,499N/A
12/31/2021108,3329244,1945,859N/A
9/30/202189,220-4431,8383,501N/A
6/30/202175,780-1,3706102,217N/A
3/31/202160,187-281-747945N/A
12/31/202060,115-1,426-840948N/A
9/30/202071,240-106832,560N/A
6/30/202082,6201,0631,8833,824N/A
3/31/2020100,5304252,5644,605N/A
12/31/2019102,7292,4153,5375,531N/A
9/30/2019103,6822,3083,1815,501N/A
6/30/2019107,3432,5542,2444,568N/A
3/31/2019109,3652,7852,8325,110N/A
12/31/2018111,4073,113N/A4,371N/A
9/30/2018108,9534,524N/A4,353N/A
6/30/2018101,5574,510N/A4,894N/A
3/31/201892,8824,215N/A4,632N/A
12/31/201788,4074,051N/A5,482N/A
9/30/201782,9672,058N/A4,820N/A
6/30/201779,1031,830N/A4,646N/A
3/31/201776,3472,096N/A5,168N/A
12/31/201670,1662,282N/A4,820N/A
9/30/201667,9582,216N/A4,309N/A
6/30/201670,7482,980N/A4,808N/A
3/31/201676,2393,518N/A4,818N/A
12/31/201581,8243,987N/A5,611N/A
9/30/201592,4094,844N/A6,121N/A
6/30/2015105,7764,527N/A6,625N/A
3/31/2015117,0853,827N/A5,430N/A
12/31/2014124,9433,692N/A4,241N/A
9/30/2014137,4143,826N/A5,773N/A
6/30/2014139,1433,078N/A4,128N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: VLO's forecast earnings growth (33.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: VLO's earnings (33.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: VLO's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: VLO's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: VLO's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: VLO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/27 14:48
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/25 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Valero Energy Corporation is covered by 43 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theresa ChenBarclays
Yim ChengBarclays