company background image
GEO logo

GEO Group NYSE:GEO Stock Report

Last Price

US$31.67

Market Cap

US$4.4b

7D

3.6%

1Y

116.2%

Updated

04 May, 2025

Data

Company Financials +

GEO Stock Overview

Owns, leases, operates, and manages secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. More details

GEO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends0/6

Community vs My Fair Value

Create Narrative

Select a narrative for quick price alerts from the community, or create your own.

US$44.80
FV
29.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
14.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
17users have followed this narrative
3 days ago author updated this narrative

The GEO Group, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for GEO Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$31.67
52 Week HighUS$36.46
52 Week LowUS$11.75
Beta0.75
1 Month Change17.25%
3 Month Change2.26%
1 Year Change116.18%
3 Year Change331.47%
5 Year Change175.39%
Change since IPO3,067.00%

Recent News & Updates

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Apr 27
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Mar 22
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward

Mar 21

Recent updates

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Apr 27
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Mar 22
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward

Mar 21

The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Mar 04
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively

Feb 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively

GEO Group: Shares Have Gotten Ahead Of Growth Potential

Feb 10

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Jan 18
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

The GEO Group: Further Upside Potential From Trump's Immigration Policy

Jan 13

When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?

Dec 31
When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Dec 16
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?

Dec 04
Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

Oct 29
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

GEO Group: Financial Deterioration Amid Debt Reduction Focus

Oct 24
author-image

Calculated Contracts And Legislative Developments Fuel Growth In Managed Services And Tech Solutions

Sep 12 New contracts with ICE and in Australia are poised to drive revenue growth in the managed-only segment from increased contract activations.

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Sep 05
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings

Aug 15
We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price

Aug 13
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price

GEO Group: Golden Opportunity Following The 32% Selloff

Aug 06

We Think GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Jul 29
We Think GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Is There An Opportunity With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) 47% Undervaluation?

Jul 15
Is There An Opportunity With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) 47% Undervaluation?

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

May 08
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Apr 22
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Geo Group: A Potential Election Play

Apr 17

Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Apr 07
Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

GEO Group Could Resume The Dividend Sooner Than Later

Jan 29

GEO Group Offers Attractive 10% Yields On Long Term Debt

Jan 22

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Dec 20
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

GEO Group: Despite Uneven Results, A Lot Of Upside Remains

Nov 15

GEO Group: The Opportunity Is Still Big

Nov 08

GEO Group: The Valuation Expansion Story May Have Just Begun

Oct 03

Unlocking Hidden Value: The GEO Group's Remarkable Transformation In A Niche Industry

Sep 14

Is GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) A Risky Investment?

Sep 02
Is GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) A Risky Investment?

GEO Group: While A Disappointment, Potential Catalysts Remain

Aug 31

Inexpensive GEO Group May Benefit From Immigration Changes

Aug 01

GEO Group: Solid Fundamentals And Extremely Cheap

Jul 19

The GEO Group Stock May Have Bottomed - Buy

Jun 30

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Returns On Capital

May 21
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Returns On Capital

The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Apr 28
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Shareholder Returns

GEOUS Commercial ServicesUS Market
7D3.6%2.2%3.0%
1Y116.2%16.8%10.1%

Return vs Industry: GEO exceeded the US Commercial Services industry which returned 16.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GEO exceeded the US Market which returned 10% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GEO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GEO volatility
GEO Average Weekly Movement7.7%
Commercial Services Industry Average Movement8.2%
Market Average Movement7.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market4.1%

Stable Share Price: GEO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: GEO's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
198416,500Dave Donahuewww.geogroup.com

The GEO Group, Inc. owns, leases, operates, and manages secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services; Reentry Services; and International Services.

The GEO Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do GEO Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GEO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$4.41b
Earnings (TTM)US$29.86m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.42b

147.6x

P/E Ratio

1.8x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GEO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.42b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.77b
Gross ProfitUS$649.22m
Other ExpensesUS$619.36m
EarningsUS$29.86m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2024

Next Earnings Date

May 07, 2025

Earnings per share (EPS)0.21
Gross Margin26.79%
Net Profit Margin1.23%
Debt/Equity Ratio128.4%

How did GEO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/04 08:23
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The GEO Group, Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian HoffmanAvondale Partners
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Ryan MelikerCanaccord Genuity