AutoNation Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

AutoNation is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.4% and 3.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.4% in 3 years.

Key information

6.4%

Earnings growth rate

9.2%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	9.3%
Revenue growth rate	3.7%
Future return on equity	19.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	23 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On AutoNation, Inc.'s (NYSE:AN) Full-Year Report

Feb 18

AutoNation, Inc. Just Recorded A 8.2% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Apr 30

Recent updates

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On AutoNation, Inc.'s (NYSE:AN) Full-Year Report

Feb 18

AutoNation: Debt Maturity Looms While EBITDA, Cash Flow And Margins Erode

Feb 11

AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

Jan 31

What Does AutoNation, Inc.'s (NYSE:AN) Share Price Indicate?

Dec 31

AutoNation: The Bull Case Remains Intact

Dec 23

Calculating The Fair Value Of AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN)

Dec 16

Investors Will Want AutoNation's (NYSE:AN) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Nov 25

AutoNation: There Are Better Opportunities On The Market

Oct 09

At US$177, Is AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 24

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From AutoNation, Inc.'s (NYSE:AN) Share Price

Sep 11

An Intrinsic Calculation For AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued

Aug 28

Navigating Challenges And Embracing Opportunities In Automotive Retail For Sustained Growth

Aug 28 Expansion in used vehicle sales and service segment improvements suggest potential for increased revenue and margins.

Why The 21% Return On Capital At AutoNation (NYSE:AN) Should Have Your Attention

Aug 15

AutoNation: The Ride Isn't Over Yet

Jul 26

AutoNation: Superb Economics With Minimal Reinvestment Opportunities

Jul 18

Is AutoNation (NYSE:AN) Using Too Much Debt?

Jul 15

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN)?

Jun 05

AutoNation, Inc. Just Recorded A 8.2% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Apr 30

AutoNation: Strong Q1 Results With Aggressive Buybacks Continuing

Apr 26

AutoNation: Electrification Efforts, And Cheap At 7x EBITDA

Feb 20

AutoNation: A Solid Value Stock Buy

Nov 21

AutoNation: A Solid Q3, Aided By An Accretive Buyback Program

Oct 27

Lithia Motors And AutoNation: 2 Interesting Ways To Play The Auto Strike

Sep 26

AutoNation: Near-Term Earnings To Remain Weak, Pressuring Valuation

Jul 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	29,342	804	729	963	5
12/31/2026	27,805	748	767	840	13
12/31/2025	27,186	697	711	864	14
12/31/2024	26,765	692	-14	315	N/A
9/30/2024	26,320	722	-260	126	N/A
6/30/2024	26,626	780	59	452	N/A
3/31/2024	27,036	923	100	509	N/A
12/31/2023	26,949	1,020	314	724	N/A
9/30/2023	26,879	1,090	609	987	N/A
6/30/2023	26,652	1,199	912	1,280	N/A
3/31/2023	26,631	1,303	1,167	1,535	N/A
12/31/2022	26,985	1,378	1,339	1,668	N/A
9/30/2022	26,870	1,479	1,221	1,512	N/A
6/30/2022	26,584	1,488	1,333	1,592	N/A
3/31/2022	26,693	1,496	1,514	1,745	N/A
12/31/2021	25,844	1,373	1,412	1,628	N/A
9/30/2021	25,047	1,138	1,398	1,603	N/A
6/30/2021	24,072	959	1,047	1,244	N/A
3/31/2021	21,627	854	1,465	1,620	N/A
12/31/2020	20,390	382	1,052	1,208	N/A
9/30/2020	20,154	388	1,072	1,268	N/A
6/30/2020	20,210	305	1,016	1,238	N/A
3/31/2020	21,021	127	372	623	N/A
12/31/2019	21,336	451	500	769	N/A
9/30/2019	21,199	386	338	641	N/A
6/30/2019	21,087	398	325	646	N/A
3/31/2019	21,135	395	213	572	N/A
12/31/2018	21,413	396	110	511	N/A
9/30/2018	21,685	455	N/A	618	N/A
6/30/2018	21,768	440	N/A	592	N/A
3/31/2018	21,655	430	N/A	553	N/A
12/31/2017	21,535	435	N/A	540	N/A
9/30/2017	21,332	399	N/A	494	N/A
6/30/2017	21,467	409	N/A	527	N/A
3/31/2017	21,629	434	N/A	503	N/A
12/31/2016	21,609	432	N/A	516	N/A
9/30/2016	21,468	414	N/A	511	N/A
6/30/2016	21,255	425	N/A	493	N/A
3/31/2016	21,037	428	N/A	506	N/A
12/31/2015	20,862	444	N/A	507	N/A
9/30/2015	20,570	463	N/A	508	N/A
6/30/2015	20,125	451	N/A	517	N/A
3/31/2015	19,690	436	N/A	469	N/A
12/31/2014	19,109	420	N/A	485	N/A
9/30/2014	18,585	413	N/A	469	N/A
6/30/2014	18,147	399	N/A	416	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AN's forecast earnings growth (6.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: AN's earnings (6.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: AN's revenue (3.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AN's revenue (3.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.4%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/04/24 06:57
End of Day Share Price	2025/04/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AutoNation, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Ishan Majumdar	Baptista Research
Andrew Fung	Berenberg
John Murphy	BofA Global Research

AutoNation Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On AutoNation, Inc.'s (NYSE:AN) Full-Year Report

AutoNation, Inc. Just Recorded A 8.2% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Recent updates

AutoNation Announces the Appointment of Jeremy Tucker as Chief Marketing Officer, Effective April 21, 2025

AutoNation, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 25, 2025

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN)?

Estimating The Fair Value Of AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN)

AutoNation, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 23, 2025

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For AutoNation (NYSE:AN)

CEO & Director exercised options and sold US$1.6m worth of stock

Insider recently sold US$83m worth of stock

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On AutoNation, Inc.'s (NYSE:AN) Full-Year Report

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

AutoNation: Debt Maturity Looms While EBITDA, Cash Flow And Margins Erode

AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

AutoNation, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 11, 2025

What Does AutoNation, Inc.'s (NYSE:AN) Share Price Indicate?

AutoNation: The Bull Case Remains Intact

Calculating The Fair Value Of AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN)

Insufficient new directors

Investors Will Want AutoNation's (NYSE:AN) Growth In ROCE To Persist

CEO & Director exercised options and sold US$1.1m worth of stock

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

AutoNation: There Are Better Opportunities On The Market

AutoNation, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 25, 2024

At US$177, Is AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN) Worth Looking At Closely?

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From AutoNation, Inc.'s (NYSE:AN) Share Price

Insider recently sold US$9.2m worth of stock

An Intrinsic Calculation For AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued

Navigating Challenges And Embracing Opportunities In Automotive Retail For Sustained Growth

Why The 21% Return On Capital At AutoNation (NYSE:AN) Should Have Your Attention

Insider recently sold US$10m worth of stock

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

AutoNation: The Ride Isn't Over Yet

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Insider recently sold US$22m worth of stock

AutoNation: Superb Economics With Minimal Reinvestment Opportunities

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

AutoNation, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 31, 2024

Is AutoNation (NYSE:AN) Using Too Much Debt?

AutoNation, Inc. Appoints Claire Bennett to Board of Directors

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN)?

Now 21% undervalued

Now 20% undervalued

Independent Director recently sold US$1.7m worth of stock

AutoNation, Inc. Just Recorded A 8.2% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Now 22% undervalued

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$4.49 (vs US$6.10 in 1Q 2023)

AutoNation: Strong Q1 Results With Aggressive Buybacks Continuing

AutoNation, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 26, 2024

AutoNation Reportedly Eyes Driving Seat at Inchcape UK

Insider recently sold US$99m worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued

AutoNation, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 24, 2024

Independent Director recently sold US$549k worth of stock

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

AutoNation: Electrification Efforts, And Cheap At 7x EBITDA

Insider recently sold US$1.7m worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

AutoNation, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 13, 2024

Insider recently sold US$54m worth of stock

Insider recently sold US$34m worth of stock

Insufficient new directors

Insider recently sold US$23m worth of stock

AutoNation: A Solid Value Stock Buy

AutoNation, Inc. Offers Consumers Leases Without Long-Term Commitments

AutoNation, Inc. Offers Consumers Leases Without Long-Term Commitments

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

AutoNation: A Solid Q3, Aided By An Accretive Buyback Program

AutoNation, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 27, 2023

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Lithia Motors And AutoNation: 2 Interesting Ways To Play The Auto Strike

AutoNation, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

Independent Director recently sold US$2.7m worth of stock

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Executive VP recently sold US$722k worth of stock