Loading...
MTS logo

Metcash LimitedASX:MTS Stock Report

Market Cap AU$3.5b
Share Price
AU$3.14
AU$4.42
29.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-13.7%
7D6.8%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Metcash Limited

ASX:MTS Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$3.5b

MTS Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 76 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Metcash Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Metcash
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$3.14
52 Week HighAU$4.26
52 Week LowAU$2.63
Beta0.40
1 Month Change7.53%
3 Month Change6.08%
1 Year Change-13.74%
3 Year Change-12.53%
5 Year Change-13.74%
Change since IPO110.74%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Jun 05

MTS: Bullish New Coverage And Earnings Guidance Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update on Metcash Analysts have trimmed their Metcash fair value estimate from A$3.63 to A$3.54, reflecting slightly adjusted views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent research coverage. What's in the News Metcash issued unaudited group earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending April 30, 2026, with estimated group revenue of A$19.6b.
New Narrative May 13

Digital Marketplace Expansion And Retail Media Will Reshape Long Term Earnings Quality

Catalysts About Metcash Metcash supplies independent retailers and trade customers across food, liquor, hardware and tools with wholesale, distribution and related retail support services. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 28

MTS: Constructive New Coverage And Execution Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Metcash price target from A$3.77 to A$3.63 as updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and future P/E bring fair value estimates slightly lower, even though recent research maintains a constructive stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the recent initiation of coverage with a positive view, which they see as support for the case that current pricing already reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and margins.
New Narrative Apr 17

Digital Marketplace Expansion And Systems Upgrade Will Shape Long Term Earnings Profile

Catalysts About Metcash Metcash is a wholesale, distribution and retail partner to independent supermarkets, liquor stores, hardware outlets and trade tools retailers across Australia. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 11

MTS: Constructive New Coverage And Lower Risk Profile Will Support Upside

Analysts have lifted their Metcash price target to A$3.77, highlighting a slightly lower discount rate and marginally adjusted long term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, following fresh Street research that takes a more constructive view on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the more constructive Street research as support for a higher valuation, reflected in the A$3.77 price target that assumes modestly improved long term revenue growth and profit margins.

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 05

MTS: Bullish New Coverage And Earnings Guidance Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update on Metcash Analysts have trimmed their Metcash fair value estimate from A$3.63 to A$3.54, reflecting slightly adjusted views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions following recent research coverage. What's in the News Metcash issued unaudited group earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending April 30, 2026, with estimated group revenue of A$19.6b.
New Narrative May 13

Digital Marketplace Expansion And Retail Media Will Reshape Long Term Earnings Quality

Catalysts About Metcash Metcash supplies independent retailers and trade customers across food, liquor, hardware and tools with wholesale, distribution and related retail support services. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 28

MTS: Constructive New Coverage And Execution Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Metcash price target from A$3.77 to A$3.63 as updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and future P/E bring fair value estimates slightly lower, even though recent research maintains a constructive stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the recent initiation of coverage with a positive view, which they see as support for the case that current pricing already reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and margins.
New Narrative Apr 17

Digital Marketplace Expansion And Systems Upgrade Will Shape Long Term Earnings Profile

Catalysts About Metcash Metcash is a wholesale, distribution and retail partner to independent supermarkets, liquor stores, hardware outlets and trade tools retailers across Australia. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 11

MTS: Constructive New Coverage And Lower Risk Profile Will Support Upside

Analysts have lifted their Metcash price target to A$3.77, highlighting a slightly lower discount rate and marginally adjusted long term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, following fresh Street research that takes a more constructive view on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the more constructive Street research as support for a higher valuation, reflected in the A$3.77 price target that assumes modestly improved long term revenue growth and profit margins.
Narrative Update Mar 28

MTS: Refined Margins And New Coverage Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to Metcash's fair value estimate to A$3.77, reflecting slightly refined assumptions on discount rate, profit margin, and future P/E after new positive research coverage from other analysts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the new A$3.77 fair value estimate as better aligned with refined assumptions on discount rate and profit margins, which they see as more reflective of Metcash's current execution on its core businesses.
Narrative Update Mar 13

MTS: Higher Discount Rate And Stable Margins Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Metcash price target from A$3.91 to A$3.77. This reflects refreshed assumptions around discount rate, modest revenue growth, slightly lower profit margin, and future P/E inputs.
Narrative Update Feb 26

MTS: Stable Margins And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have kept their A$3.91 price target for Metcash broadly unchanged, with only marginal tweaks to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. These adjustments reflect fine tuning of their valuation models rather than a shift in view on the stock.
Narrative Update Feb 09

MTS: Steady Margins And Updated Discount Rate Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Metcash slightly lower, from A$3.93 to A$3.91. The change reflects updated assumptions around the discount rate and P/E settings, while revenue growth and profit margin expectations remain broadly unchanged.
Narrative Update Jan 25

MTS: Future Margin Stability Will Support Share Price Upside

Analysts have held Metcash's fair value estimate steady at A$3.93 per share, with only minor tweaks to the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and future P/E expectations informing the unchanged price target. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at A$3.93 per share, reflecting a stable overall view of Metcash's valuation.
Narrative Update Jan 08

MTS: Future Margin Gains Are Expected To Support Share Price Upside

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Metcash at A$3.93 per share. They adjusted inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions to reflect updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings mix, without changing the overall price target.
Analysis Article Dec 23

Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.9x Metcash Limited ( ASX:MTS ) may be sending bullish signals at the...
Narrative Update Dec 16

MTS: Future Margin And Revenue Improvements Are Expected To Support Share Price Upside

Analysts have lowered their price target on Metcash by approximately $0.11. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and a modestly lower valuation multiple, partly offset by improved expectations for revenue growth and profit margins.
Narrative Update Dec 01

MTS: Future Margin Stability Is Expected To Support Continued Share Price Upside

Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Metcash downward from $4.24 to $4.04. They cite updated outlooks on discount rates, revenue growth, and profit margins as key drivers of the adjustment.
Analysis Article Sep 30

The Returns At Metcash (ASX:MTS) Aren't Growing

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analysis Article Sep 06

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Jun 25

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Metcash Limited ( ASX:MTS ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...
Analysis Article May 12

Returns On Capital At Metcash (ASX:MTS) Have Stalled

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
User avatar
New Narrative Apr 25

Acquisitions And Synergies Will Transform Diverse Sectors

Strategic acquisitions and diversified segments enhance resilience, growth opportunities, and potential margin improvements, even amid economic challenges.
Analysis Article Apr 04

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) Tunnel

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Dec 05

Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS) Just Reported Half-Yearly Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Investors in Metcash Limited ( ASX:MTS ) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.1% to close at AU$3.31 following the...
Analysis Article Sep 25

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Returns Have Hit A Wall

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...
Analysis Article Jul 15

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Metcash Limited ( ASX:MTS ) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to A$0.085 on the 27th of...
Analysis Article Jul 05

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Metcash (ASX:MTS) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

Metcash Limited's ( ASX:MTS ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We think that investors might...
Analysis Article May 02

Is There An Opportunity With Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) 37% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Metcash's estimated fair value is AU$6.06 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Metcash is estimated...
Analysis Article Feb 14

Little Excitement Around Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) Earnings

Metcash Limited's ( ASX:MTS ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.3x might make it look like a buy right now...
Analysis Article Jan 09

Returns On Capital At Metcash (ASX:MTS) Have Hit The Brakes

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article Dec 11

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Dividend Will Be A$0.11

The board of Metcash Limited ( ASX:MTS ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of January, with...
Analysis Article Nov 07

Is Now The Time To Put Metcash (ASX:MTS) On Your Watchlist?

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analysis Article Sep 29

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Metcash (ASX:MTS)

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
Analysis Article Aug 28

Here's Why Metcash (ASX:MTS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Jun 29

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Dividend Will Be A$0.11

Metcash Limited's ( ASX:MTS ) investors are due to receive a payment of A$0.11 per share on 21st of August. Based on...
Analysis Article Jun 15

Return Trends At Metcash (ASX:MTS) Aren't Appealing

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...
Analysis Article May 19

A Look At The Fair Value Of Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Metcash fair value estimate is AU$4.43 Metcash's AU$3.78 share...
Analysis Article Mar 16

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article Jan 03

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS)

Key Insights Metcash's estimated fair value is AU$4.9 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price of...
Analysis Article Dec 21

Does Metcash (ASX:MTS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Dec 07

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Metcash Limited's ( ASX:MTS ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to A$0.115 on...
Analysis Article Nov 25

The Returns At Metcash (ASX:MTS) Aren't Growing

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...
Analysis Article Oct 01

Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 72% Above Its Share Price

In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Metcash Limited ( ASX:MTS ) by taking the forecast...

Shareholder Returns

MTSAU Consumer RetailingAU Market
7D6.8%5.2%-1.6%
1Y-13.7%5.1%-0.4%

Return vs Industry: MTS underperformed the Australian Consumer Retailing industry which returned 5.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MTS underperformed the Australian Market which returned -0.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MTS's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MTS volatility
MTS Average Weekly Movement4.0%
Consumer Retailing Industry Average Movement3.8%
Market Average Movement10.1%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market17.2%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market4.0%

Stable Share Price: MTS has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: MTS's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
192711,500Doug Joneswww.metcash.com

Metcash Limited operates as a wholesale distribution and marketing company in Australia. It operates through Food, Liquor, and Hardware segments. The Food segment distributes a range of products and services to independent supermarket, convenience retail outlets, and food service customers.

Metcash Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Metcash's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MTS fundamental statistics
Market capAU$3.45b
Earnings (TTM)AU$283.70m
Revenue (TTM)AU$17.33b
12.2x
P/E Ratio
0.2x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MTS income statement (TTM)
RevenueAU$17.33b
Cost of RevenueAU$15.06b
Gross ProfitAU$2.27b
Other ExpensesAU$1.99b
EarningsAU$283.70m

Last Reported Earnings

Oct 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

Jun 22, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)0.26
Gross Margin13.12%
Net Profit Margin1.64%
Debt/Equity Ratio41.2%

How did MTS perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

5.7%
Current Dividend Yield
70%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/10 03:23
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/10 00:00
Earnings2025/10/31
Annual Earnings2025/04/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Metcash Limited is covered by 22 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Thomas KierathBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
David ErringtonBofA Global Research
Enitan AdebonojoCFRA Research