Metcash Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Metcash is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.9% and 4.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.7% in 3 years.

Key information

7.9%

Earnings growth rate

7.2%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth	17.7%
Revenue growth rate	4.2%
Future return on equity	18.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS) Just Reported Half-Yearly Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Dec 05

Recent updates

Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS) Just Reported Half-Yearly Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Dec 05

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Sep 25

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Jul 15

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Metcash (ASX:MTS) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

Jul 05

Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 72% Above Its Share Price

Oct 01

Here's What To Make Of Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Decelerating Rates Of Return

Aug 20

These 4 Measures Indicate That Metcash (ASX:MTS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Aug 05

Is There An Opportunity With Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) 38% Undervaluation?

Jun 30

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

May 17

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Mar 26

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Feb 15

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:MTS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
4/30/2027	18,473	322	392	491	7
4/30/2026	17,937	294	327	473	8
4/30/2025	17,405	272	137	297	8
10/31/2024	16,546	258	279	429	N/A
7/31/2024	16,229	258	313	456	N/A
4/30/2024	15,912	257	347	483	N/A
1/31/2024	15,908	266	360	492	N/A
10/31/2023	15,903	274	373	501	N/A
7/31/2023	15,853	267	297	437	N/A
4/30/2023	15,803	259	221	373	N/A
1/31/2023	15,778	251	194	341	N/A
10/31/2022	15,752	242	168	310	N/A
7/31/2022	15,458	244	239	371	N/A
4/30/2022	15,165	245	311	432	N/A
1/31/2022	14,786	244	284	403	N/A
10/31/2021	14,406	243	257	373	N/A
7/31/2021	14,361	241	323	424	N/A
4/30/2021	14,315	239	390	476	N/A
1/31/2021	14,055	229	336	410	N/A
10/31/2020	13,795	220	282	344	N/A
7/31/2020	13,410	82	169	231	N/A
4/30/2020	13,025	-57	56	118	N/A
1/31/2020	12,893	-56	105	165	N/A
10/31/2019	12,761	-55	153	213	N/A
7/31/2019	12,711	69	172	229	N/A
4/30/2019	12,660	193	191	245	N/A
1/31/2019	12,618	24	193	240	N/A
10/31/2018	12,577	-145	195	235	N/A
7/31/2018	12,509	-147	N/A	256	N/A
4/30/2018	12,442	-148	N/A	276	N/A
1/31/2018	13,030	21	N/A	306	N/A
10/31/2017	13,617	190	N/A	335	N/A
7/31/2017	13,870	181	N/A	320	N/A
4/30/2017	14,122	172	N/A	305	N/A
10/31/2016	13,356	166	N/A	293	N/A
7/31/2016	13,379	172	N/A	230	N/A
4/30/2016	13,403	178	N/A	166	N/A
10/31/2015	13,461	-409	N/A	107	N/A
7/31/2015	13,415	-406	N/A	169	N/A
4/30/2015	13,370	-404	N/A	232	N/A
10/31/2014	13,329	165	N/A	287	N/A
7/31/2014	13,361	172	N/A	338	N/A
4/30/2014	13,393	180	N/A	389	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MTS's forecast earnings growth (7.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: MTS's earnings (7.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MTS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MTS's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MTS's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MTS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.7%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 00:19
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/10/31
Annual Earnings	2024/04/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Metcash Limited is covered by 25 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Thomas Kierath	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
David Errington	BofA Global Research

Metcash Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS) Just Reported Half-Yearly Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

Price target decreased by 8.7% to AU$3.79

Price target increased by 8.9% to AU$4.24

Recent updates

Metcash Limited Appoints Marina Go as Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 February 2025

Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS) Just Reported Half-Yearly Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

First half dividend of AU$0.085 announced

First half 2025 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.13 (vs AU$0.14 in 1H 2024)

Metcash Limited Announces Appointment of David Whittle as Non-Executive Director

Drake Supermarkets Pty. Ltd. acquired remaining 26% stake in Dramet Holdings Pty. Ltd. from Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS) for AUD 18 million.

Price target decreased by 8.7% to AU$3.79

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Metcash Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Jun 23, 2025

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Metcash (ASX:MTS) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

Final dividend reduced to AU$0.085

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS) acquired Superior Food Group Pty Ltd for approximately AUD 410 million.

Metcash Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Dec 02, 2024

Is There An Opportunity With Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) 37% Undervaluation?

Price target increased by 8.9% to AU$4.24

Little Excitement Around Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) Earnings

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS) entered into binding agreement to acquire Superior Food Group Pty Ltd for approximately AUD 410 million.

Metcash Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 300.000001 million.

Metcash Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 300.000001 million.

Returns On Capital At Metcash (ASX:MTS) Have Hit The Brakes

Metcash Limited Appoints Kylie Wallbridge as CEO of the Liquor Pillar

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Dividend Will Be A$0.11

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.11 per share at 6.3% yield

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.14 (vs AU$0.13 in 1H 2023)

Metcash Limited Announces an Ordinary Fully Paid Dividend for the Period of Six Months Ended October 31, 2023, Payable on January 30, 2024

Metcash Limited Announces an Ordinary Fully Paid for the Period of Six Months Ended October 31, 2023, Payable on January 30, 2024

Is Now The Time To Put Metcash (ASX:MTS) On Your Watchlist?

Metcash Limited, Annual General Meeting, Sep 13, 2024

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Metcash (ASX:MTS)

Metcash Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Jun 24, 2024

Here's Why Metcash (ASX:MTS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Metcash Limited Announces CFO Changes

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.11 per share at 6.1% yield

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Dividend Will Be A$0.11

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Return Trends At Metcash (ASX:MTS) Aren't Appealing

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

A Look At The Fair Value Of Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS)

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$285k worth of stock

Independent Non Executive Director recently bought AU$94k worth of stock

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

Metcash Limited Announces Resignation of Scott Marshall, CEO of the Food Pillar

Metcash Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Jun 26, 2023

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Metcash Limited (ASX:MTS)

Does Metcash (ASX:MTS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.12 per share

Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Metcash Limited Announces Retirement of Alistair Bell as Group CFO

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.13 (vs AU$0.13 in 1H 2022)

The Returns At Metcash (ASX:MTS) Aren't Growing

Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 72% Above Its Share Price

Insider recently bought AU$62k worth of stock

Metcash Limited Elects Mark Johnson as Director

Here's What To Make Of Metcash's (ASX:MTS) Decelerating Rates Of Return

These 4 Measures Indicate That Metcash (ASX:MTS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Metcash Limited Announces Board Changes

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.11 per share

Is There An Opportunity With Metcash Limited's (ASX:MTS) 38% Undervaluation?

Metcash Limited to Pay A Fully Franked 2022 Final Dividend, Payable in Cash on 10 August 2022

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.25 (vs AU$0.23 in FY 2021)

Metcash, Coles Reportedly Exit Food Fight

Quadrant Reportedly Pushing Ahead with Sale Plans for Superior Food Services

Metcash (ASX:MTS) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Now 20% undervalued