AeroVironment, Inc.

NasdaqGS:AVAV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.7b

AeroVironment Valuation

Is AVAV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AVAV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$165.71
Fair Value
40.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: AVAV ($232.24) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($165.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AVAV is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AVAV?

Key metric: As AVAV is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AVAV. This is calculated by dividing AVAV's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AVAV's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio14.1x
SalesUS$820.63m
Market CapUS$11.69b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AVAV's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AVAV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.7x
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
8.9x14.12%US$10.8b
WWD Woodward
4.3x7.35%US$14.7b
DRS Leonardo DRS
3.2x6.06%US$11.0b
ATI ATI
2.2x6.45%US$9.9b
AVAV AeroVironment
14.1x22.25%US$11.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AVAV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (4.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AVAV's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SPR Spirit AeroSystems Holdings
0.7x13.64%US$4.67b
VVX V2X
0.4x4.51%US$1.89b
LLAP Terran Orbital
0.4x29.47%US$51.22m
SIF SIFCO Industries
0.5xn/aUS$41.41m
AVAV 14.1xIndustry Avg. 3.0xNo. of Companies17PS03.67.210.814.418+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AVAV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.1x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AVAV's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AVAV PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio14.1x
Fair PS Ratio5.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AVAV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AVAV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$232.24
US$282.57
+21.67%
16.88%US$325.00US$157.27n/a11
Aug ’26US$260.07
US$265.16
+1.96%
21.09%US$320.00US$157.27n/a8
Jul ’26US$252.40
US$238.53
-5.49%
19.94%US$301.00US$157.27n/a8
Jun ’26US$178.03
US$184.71
+3.75%
14.26%US$225.00US$146.00n/a6
May ’26US$155.21
US$195.94
+26.24%
14.27%US$225.00US$146.00n/a5
Apr ’26US$121.79
US$194.92
+60.05%
15.99%US$225.00US$146.00n/a4
Mar ’26US$149.62
US$226.74
+51.54%
3.42%US$240.00US$218.68n/a5
Feb ’26US$180.15
US$230.74
+28.08%
4.55%US$245.00US$218.68n/a5
Jan ’26US$153.89
US$230.74
+49.94%
4.55%US$245.00US$218.68n/a5
Dec ’25US$194.50
US$227.28
+16.85%
5.41%US$245.00US$210.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$216.00
US$231.00
+6.94%
5.87%US$245.00US$210.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$211.09
US$224.00
+6.12%
5.54%US$245.00US$210.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$203.76
US$225.00
+10.42%
6.59%US$245.00US$200.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$174.34
US$207.20
+18.85%
13.97%US$245.00US$161.00US$260.075
Jul ’25US$175.67
US$207.20
+17.95%
13.97%US$245.00US$161.00US$252.405
Jun ’25US$202.15
US$185.25
-8.36%
8.10%US$200.00US$161.00US$178.034
May ’25US$162.53
US$180.25
+10.90%
9.65%US$200.00US$161.00US$155.214
Apr ’25US$149.42
US$179.00
+19.80%
10.38%US$200.00US$160.00US$121.794
Mar ’25US$128.73
US$150.50
+16.91%
2.42%US$155.00US$145.00US$149.624
Feb ’25US$121.92
US$150.50
+23.44%
2.42%US$155.00US$145.00US$180.154
Jan ’25US$126.04
US$150.50
+19.41%
2.42%US$155.00US$145.00US$153.894
Dec ’24US$139.71
US$139.25
-0.33%
8.55%US$152.00US$125.00US$194.504
Nov ’24US$116.91
US$125.75
+7.56%
3.00%US$130.00US$120.00US$216.004
Oct ’24US$111.53
US$123.20
+10.46%
6.86%US$130.00US$108.00US$211.095
Sep ’24US$98.05
US$112.60
+14.84%
10.09%US$130.00US$95.00US$203.765
Aug ’24US$97.98
US$108.83
+11.08%
12.28%US$130.00US$90.00US$174.346
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
US$282.57
Fair Value
17.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/08/20 23:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/08/20 00:00
Earnings2025/04/30
Annual Earnings2025/04/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AeroVironment, Inc. is covered by 32 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Peter ArmentBaird
George PriceBB&T Capital Markets
Yi Hsiao MillwardBenchmark Company