Tractor Supply Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Tractor Supply is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.8% and 5.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 48.5% in 3 years.
Key information
6.8%
Earnings growth rate
8.1%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail earnings growth | 9.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.7% |
| Future return on equity | 48.5% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 13 Jan 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Earnings Update: Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Just Reported Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Oct 27
Results: Tractor Supply Company Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Apr 28Recent updates
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO)
Jan 07Tractor Supply Company's (NASDAQ:TSCO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
Dec 23Rural Riches - Why Tractor Supply Is A Dividend Stock Worth Owning
Dec 07Tractor Supply Company: Cautious Heading Into Q4
Nov 17When Should You Buy Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO)?
Nov 10Earnings Update: Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Just Reported Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Oct 27Does Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Oct 21Estimating The Fair Value Of Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO)
Oct 07Many Would Be Envious Of Tractor Supply's (NASDAQ:TSCO) Excellent Returns On Capital
Sep 24Tractor Supply: Loyalty Program Improves Customer Engagement
Sep 15Tractor Supply: More Than A 'Discretionary Goods' Retailer
Aug 14Getting In Cheap On Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Is Unlikely
Jul 29Tractor Supply: Now Back To A Buy (Rating Upgrade)
Jul 26Is It Time To Consider Buying Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO)?
Jul 15Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO)
Jun 23The Tractor Supply Company + Real Estate Combo: A Recipe For Superior Returns
May 24Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
May 12Results: Tractor Supply Company Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Apr 28Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
Apr 21There's Reason For Concern Over Tractor Supply Company's (NASDAQ:TSCO) Price
Apr 07Calculating The Fair Value Of Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO)
Mar 10Tractor Supply: Waiting For This Dividend Grower To Go On Sale
Feb 15Tractor Supply's (NASDAQ:TSCO) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Feb 09Tractor Supply Is Ready To Ride Higher On Earnings
Jan 29Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
Jan 17Tractor Supply May Be One Of The Most Underappreciated Dividend Stocks
Jan 14Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 17,941 | 1,394 | N/A | 1,987 | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 16,710 | 1,276 | 1,130 | 1,823 | 23 |
| 12/31/2025 | 15,629 | 1,169 | 990 | 1,709 | 31 |
| 12/31/2024 | 14,899 | 1,108 | 784 | 1,555 | 32 |
| 9/28/2024 | 14,770 | 1,113 | 535 | 1,300 | N/A |
| 6/29/2024 | 14,713 | 1,126 | 615 | 1,369 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 14,651 | 1,122 | 819 | 1,572 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 14,556 | 1,107 | 580 | 1,334 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 14,902 | 1,130 | 820 | 1,669 | N/A |
| 7/1/2023 | 14,761 | 1,109 | 656 | 1,514 | N/A |
| 4/1/2023 | 14,480 | 1,085 | 499 | 1,317 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 14,205 | 1,089 | 584 | 1,357 | N/A |
| 9/24/2022 | 13,518 | 1,039 | 196 | 893 | N/A |
| 6/25/2022 | 13,265 | 1,029 | 278 | 955 | N/A |
| 3/26/2022 | 12,963 | 1,003 | 381 | 1,021 | N/A |
| 12/25/2021 | 12,731 | 997 | 510 | 1,139 | N/A |
| 9/25/2021 | 12,290 | 912 | 746 | 1,261 | N/A |
| 6/26/2021 | 11,879 | 878 | 787 | 1,210 | N/A |
| 3/27/2021 | 11,454 | 847 | 1,123 | 1,488 | N/A |
| 12/26/2020 | 10,620 | 749 | 1,101 | 1,395 | N/A |
| 9/26/2020 | 9,934 | 757 | 1,168 | 1,402 | N/A |
| 6/27/2020 | 9,311 | 689 | 1,235 | 1,456 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 8,489 | 569 | 690 | 909 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 8,352 | 562 | 594 | 812 | N/A |
| 9/28/2019 | 8,293 | 555 | 526 | 755 | N/A |
| 6/29/2019 | 8,191 | 550 | 524 | 769 | N/A |
| 3/30/2019 | 8,050 | 538 | 441 | 703 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 7,911 | 532 | 416 | 694 | N/A |
| 9/29/2018 | 7,731 | 505 | 352 | 644 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 7,571 | 480 | N/A | 678 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 7,375 | 434 | N/A | 751 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 7,256 | 423 | N/A | 631 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 7,220 | 436 | N/A | 706 | N/A |
| 7/1/2017 | 7,041 | 434 | N/A | 600 | N/A |
| 4/1/2017 | 6,876 | 430 | N/A | 443 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 6,780 | 437 | N/A | 651 | N/A |
| 9/24/2016 | 6,510 | 425 | N/A | 471 | N/A |
| 6/25/2016 | 6,443 | 423 | N/A | 474 | N/A |
| 3/26/2016 | 6,363 | 420 | N/A | 459 | N/A |
| 12/26/2015 | 6,227 | 410 | N/A | 456 | N/A |
| 9/26/2015 | 6,164 | 411 | N/A | 485 | N/A |
| 6/27/2015 | 6,048 | 400 | N/A | 476 | N/A |
| 3/28/2015 | 5,859 | 380 | N/A | 484 | N/A |
| 12/27/2014 | 5,712 | 371 | N/A | 409 | N/A |
| 9/27/2014 | 5,543 | 355 | N/A | 403 | N/A |
| 6/28/2014 | 5,391 | 343 | N/A | 437 | N/A |
| 3/29/2014 | 5,263 | 333 | N/A | 391 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: TSCO's forecast earnings growth (6.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: TSCO's earnings (6.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: TSCO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: TSCO's revenue (5.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: TSCO's revenue (5.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: TSCO's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (48.5%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/01/15 07:35 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/01/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Tractor Supply Company is covered by 58 analysts. 31 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Deborah Ciervo | Argus Research Company |
| Jeff Black | Avondale Partners |
| Peter Benedict | Baird |