Fresnillo plc

LSE:FRES Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£7.4b

Fresnillo Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Fresnillo's revenue is forecast to decline at 1.4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 29.9% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 29.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.6% in 3 years.

Key information

29.9%

Earnings growth rate

29.4%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth21.6%
Revenue growth rate-1.4%
Future return on equity14.6%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated24 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Some May Be Optimistic About Fresnillo's (LON:FRES) Earnings

Apr 17
Some May Be Optimistic About Fresnillo's (LON:FRES) Earnings

Returns At Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Are On The Way Up

Apr 15
Returns At Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Are On The Way Up

Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

Mar 28
Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Mar 24
Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
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Exploration Efforts At Ciénega And San Julian Will Extend Mine Life

Mar 09 Operational discipline and infrastructure improvements are set to enhance production efficiency, lower costs, and potentially boost future net margins and earnings.

Estimating The Fair Value Of Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES)

Mar 05
Estimating The Fair Value Of Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES)

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Fresnillo plc's (LON:FRES) Price

Jan 25
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Fresnillo plc's (LON:FRES) Price

Is Fresnillo (LON:FRES) A Risky Investment?

Dec 02
Is Fresnillo (LON:FRES) A Risky Investment?

A Look At The Fair Value Of Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES)

Nov 14
A Look At The Fair Value Of Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES)

Fresnillo's (LON:FRES) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Oct 27
Fresnillo's (LON:FRES) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Market Participants Recognise Fresnillo plc's (LON:FRES) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% Higher

Oct 05
Market Participants Recognise Fresnillo plc's (LON:FRES) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% Higher

We Think Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Aug 19
We Think Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

Jul 12
Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

Does Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

May 21
Does Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Fresnillo's (LON:FRES) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Apr 26
Fresnillo's (LON:FRES) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:FRES - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20273,5086708231,3049
12/31/20263,6657369061,33712
12/31/20253,7267329121,38912
12/31/20243,4961419291,300N/A
9/30/20243,173194562960N/A
6/30/20242,850248194620N/A
3/31/20242,77824168523N/A
12/31/20232,705234-57426N/A
9/30/20232,611227-133369N/A
6/30/20232,517219-208313N/A
3/31/20232,475246-149407N/A
12/31/20222,433272-90502N/A
9/30/20222,46425427640N/A
6/30/20222,495236144778N/A
3/31/20222,599329224837N/A
12/31/20212,703421303895N/A
9/30/20212,773516412951N/A
6/30/20212,8436125201,007N/A
3/31/20212,636493513962N/A
12/31/20202,430374505918N/A
9/30/20202,301286352804N/A
6/30/20202,172198198691N/A
3/31/20202,14620137563N/A
12/31/20192,120204-123436N/A
9/30/20192,055197-149413N/A
6/30/20191,991190-175389N/A
3/31/20192,047270-128489N/A
12/31/20182,104350-80588N/A
9/30/20182,158416N/A681N/A
6/30/20182,213482N/A774N/A
3/31/20182,153521N/A768N/A
12/31/20172,093561N/A761N/A
9/30/20172,054565N/A803N/A
6/30/20172,014569N/A844N/A
3/31/20171,960498N/A871N/A
12/31/20161,906427N/A898N/A
9/30/20161,742294N/A793N/A
6/30/20161,579161N/A687N/A
3/31/20161,512116N/A615N/A
12/31/20151,44471N/A543N/A
9/30/20151,46763N/A387N/A
6/30/20151,48955N/A230N/A
3/31/20151,45182N/A176N/A
12/31/20141,414108N/A122N/A
9/30/20141,390167N/A267N/A
6/30/20141,366226N/A412N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FRES's forecast earnings growth (29.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: FRES's earnings (29.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (13.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FRES's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: FRES's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FRES's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FRES's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/24 23:50
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/24 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fresnillo plc is covered by 34 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David Simon ButlerBarclays
Amos FletcherBarclays
Richard HatchBerenberg