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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
23
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
63
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Caledonia Mining
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Motapa Mineralization And Bilboes Export Will Secure Future Opportunities
Key Takeaways Exploration and efficiency improvements could increase resources, stabilize output, and positively impact revenue and margins. Strategic decisions on expenditures and project optimization aim to reduce costs and enhance profitability and earnings.
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US$24.38
FV
18.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.12%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Card Factory
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Partnerships With Aldi And Just Eat Will Expand US Market Presence
Key Takeaways U.S. expansion and Aldi partnership expected to significantly boost revenue and market penetration through new consumer bases. Digital and in-store enhancements, including online transformations and strategic expansions, anticipated to drive revenue and profitability growth.
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UK£1.59
FV
36.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tarsons Products
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Automation And New Products Will Create Future Opportunities
Key Takeaways The ramp-up of the Panchla facility and focus on automation are set to enhance production capacity, improve operating margins, and drive profitability. Expansion into international markets and new product lines in healthcare could significantly increase revenue growth and broaden the customer base.
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₹571.40
FV
34.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Diversified Energy
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Acquisition And Expansion Will Diversify Revenue Streams And Unlock Untapped Potential
Key Takeaways Strategic acquisitions and operational optimizations are expected to enhance revenue, cash flow, and margins by leveraging synergies and expanding the portfolio. Expansion into Coal Mine Methane capture should diversify revenue streams and stabilize earnings through environmental credits growth.
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UK£19.46
FV
44.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
25.53%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
25
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
India Shelter Finance
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Leveraging PMAY And Branch Expansion Will Strengthen Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Strategic expansion in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities, with a focus on PMAY initiatives, could drive significant revenue and AUM growth. Operational efficiency and improved net interest margins through cost reduction and variable-rate borrowings may bolster earnings stability.
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₹1.03k
FV
12.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
24.61%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Virbac
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Future R&D And Facility Expansion Will Introduce New Products In Pet Care And Pharmaceuticals
Key Takeaways Strategic R&D investments and facility expansions aim to drive innovation, operational efficiency, and future revenue growth, potentially enhancing profitability. Robust M&A strategy and focus on U.S. and China markets are expected to boost geographic expansion, market share, and revenue growth despite cost pressures.
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€395.17
FV
14.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Macmahon Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Our Capital Light Blueprint Will Expand Indonesian Mining And Infrastructure
Key Takeaways Acquiring Decmil and diversifying services positions Macmahon for robust growth and higher returns, enhancing earnings and shareholder value. Expansion in Indonesia with low-capital solutions and a strong order book supports sustained revenue growth and improved financial efficiency.
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AU$0.37
FV
16.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Peter Warren Automotive Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Future Partnerships And Efficiency Initiatives Will Strengthen Performance
Key Takeaways Strategic acquisitions, inventory management, and cost reduction initiatives are expected to enhance earnings, profitability, and revenue growth. Diversification in service and finance, along with Chinese partnerships, seeks to counter new car margin pressures and boost profitability.
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AU$1.62
FV
7.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
Nordex
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Robust European Demand Will Drive Lasting Global Expansion
Key Takeaways Strong service segment performance and high contract retention drive recurring, high-margin revenues that support sustained earnings and margin improvement. Robust project backlog, stable supply chains, and European market leadership position Nordex for multi-year revenue and profit growth.
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€22.52
FV
3.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.84%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
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