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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
63
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
42.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
68
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
38.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Persol HoldingsLtd
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Japan's Aging Workforce And Tech Rivals Will Pressure Recruitment Performance
Key Takeaways Accelerating automation, demographic shifts, and tech-driven competition threaten the firm's traditional staffing model, putting pressure on both revenue growth and profitability. Heavy reliance on the domestic market and slow overseas expansion expose earnings to local risks, while unsuccessful innovation and acquisitions could further weaken performance.
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JP¥233.00
FV
26.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.56%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
LG Uplus
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 25 Analysts
Aging Korean Demographics And OTT Will Squeeze Telecom Margins
Key Takeaways Demographic shifts and changing consumer habits challenge core telecom revenue, putting long-term growth and ARPU under significant pressure. High investment in innovation and diversification faces risks from rising compliance costs and industry price pressures, threatening margins and sustainable earnings.
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₩10.00k
FV
47.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.98%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Go Digit General Insurance
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Rising Climate Risks And Costly Competition Will Impair Margins
Key Takeaways Heightened climate, regulatory, and fraud risks will strain profitability, compress margins, and challenge underwriting quality as compliance and claims costs rise. Over-dependence on motor insurance and intensifying competition may limit revenue growth, erode digital advantages, and hamper Go Digit's long-term earnings potential.
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₹277.01
FV
30.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Nanya Technology
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
DRAM Headwinds And Geopolitical Risks Will Constrain Outlook
Key Takeaways Technology lag and limited access to advanced memory markets constrain profitability, while industry shifts toward integrated solutions threaten core business relevance. Regulatory pressures, geopolitical risks, and scale disadvantages increase operational volatility, challenging long-term growth and margin sustainability.
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NT$30.20
FV
44.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
29.34%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Aurubis
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Rising Carbon Taxes And Tariffs Will Crush Profitability
Key Takeaways Rising regulatory costs, copper substitution, and supply chain volatility threaten margins and long-term revenue growth. Heavy investment needs and recycling reliance risk prolonged cash flow pressures and lower returns amid technological and market shifts.
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€54.00
FV
60.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.13%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Gland Pharma
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
ESG Costs And Regulatory Delays Will Damage Legacy Generics
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on traditional generics, regulatory approvals, and concentrated geographies increases vulnerability to revenue volatility and margin compression. Rising ESG requirements and intensifying price competition are set to erode margins and constrain reinvestment capacity.
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₹1.14k
FV
74.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Sasol
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Fossil Dependence Will Squeeze Margins Though Some Relief Will Emerge
Key Takeaways Global energy transition and tightening climate regulations threaten Sasol's fossil-fuel-based revenues, increase compliance costs, and raise risks of market restrictions. Persistent high emissions, intense competition, and balance sheet vulnerabilities increase exposure to earnings volatility and undermine profitability and future dividend stability.
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R70.00
FV
28.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Greggs
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
UK Wage Hikes And Tougher Regulations Will Shatter Margins
Key Takeaways Ongoing shifts in consumer preferences, regulatory risks, and increased competition threaten demand, brand perception, and Greggs' ability to sustain historical growth. Rising labor and operational costs, changing footfall patterns, and heavy capital investment pressure margins and challenge profitability across new and existing locations.
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UK£13.30
FV
22.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Allfunds Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Passive Funds And Digital Platforms Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways A shift toward passive investing, digital platforms, and new technologies threatens Allfunds' traditional revenue streams and core intermediary model. Regulatory pressures and client concentration risks could compress margins, making long-term profitability and revenue growth increasingly challenging.
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€5.80
FV
5.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
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